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In contemporary data-driven environments, the generation and processing of multivariate time series data is an omnipresent challenge, often complicated by time delays between different time series. These delays, originating from a multitude…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Jiajie Wang , Zhiyuan Jerry Lin , Wen Chen

Model selection is a critical step in time series forecasting, traditionally requiring extensive performance evaluations across various datasets. Meta-learning approaches aim to automate this process, but they typically depend on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Wang Wei , Tiankai Yang , Hongjie Chen , Ryan A. Rossi , Yue Zhao , Franck Dernoncourt , Hoda Eldardiry

Generating high-quality time series data has emerged as a critical research topic due to its broad utility in supporting downstream time series mining tasks. A major challenge lies in modeling the intrinsic stochasticity of temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-20 He Panjing , Cheng Mingyue , Li Li , Zhang XiaoHan

Accurate evaluation of forecasting models is essential for ensuring reliable predictions. Current practices for evaluating and comparing forecasting models focus on summarising performance into a single score, using metrics such as SMAPE.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Roque , Carlos Soares

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Time series prediction, a crucial task across various domains, faces significant challenges due to the inherent complexities of time series data, including non-stationarity, multi-scale periodicity, and transient dynamics, particularly when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Qianru Zhang , Chenglei Yu , Haixin Wang , Yudong Yan , Yuansheng Cao , Siu-Ming Yiu , Tailin Wu , Hongzhi Yin

While machine learning has witnessed significant advancements, the emphasis has largely been on data acquisition and model creation. However, achieving a comprehensive assessment of machine learning solutions in real-world settings…

The purpose of this paper is to give an overview of the time series forecasting problem based on similarity of trajectories. Various methodologies are introduced and studied, and detailed discussions on hyperparameter optimization, outlier…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 İlker Arslan , Can Hakan Dağıdır , Ümit Işlak

Trajectory prediction and generation are crucial for autonomous robots in dynamic environments. While prior research has typically focused on either prediction or generation, our approach unifies these tasks to provide a versatile framework…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Sean Ye , Matthew Gombolay

Time-series forecasting underpins critical decisions across aviation, energy, retail and health. Classical autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models offer interpretability via coefficients but struggle with nonlinearities,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Manish Shukla

Motion prediction has been studied in different contexts with models trained on narrow distributions and applied to downstream tasks in human motion prediction and robotics. Simultaneously, recent efforts in scaling video prediction have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Johnathan Xie , Stefan Stojanov , Cristobal Eyzaguirre , Daniel L. K. Yamins , Jiajun Wu

Streamflow forecasting is key to effectively managing water resources and preparing for the occurrence of natural calamities being exacerbated by climate change. Here we use the concept of fast and slow flow components to create a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Miguel Paredes Quiñones , Maciel Zortea , Leonardo S. A. Martins

The integration of Fourier transform and deep learning opens new avenues for time series forecasting. We reconsider the Fourier transform from a basis functions perspective. Specifically, the real and imaginary parts of the frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Runze Yang , Longbing Cao , Xin You , Kun Fang , Jianxun Li , Jie Yang

To advance time series forecasting (TSF), various methods have been proposed to improve prediction accuracy, evolving from statistical techniques to data-driven deep learning architectures. Despite their effectiveness, most existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Yitong Zhou , Yucong Luo , Mingyue Cheng , Qi Liu , Jiahao Wang , Daoyu Wang , Enhong Chen

Due to the global trend towards urbanization, people increasingly move to and live in cities that then continue to grow. Traffic forecasting plays an important role in the intelligent transportation systems of cities as well as in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Duc Kieu , Tung Kieu , Peng Han , Bin Yang , Christian S. Jensen , Bac Le

Timely and reliable decision-making is vital for flood emergency response, yet it remains severely hindered by limited and imprecise situational awareness due to various budget and data accessibility constraints. Traditional flood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Qian Sun , Graham Hults , Susu Xu

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) such as Lag-Llama, TimeGPT, Chronos, MOMENT, UniTS, and TimesFM have shown strong generalization and zero-shot capabilities for time series forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Dhruv D. Modi , Rong Pan

Time series forecasting aims to model temporal dependencies among variables for future state inference, holding significant importance and widespread applications in real-world scenarios. Although deep learning-based methods have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zesen Wang , Lijuan Lan , Yonggang Li

Complex systems often show macroscopic coherent behavior due to the interactions of microscopic agents like molecules, cells, or individuals in a population with their environment. However, simulating such systems poses several…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Asif Hamid , Danish Rafiq , Shahkar Ahmad Nahvi , Mohammad Abid Bazaz

In recent years, climate extremes such as floods have created significant environmental and economic hazards for Australia. Deep learning methods have been promising for predicting extreme climate events; however, large flooding events…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Rohitash Chandra , Arpit Kapoor , Siddharth Khedkar , Jim Ng , R. Willem Vervoort
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