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This paper describes how to analyze the influence of Earth system variables on the errors when providing temperature forecasts. The initial framework to get the data has been based on previous research work, which resulted in a very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 M. Julia Flores , Melissa Ruiz-Vásquez , Ana Bastos , René Orth

The use of instrumental variables for estimating the effect of an exposure on an outcome is popular in econometrics, and increasingly so in epidemiology. This increasing popularity may be attributed to the natural occurrence of instrumental…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 T. Martinussen , S. Vansteelandt , E. J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , D. M. Zucker

The rapid advancement and widespread adoption of machine learning-driven technologies have underscored the practical and ethical need for creating interpretable artificial intelligence systems. Feature importance, a method that assigns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Nimrod Harel , Uri Obolski , Ran Gilad-Bachrach

In economic applications, model averaging has found principal use examining the validity of various theories related to observed heterogeneity in outcomes such as growth, development, and trade.Though often easy to articulate, these…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-16 Alex Lenkoski , Fredrik Lohne Aanes

This paper presents a multilevel hierarchical framework for the classification of weather conditions and hazard prediction. In recent years, the importance of data has grown significantly, with various types like text, numbers, images,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Harish Neelam

Weather-related risk makes the insurance industry inevitably concerned with climate and climate change. Buildings hit by pluvial flooding is a key manifestation of this risk, giving rise to compensations of the induced physical damages and…

These days, cyber-criminals target humans rather than machines since they try to accomplish their malicious intentions by exploiting the weaknesses of end users. Thus, human vulnerabilities pose a serious threat to the security and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Dimitra Papatsaroucha , Yannis Nikoloudakis , Ioannis Kefaloukos , Evangelos Pallis , Evangelos K. Markakis

With the recent expansion of urban greening interventions, the definition of spatial indicators to measure the provision of urban greenery has become of pivotal importance in informing the policy-design process. By analyzing the stability…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-11 Alice Battiston , Rossano Schifanella

Climate change impact studies inform policymakers on the estimated damages of future climate change on economic, health and other outcomes. In most studies, an annual outcome variable is observed, e.g. agricultural yield, along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-24 Xiaomeng Cui , Bulat Gafarov , Dalia Ghanem , Todd Kuffner

This study aims to quantify community resilience based on fluctuations in the visits to various Point-of-Interest (POIs) locations. Visit to POIs is an essential indicator of human activities and captures the combined effects of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Cristian Podesta , Natalie Coleman , Amir Esmalian , Faxi Yuan , Ali Mostafavi

Climate change has increased the severity and frequency of weather disasters all around the world. Flood inundation mapping based on earth observation data can help in this context, by providing cheap and accurate maps depicting the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Kevin Iselborn , Marco Stricker , Takashi Miyamoto , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

We provide an inferential framework to assess variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects. This assessment is especially useful in high-risk domains such as medicine, where decision makers hesitate to rely on black-box treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Pawel Morzywolek , Peter B. Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

With increasing reliance on the outcomes of black-box models in critical applications, post-hoc explainability tools that do not require access to the model internals are often used to enable humans understand and trust these models. In…

As cities expand, human mobility has become a central focus of urban planning and policy making to make cities more inclusive and sustainable. Initiatives such as the "15-minutes city" have been put in place to shift the attention from…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Eduardo Graells-Garrido , Feliu Serra-Burriel , Francisco Rowe , Fernando M. Cucchietti , Patricio Reyes

The nonlinear synergy between global warming and urbanization is amplifying extreme climate risks in cities worldwide. While observations and simulations confirm these compounding effects, two fundamental bottlenecks impede predictive…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-04 Qiuxia Wu , Yaqiang Wang , Huabing Ke

The use of deep neural networks to make high risk decisions creates a need for global and local explanations so that users and experts have confidence in the modeling algorithms. We introduce a novel technique to find global and local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Xochitl Watts , Freddy Lecue

Small area ecological studies are commonly used in epidemiology to assess the impact of area level risk factors on health outcomes when data are only available in an aggregated form. However the resulting estimates are often biased due to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-19 Yingbo Wang , Sylvia Richardson , Anna Hansell , Marta Blangiardo

Understanding what factors bring about socio-economic development may often suffer from the streetlight effect, of analyzing the effect of only those variables that have been measured and are therefore available for analysis. How do we…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Mehak Gupta , Shayan Saifi , Konark Verma , Kumari Rekha , Aaditeshwar Seth

Despite the wide range of possible scenarios in the aftermath of a disruptive event, each community can make choices to improve its resilience, or its ability to bounce back. A resilient community is one that has prepared for, and can thus…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Ali Lenjani , Ilias Bilionis , Shirley Dyke , Chul Min Yeum , Ricardo Monteiro

We describe a unified framework within which we can build survival models. The motivation for this work comes from a study on the prediction of relapse among breast cancer patients treated at the Curie Institute in Paris, France. Our focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-28 Cécile Chauvel , John O'Quigley
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