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Efficient high order numerical methods for evolving the solution of an ordinary differential equation are widely used. The popular Runge--Kutta methods, linear multi-step methods, and more broadly general linear methods, all have a global…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Adi Ditkowski , Sigal Gottlieb , Zachary J. Grant

Missing data is a ubiquitous challenge in data analysis, often leading to biased and inaccurate results. Traditional imputation methods usually assume that the missingness mechanism is missing-at-random (MAR), where the missingness is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Huiming Xie , Fei Xue , Xiao Wang

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…

Analysis of survival data with biased samples caused by left-truncation or length-biased sampling has received extensive interest. Many inference methods have been developed for various survival models. These methods, however, break down…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Li-Pang Chen

To investigate a dilemma of statistical and computational efficiency faced by long-run variance estimators, we propose a decomposition of kernel weights in a quadratic form and some online inference principles. These proposals allow us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Man Fung Leung , Kin Wai Chan

Nonlocal operators of fractional type are a popular modeling choice for applications that do not adhere to classical diffusive behavior; however, one major challenge in nonlocal simulations is the selection of model parameters. In this work…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Olena Burkovska , Christian Glusa , Marta D'Elia

Physics models typically contain adjustable parameters to reproduce measured data. While some parameters correspond directly to measured features in the data, others are unobservable. These unobservables can, in some cases, cause…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-03-11 C. H. Kim , K. Y. Chae , M. S. Smith , D. W. Bardayan , C. R. Brune , R. J. deBoer , D. Lu , D. Odell

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

We deliver a call to arms for probabilistic numerical methods: algorithms for numerical tasks, including linear algebra, integration, optimization and solving differential equations, that return uncertainties in their calculations. Such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Philipp Hennig , Michael A Osborne , Mark Girolami

We consider statistical inference for a finite-dimensional parameter in a regular semiparametric model under a distributed setting with blockwise missingness, where entire blocks of variables are unavailable at certain sites and sharing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Jingyue Huang , Huiyuan Wang , Yuqing Lei , Yong Chen

The No Unmeasured Confounding Assumption is widely used to identify causal effects in observational studies. Recent work on proximal inference has provided alternative identification results that succeed even in the presence of unobserved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Benjamin Kompa , David R. Bellamy , Thomas Kolokotrones , James M. Robins , Andrew L. Beam

We introduce a novel framework for differentially private (DP) statistical estimation via data truncation, addressing a key challenge in DP estimation when the data support is unbounded. Traditional approaches rely on problem-specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Manolis Zampetakis , Felix Zhou

Optimization problems with an auxiliary latent variable structure in addition to the main model parameters occur frequently in computer vision and machine learning. The additional latent variables make the underlying optimization task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Christopher Zach , Huu Le

Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Jan-Matthis Lueckmann , Jan Boelts , David S. Greenberg , Pedro J. Gonçalves , Jakob H. Macke

This paper explores the critical role of differentiation approaches for data-driven differential equation discovery. Accurate derivatives of the input data are essential for reliable algorithmic operation, particularly in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Mikhail Masliaev , Ilya Markov , Alexander Hvatov

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein

Procedures in assessing the impact of serial dependency on performance analysis are usually built on parametrically specified models. In this paper, we propose a robust, nonparametric approach to carry out this assessment, by computing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-22 Henry Lam

We introduce a new distance and we use it to parameter estimation purposes. We observe how it operates and we use in its place the usual methods of estimation which we call the methods of the new approach. We realize that we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-08 Ahmed Guellil , Tewfik Kernane

Query evaluation in tuple-independent probabilistic databases is the problem of computing the probability of an answer to a query given independent probabilities of the individual tuples in a database instance. There are two main approaches…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-12-17 Paul Beame , Jerry Li , Sudeepa Roy , Dan Suciu

Complex scientific models where the likelihood cannot be evaluated present a challenge for statistical inference. Over the past two decades, a wide range of algorithms have been proposed for learning parameters in computationally feasible…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-16 Aden Forrow , Ruth E. Baker