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Given a Galton-Watson process conditioned to have total progeny equal to $n$, we study the asymptotic probability that this conditioned Galton-Watson process has distance to the border bigger or equal than $k$, as the number of nodes $n…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Víctor J. Maciá

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We consider a variant of this process on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees, where vertices are equipped with a random fitness representing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese

We review a recent development at the interface between discrete mathematics on one hand and probability theory and statistics on the other, specifically the use of Markov chains and their boundary theory in connection with the asymptotics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Rudolf Grübel

Percolation models describe the inside of a porous material. The theory emerged timidly in the middle of the twentieth century before becoming one of the major objects of interest in probability and mathematical physics. The golden age of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-14 Hugo Duminil-Copin

We study random coloring of the hexagons of a honeycomb lattice into $2^{n-1}$ colors (that is the standard Potts model at infinite temperature). It may be considered as a generalization of percolation to $n$ pairwise independent, but…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-09-02 Mikhail Fedorov

Recent work in percolation has led to exact solutions for the site and bond critical thresholds of many new lattices. Here we show how these results can be extended to other classes of graphs, significantly increasing the number and variety…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 Robert M. Ziff , Christian R. Scullard

Using topological summaries of gene trees as a basis for species tree inference is a promising approach to obtain acceptable speed on genomic-scale datasets, and to avoid some undesirable modeling assumptions. Here we study the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-17 Elizabeth S. Allman , James H. Degnan , John A. Rhodes

The methods of conformal field theory are used to compute the crossing probabilities between segments of the boundary of a compact two-dimensional region at the percolation threshold. These probabilities are shown to be invariant not only…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-10-22 John Cardy

Methods for determining the percolation threshold usually study the behavior of network ensembles and are often restricted to a particular type of probabilistic node/link removal strategy. We propose a network-specific method to determine…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-30 Dane Taylor , Juan G. Restrepo

Molecular phylogeny has focused mainly on improving models for the reconstruction of gene trees based on sequence alignments. Yet, most phylogeneticists seek to reveal the history of species. Although the histories of genes and species are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-11-05 Gergely J. Szöllosi , Eric Tannier , Vincent Daubin , Bastien Boussau

A split tree of cardinality $n$ is constructed by distributing $n$ "balls" in a subset of vertices of an infinite tree which encompasses many types of random trees such as $m$-ary search trees, quad trees, median-of-$(2k+1)$ trees,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Gabriel Berzunza , Xing Shi Cai , Cecilia Holmgren

We introduce a new percolation model to describe and analyze the spread of an epidemic on a general directed and locally finite graph. We assign a two-dimensional random weight vector to each vertex of the graph in such a way that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-30 Ronald Meester , Pieter Trapman

We destroy a finite tree of size $n$ by cutting its edges one after the other and in uniform random order. Informally, the associated cut-tree describes the genealogy of the connected components created by this destruction process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Gabriel Berzunza

The arboreal gas is the probability measure on (unrooted spanning) forests of a graph in which each forest is weighted by a factor $\beta>0$ per edge. It arises as the $q\to 0$ limit of the $q$-state random cluster model with $p=\beta q$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Roland Bauerschmidt , Nicholas Crawford , Tyler Helmuth

Count data take on non-negative integer values and are challenging to properly analyze using standard linear-Gaussian methods such as linear regression and principal components analysis. Generalized linear models enable direct modeling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 F. William Townes

We study the limiting behavior of a Bienayme-Galton-Watson tree conditioned to have a large number of vertices and either a fixed number of leaves or a fixed number of internal nodes. The first biconditioning gives a universal result with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Vanessa Dan

Recent work has proven the existence of extreme inbreeding in a European ancestry sample taken from the contemporary UK population \cite{nature_01}. This result brings our attention again to a math problem related to inbreeding family trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 C. Jarne , F A. Gómez Albarracín , M. Caruso

The structure of interconnected systems and its impact on the system dynamics is a much-studied cross-disciplinary topic. Although various critical phenomena have been found in different models, the study on the connections between…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-03 Ming Li , Linyuan Lü , Youjin Deng , Mao-Bin Hu , Hao Wang , Matúš Medo , H. Eugene Stanley

We study multi-type Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson processes with linear-fractional reproduction laws using various analytical tools like contour process, spinal representation, Perron-Frobenius theorem for countable matrices, renewal theory. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-14 Serik Sagitov

We construct random locally compact real trees called Levy trees that are the genealogical trees associated with continuous-state branching processes. More precisely, we define a growing family of discrete Galton-Watson trees with i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne , Matthias Winkel