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Network modeling of high-dimensional time series data is a key learning task due to its widespread use in a number of application areas, including macroeconomics, finance and neuroscience. While the problem of sparse modeling based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Sumanta Basu , Xianqi Li , George Michailidis

We consider a high-dimensional regression model with a possible change-point due to a covariate threshold and develop the Lasso estimator of regression coefficients as well as the threshold parameter. Our Lasso estimator not only selects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Sokbae Lee , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Machine learning (ML) methods have been successfully employed in identifying variables that can predict the equity premium of individual stocks. In this paper, we investigate if ML can also be helpful in selecting variables relevant for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Guilherme V. Moura , André P. Santos , Hudson S. Torrent

This paper study sparse classification problems. We show that under single-index models, vanilla Lasso could give good estimate of unknown parameters. With this result, we see that even if the model is not linear, and even if the response…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-22 Jiyi Liu , Jinzhu Jia

The use of machine learning methods for predictive purposes has increased dramatically over the past two decades, but uncertainty quantification for predictive comparisons remains elusive. This paper addresses this gap by extending the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-09 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Ricardo Parra

This paper proposes a piecewise autoregression for general integer-valued time series. The conditional mean of the process depends on a parameter which is piecewise constant over time. We derive an inference procedure based on a penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Inspired by Kalikow-type decompositions, we introduce a new stochastic model of infinite neuronal networks, for which we establish sharp oracle inequalities for Lasso methods and restricted eigenvalue properties for the associated Gram…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Guilherme Ost , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

The objective of transfer learning is to enhance estimation and inference in a target data by leveraging knowledge gained from additional sources. Recent studies have explored transfer learning for independent observations in complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-23 Mingliang Ma Abolfazl Safikhani

We propose a new penalized method for variable selection and estimation that explicitly incorporates the correlation patterns among predictors. This method is based on a combination of the minimax concave penalty and Laplacian quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-16 Jian Huang , Shuangge Ma , Hongzhe Li , Cun-Hui Zhang

The classical sparse parameter identification methods are usually based on the iterative basis selection such as greedy algorithms, or the numerical optimization of regularized cost functions such as LASSO and Bayesian posterior probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Yanxin Fu , Wenxiao Zhao

A Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) model is commonly used to model multivariate time series, and there are many penalized methods to handle high dimensionality. However in terms of spatio-temporal data, most methods do not take the spatial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Zhenzhong Wang , Abolfazl Safikhani , Zhengyuan Zhu , David S. Matteson

This paper aims to build an estimate of an unknown density of the data with measurement error as a linear combination of functions from a dictionary. Inspired by the penalization approach, we propose the weighted Elastic-net penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Xiaowei Yang , Huiming Zhang , Haoyu Wei , Shouzheng Zhang

In this paper, we discuss application of iterative Stochastic Optimization routines to the problem of sparse signal recovery from noisy observation. Using Stochastic Mirror Descent algorithm as a building block, we develop a multistage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-31 Anatoli Juditsky , Andrei Kulunchakov , Hlib Tsyntseus

There are many time series in the literature with high dimension yet limited sample sizes, such as macroeconomic variables, and it is almost impossible to obtain efficient estimation and accurate prediction by using the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

Modern variable selection procedures make use of penalization methods to execute simultaneous model selection and estimation. A popular method is the LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator), the use of which requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke

In this paper, we propose a new nonparametric estimator of time-varying forecast combination weights. When the number of individual forecasts is small, we study the asymptotic properties of the local linear estimator. When the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-21 Bin Chen , Kenwin Maung

Derivatives, as a critical class of financial instruments, isolate and trade the price attributes of risk assets such as stocks, commodities, and indices, aiding risk management and enhancing market efficiency. However, traditional hedging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Yiheng Ding , Gangnan Yuan , Dewei Zuo , Ting Gao

This study proposes sparse estimation methods for the generalized linear models, which run one of least angle regression (LARS) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) in the tangent space of the manifold of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-20 Yoshihiro Hirose

We present the framework of slowly varying regression under sparsity, allowing sparse regression models to exhibit slow and sparse variations. The problem of parameter estimation is formulated as a mixed-integer optimization problem. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vassilis Digalakis , Michael Linghzi Li , Omar Skali Lami
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