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Analyzing multivariate time series data is important to predict future events and changes of complex systems in finance, manufacturing, and administrative decisions. The expressiveness power of Gaussian Process (GP) regression methods has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-23 Anh Tong , Jaesik Choi

We consider a general piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) $X=\{X_t\}_{t\geqslant 0}$ with measure-valued generator $\mathcal{A}$, for which the conditional distribution function of the inter-occurrence time is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-27 Zhaoyang Liu , Yuying Liu , Guoxin Liu

We present a new and easy-to-implement sequential sampling method for CGMY processes with either finite or infinite variation, exploiting the time change representation of the CGMY model and a decomposition of its time change. We find that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-23 Chengwei Zhang , Zhiyuan Zhang

We introduce a new class of processes for the evaluation of multivariate equity derivatives. The proposed setting is well suited for the application of the standard copula function theory to processes, rather than variables, and easily…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-07 Umberto Cherubini , Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci , Silvia Romagnoli

Repetitive motion tasks are common in robotics, but performance can degrade over time due to environmental changes and robot wear and tear. Iterative learning control (ILC) improves performance by using information from previous iterations…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Unnati Nigam , Radhendushka Srivastava , Faezeh Marzbanrad , Michael Burke

We give new proofs of certain equivalent conditions for the existence of generalized moments of a L\'evy process $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$; in particular, the existence of a generalized $g$-moment is equivalent to the uniform integrability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-21 David Berger , Franziska Kühn , René L. Schilling

In the paper we consider models of generalized counting processes time-changed by a general inverse subordinator, we characterize their distributions and present governing equations for them. The equations are given in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-11 Khrystyna Buchak , Lyudmyla Sakhno

In actuarial practice, the usual independence assumptions for the collective risk model are often violated, implying a growing need for considering more general models that incorporate dependence. To this purpose, the present paper studies…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Spyridon M. Tzaninis , Apostolos Bozikas

The generalized inverse Gaussian, denoted $\mathrm{GIG}(p, a, b)$, is a flexible family of distributions that includes the gamma, inverse gamma, and inverse Gaussian distributions as special cases. In addition to its applications in…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-28 Victor Peña , Michael Jauch

Changing time of simple continuous-time Markov counting processes by independent unit-rate Poisson processes results in Markov counting processes for which we provide closed-form transition rates via composition of trajectories and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Carles Bretó

Categorical random variables are a common staple in machine learning methods and other applications across disciplines. Many times, correlation within categorical predictors exists, and has been noted to have an effect on various algorithm…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-25 Rachel Traylor

It is known that backward iterations of independent copies of a contractive random Lipschitz function converge almost surely under mild assumptions. By a sieving (or thinning) procedure based on adding to the functions time and space…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Alexander Marynych , Ilya Molchanov

A dynamical model based on a continuous addition of colored shot noises is presented. The resulting process is colored and non-Gaussian. A general expression for the characteristic function of the process is obtained, which, after a scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Alan McKane

This article deals with IDT processes, i.e. processes which are infinitely divisible with respect to time. Given an IDT process $(X_{t},\,t\geq0)$, there exists a unique (in law) L\'evy process $(L_{t}; t\geq0)$ which has the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-20 Antoine Hakassou , Youssef Ouknine

We prove a weak iterated invariance principle for a large class of non-uniformly expanding random dynamical systems. In addition, we give a quenched homogenization result for fast-slow systems in the case when the fast component corresponds…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Davor Dragicevic , Yeor Hafouta

In this paper, we introduce a risk process, namely, the mixed fractional risk process (MFRP) in which the number of claims in the associated claim process are modelled using the mixed fractional Poisson process (MFPP). The covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

We define a new family of multivariate stochastic processes over a finite time horizon that we call Generalised Liouville Processes (GLPs). GLPs are Markov processes constructed by splitting L\'evy random bridges into non-overlapping…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Edward Hoyle , Levent Ali Mengütürk

We define generalized innovations associated with generalized error models having arbitrary distributions, that is, distributions that can be mixtures of continuous and discrete distributions. These models include stochastic volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Kilani Ghoudi , Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

In this paper, we introduce and study a convoluted version of the time fractional Poisson process by taking the discrete convolution with respect to space variable in the system of fractional differential equations that governs its state…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-20 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

In this paper, we present a kernel-based, multi-task Gaussian Process (GP) model for approximating the underlying function of an individual's mobility state using a time-inhomogeneous Markov Process with two states: moves and pauses. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-22 Ekin Ugurel