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In this paper, a single population model with memory effect and the heterogeneity of the environment, equipped with the Neumann boundary, is considered. The global existence of a spatial nonhomogeneous steady state is proved by the method…
Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…
In this paper, we propose a human trajectory prediction model that combines a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with an attention mechanism. To do that, we use attention scores to determine which parts of the input data the model should…
This article addresses reaction networks in which spatial and stochastic effects are of crucial importance. For such systems, particle-based models allow us to describe all microscopic details with high accuracy. However, they suffer from…
We propose a novel framework for adaptively learning the time-evolving solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) using score-based diffusion models within a recursive Bayesian inference setting. SPDEs play a central…
The behavior of interacting populations typically displays irregular temporal and spatial patterns that are difficult to reconcile with an underlying deterministic dynamics. A classical example is the heterogeneous distribution of plankton…
Stochastic models play an essential role in accounting for the variability and unpredictability seen in real-world. This paper focuses on the application of the gamma distribution to analysis of the stationary distributions of populations…
Stochastic particle--based models are useful tools for describing the collective movement of large crowds of pedestrians in crowded confined environments. Using descriptions based on the simple exclusion process, two populations of…
Thanks to recent technological advances, it is now possible to track with an unprecedented precision and for long periods of time the movement patterns of many living organisms in their habitat. The increasing amount of data available on…
The first chapter concerns monotype population models. We first study general birth and death processes and we give non-explosion and extinction criteria, moment computations and a pathwise representation. We then show how different scales…
In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…
Animals use various processes to inform themselves about their environment and make decisions about how to move and form their territory. In some cases, populations inform themselves of competing groups through observations at distances,…
In this paper the spatial-temporal dynamics of the members of interacting populations is described by nonlinear partial differential equations. We consider the migration as a diffusion process influenced by the changing values of the birth…
Flocking refers to collective behavior of a large number of interacting entities, where the interactions between discrete individuals produce collective motion on the large scale. We employ an agent-based model to describe the microscopic…
Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) can provide mechanistic models of temporally local changes of processes, where parameters are often informed by external knowledge. While ODEs are popular in systems modeling, they are less established…
Human trajectory forecasting is a critical challenge in fields such as robotics and autonomous driving. Due to the inherent uncertainty of human actions and intentions in real-world scenarios, various unexpected occurrences may arise. To…
Stochastic simulation methods can be applied successfully to model exact spatio-temporally resolved reaction-diffusion systems. However, in many cases, these methods can quickly become extremely computationally intensive with increasing…
We present a new method to derive kinetic equations for systems undergoing non-linear transport in the presence of memory effects. In the framework of mesoscopic nonequilibrium thermodynamics, we derive a generalized Fokker-Planck equation…
We propose a novel method for numerical modeling of spatially inhomogeneous moment dynamics of populations with nonlocal dispersal and competition in continuous space. It is based on analytically solvable decompositions of the time…
Human motion prediction is a stochastic process: Given an observed sequence of poses, multiple future motions are plausible. Existing approaches to modeling this stochasticity typically combine a random noise vector with information about…