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This paper introduces a novel approach to financial risk analysis that does not rely on traditional price and market data, instead using market news to model assets as distributions over a metric space of risk factors. By representing asset…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Marcus Gawronsky , Chun-Sung Huang

We consider the problem of finding Pareto-optimal allocations of risk among finitely many agents. The associated individual risk measures are law invariant, but with respect to agent-dependent and potentially heterogeneous reference…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-05 Felix-Benedikt Liebrich

This paper consider a highly general dissemination model that keeps track of the stochastic evolution of the distribution of wealth over a set of agents. There are two types of events: (i) units of wealth externally arrive, and (ii) units…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 K. M. D. Chan , M. R. H. Mandjes

A new approach to the analytic theory of difference equations with rational and elliptic coefficients is proposed. It is based on the construction of canonical meromorphic solutions which are analytical along "thick paths". The concept of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 I. Krichever

We use an algebraic viewpoint, namely a matrix framework to deal with the problem of resource allocation under uncertainty in the context of a qualitative approach. Our basic qualitative data are a plausibility relation over the resources,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Franklin Camacho , Gerardo Chacón , Ramón Pino Peréz

Due to the skessed distribution, high peak and thick tail and asymmetry of financial return data, it is difficult to describe the traditional distribution. In recent years, generalized autoregressive score (GAS) has been used in many fields…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-14 Hong Shaopeng

When the available statistical information is imperfect, it is dangerous to follow standard optimisation procedures to construct an optimal portfolio, which usually leads to a strong concentration of the weights on very few assets. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters , Jean-Pierre Aguilar

The theory of thick distributions (both in dimension 1 and in higher dimensions) was constructed in recent years [7, 27]. However this theory of distributions with one thick point in dimension one is very different from that in higher…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Yunyun Yang

Covariance matrix estimation is an important problem in multivariate data analysis, both from theoretical as well as applied points of view. Many simple and popular covariance matrix estimators are known to be severely affected by model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Soumya Chakraborty , Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh

We consider the problem of adaptive stratified sampling for Monte Carlo integration of a differentiable function given a finite number of evaluations to the function. We construct a sampling scheme that samples more often in regions where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-22 Alexandra Carpentier , Rémi Munos

Multivariate Distributions are needed to capture the correlation structure of complex systems. In previous works, we developed a Random Matrix Model for such correlated multivariate joint probability density functions that accounts for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Anton J. Heckens , Efstratios Manolakis , Cedric Schuhmann , Thomas Guhr

The calibration of a local volatility models to a given set of option prices is a classical problem of mathematical finance. It was considered in multiple papers where various solutions were proposed. In this paper an extension of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-19 Andrey Itkin , Alexander Lipton

We study the inverse problem of recovering the order and the diffusion coefficient of an elliptic fractional partial differential equation from a finite number of noisy observations of the solution. We work in a Bayesian framework and show…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

The distributionally robust Markov Decision Process (MDP) approach asks for a distributionally robust policy that achieves the maximal expected total reward under the most adversarial distribution of uncertain parameters. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Zhi Chen , Pengqian Yu , William B. Haskell

When there is a dispute between players on how to divide multiple divisible assets, how should it be resolved? In this paper we introduce a multi-asset game model that enables cooperation between multiple agents who bargain on sharing K…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-15 Ephraim Zehavi , Amir Leshem

The aim of this paper is to show a possibility to identify multivariate distribution by means of specially constructed one-dimensional random variable. We give some inequalities which may appear to helpful for a construction of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-17 Lev B. Klebanov , Irina V. Volchenkova

A fairly general procedure is studied to perturbate a multivariate density satisfying a weak form of multivariate symmetry, and to generate a whole set of non-symmetric densities. The approach is general enough to encompass a number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-13 Adelchi Azzalini , Antonella Capitanio

The potential benefits of portfolio diversification have been known to investors for a long time. Markowitz (1952) suggested the seminal approach for optimizing the portfolio problem based on finding the weights as budget shares that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-03-05 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J , Mohamed Ali Hajji , Youssef El-Khatib

In this paper, we discuss the ambiguous chance constrained based portfolio optimization problems, in which the perturbations associated with the input parameters are stochastic in nature, but their distributions are not known precisely. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Pulak Swain , Akshay Kumar Ojha

Many policies allocate harms or benefits that are uncertain in nature: they produce distributions over the population in which individuals have different probabilities of incurring harm or benefit. Comparing different policies thus involves…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Hoda Heidari , Solon Barocas , Jon Kleinberg , Karen Levy