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Related papers: Data-driven Surface Solar Irradiance Estimation us…

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Accurate wind power forecasts depend on reliable wind speed forecasts. Numerical Weather Predictions (NWPs) utilize huge amounts of computing time, but still have rather low spatial and temporal resolution. However, stochastic wind speed…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-10 Daniel Ambach , Carsten Croonenbroeck

Solar flare forecasting can be realized by means of the analysis of magnetic data through artificial intelligence techniques. The aim is to predict whether a magnetic active region (AR) will originate solar flares above a certain class…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-29 Sabrina Guastavino , Francesco Marchetti , Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Michele Piana

The field of meteorological forecasting has undergone a significant transformation with the integration of large models, especially those employing deep learning techniques. This paper reviews the advancements and applications of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Hailong Shu , Yue Wang , Weiwei Song , Huichuang Guo , Zhen Song

Weather foundation models (WFMs) have recently set new benchmarks in global forecast skill, yet their concrete value for the weather-sensitive infrastructure that powers modern society remains largely unexplored. In this study, we fine-tune…

Using neural networks as a prediction method, we attempt to demonstrate that forecasting of the Sun's sunspot time series can be extended to the spatial-temporal case. We employ this machine learning methodology to forecast not only in time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-08 Eurico Covas , Nuno Peixinho , Joao Fernandes

The unusually warm sea surface temperature events known as marine heatwaves (MHWs) have a profound impact on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant scientific and financial worth. However, existing methods…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-23 Ruiqi Shu , Hao Wu , Yuan Gao , Fanghua Xu , Ruijian Gou , Xiaomeng Huang

Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts help with managing the marine ecosystem and the aquaculture impacted by anthropogenic climate change. Numerical dynamical models are resource intensive for SST forecasts; machine learning (ML) models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Karin R. Bryan

Data-driven weather models have made rapid advances in recent years, reaching and in some metrics surpassing the large-scale forecast skill of operational numerical weather prediction. This progress, however, has been built almost entirely…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-07 Congyi Nai , Baoxiang Pan , Yuan Liang , Xi Chen

Solar flare prediction is a central problem in space weather forecasting and recent developments in machine learning and deep learning accelerated the adoption of complex models for data-driven solar flare forecasting. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Chetraj Pandey , Anli Ji , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

This project presents an extension to the GraphCast model, a state-of-the-art graph neural network (GNN) for global weather forecasting, by integrating solar energy production forecasting capabilities. The proposed approach leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Cale Colony , Razan Andigani

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

Extreme weather amplified by climate change is causing increasingly devastating impacts across the globe. The current use of physics-based numerical weather prediction (NWP) limits accuracy due to high computational cost and strict…

This paper considers a typical solar installations scenario with limited sensing resources. In the literature, there exist either day-ahead solar generation prediction methods with limited accuracy, or high accuracy short timescale methods…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-12 Yubo Wang , Bin Wang , Rui Huang , Chi-Cheng Chu , Hemanshu R. Pota , Rajit Gadh

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

This paper compares different forecasting methods and models to predict average values of solar irradiance with a sampling time of 15 min over a prediction horizon of up to 3 h. The methods considered only require historic solar irradiance…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-30 Christian A. Hans , Elin Klages

A data-driven model for predicting the surface temperature using neural networks was proposed to alleviate the computational burden of numerical weather prediction (NWP). Our model, named TPTNet uses only 2m temperature measured at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Jun Park , Changhoon Lee

Research on data-driven ocean models has progressed rapidly in recent years; however, the application of these models to global eddy-resolving ocean forecasting remains limited. The accurate representation of ocean dynamics across a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuta Hirabayashi , Daisuke Matusoka , Konobu Kimura

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

The rapid rise of deep learning (DL) in numerical weather prediction (NWP) has led to a proliferation of models which forecast atmospheric variables with comparable or superior skill than traditional physics-based NWP. However, among these…

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