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We consider the control of a Markov decision process (MDP) that undergoes an abrupt change in its transition kernel (mode). We formulate the problem of minimizing regret under control-switching based on mode change detection, compared to a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-11 Nathan Dahlin , Subhonmesh Bose , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under G-expectation framework. We first define a new kind of random times, called G-stopping times, which is suitable for this problem. For the discrete time case with finite horizon, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Hanwu Li

When prices reflect all available information, they oscillate around an equilibrium level. This oscillation is the result of the temporary market impact caused by waves of buyers and sellers. This price behavior can be approximated through…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-25 Alexander Lipton , Marcos Lopez de Prado

The complete physical understanding of the optimization of the thermodynamic work still is an important open problem in stochastic thermodynamics. We address this issue using the Hamiltonian approach of linear response theory in finite time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-18 Pierre Nazé , Sebastian Deffner , Marcus V. S. Bonança

Let X_t, 0<=t<=T be a one-dimensional stochastic process with independent and stationary increments. This paper considers the problem of stopping the process X_t "as close as possible" to its eventual supremum M_T:=sup{X_t: 0<=t<=T}, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Pieter C. Allaart

We consider a class of infinite-time horizon optimal stopping problems for spectrally negative Levy processes. Focusing on strategies of threshold type, we write explicit expressions for the corresponding expected payoff via the scale…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-03 Masahiko Egami , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We study the convergence of an $N$-particle Markovian controlled system to the solution of a family of stochastic McKean-Vlasov control problems, either with a finite horizon or Schr\"odinger type cost functional. Specifically, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Francesco C. De Vecchi , Chiara Rigoni

In this paper we consider discrete and continuous time risk sensitive optimal stopping problem. Using suitable properties of the underlying Feller-Markov process we prove continuity of the optimal stopping value function and provide formula…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Łukasz Stettner

This paper is concerned with an optimal stock selling rule under a Markov chain model. The objective is to find an optimal stopping time to sell the stock so as to maximize an expected return. Solutions to the associated variational…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-01 Qing Zhang

We study a mathematical model motivated by the support/resistance line method in technical analysis where the underlying stock price transitions between three states of nature in a path-dependent manner. For optimal stopping problems with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Vicky Henderson , Saul Jacka , Ruiqi Liu , Jun Maeda

We address the problem of making a managerial decision when the investment project is subsidized, which results in the resolution of an infinite-horizon optimal stopping problem of a switching diffusion driven by either an homogeneous or an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Carlos Oliveira , Nicolas Perkowski

In this paper we consider a control problem for a Partially Observable Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process of the following type: After the jump of the process the controller receives a noisy signal about the state and the aim is to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Dirk Lange

We consider the problem of determining an optimal strategy for electricity injection that faces an uncertain power demand stream. This demand stream is modeled via an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an additional jump component, whereas the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Simone Göttlich , Ralf Korn , Kerstin Lux

We consider a reflected process in the positive orthant driven by an exogenous jump process. For a given input process, we show that there exists a unique minimal strong solution to the given particle system up until a certain maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Graeme Baker , Ankita Chatterjee

Given a stochastic state process $(X_t)_t$ and a real-valued submartingale cost process $(S_t)_t$, we characterize optimal stopping times $\tau$ that minimize the expectation of $S_\tau$ while realizing given initial and target…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Aaron Zeff Palmer

We extend the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm for approximately solving optimal stopping problems on high-dimensional state spaces. We reformulate the optimal stopping problem for Markov processes in discrete time as a generalized statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel Egloff

This paper deals with the general discounted impulse control problem of a piecewise deterministic Markov process. We investigate a new family of epsilon-optimal strategies. The construction of such strategies is explicit and only…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-28 Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour , Alizée Geeraert

We prove a boundary Harnack inequality for jump-type Markov processes on metric measure state spaces, under comparability estimates of the jump kernel and Urysohn-type property of the domain of the generator of the process. The result holds…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Krzysztof Bogdan , Takashi Kumagai , Mateusz Kwaśnicki

A new multi-factor short rate model is presented which is bounded from below by a real-valued function of time. The mean-reverting short rate process is modeled by a sum of pure-jump Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes such that the related bond…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Markus Hess

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Romain Azaïs , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin
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