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Current methods for regularization in machine learning require quite specific model assumptions (e.g. a kernel shape) that are not derived from prior knowledge about the application, but must be imposed merely to make the method work. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-01 Matthias Wieler

Unlike the ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimator for the linear model, a ridge regression linear model provides coefficient estimates via shrinkage, usually with improved mean-square and prediction error. This is true especially when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 George Karabatsos

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

Period estimation is one of the central topics in astronomical time series analysis, where data is often unevenly sampled. Especially challenging are studies of stellar magnetic cycles, as there the periods looked for are of the order of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-25 N. Olspert , J. Pelt , M. J. Käpylä , J. Lehtinen

We present a data-driven method - heteroscedastic matrix factorization, a kind of probabilistic factor analysis - for modeling or performing dimensionality reduction on observed spectra or other high-dimensional data with known but…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 P. Tsalmantza , David W. Hogg

Widely used methods for analyzing missing data can be biased in small samples. To understand these biases, we evaluate in detail the situation where a small univariate normal sample, with values missing at random, is analyzed using either…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-27 Paul T. von Hippel

Analyzes of next-generation galaxy data require accurate treatment of systematic effects such as the bias between observed galaxies and the underlying matter density field. However, proposed models of the phenomenon are either numerically…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-04-28 Guilhem Lavaux , Jens Jasche

In real life we often deal with independent but not identically distributed observations (i.n.i.d.o), for which the most well-known statistical model is the multiple linear regression model (MLRM) without random covariates. While the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-25 Elena Castilla , Maria Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

We developed a statistical inference method applicable to a broad range of generalized linear models (GLMs) in high-dimensional settings, where the number of unknown coefficients scales proportionally with the sample size. Although a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Kazuma Sawaya , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Masaaki Imaizumi

Statistical analysis of massive datasets very often implies expensive linear algebra operations with large dense matrices. Typical tasks are an estimation of unknown parameters of the underlying statistical model and prediction of missing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-16 Alexander Litvinenko , Ronald Kriemann , Vladimir Berikov

This work proposes ensemble Kalman randomized maximum likelihood estimation, a new derivative-free method for performing randomized maximum likelihood estimation, which is a method that can be used to generate approximate samples from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pavlos Stavrinides , Elizabeth Qian

In this paper, we provide a multiscale perspective on the problem of maximum marginal likelihood estimation. We consider and analyse a diffusion-based maximum marginal likelihood estimation scheme using ideas from multiscale dynamics. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-11 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

Machine learning techniques are utilised in several areas of astrophysical research today. This dissertation addresses the application of ML techniques to two classes of problems in astrophysics, namely, the analysis of individual…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-01-06 N. Daniel Kumar

Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Jonathan H. Huggins , Ryan P. Adams , Tamara Broderick

Machine learning (ML) is a tool to exploit remote sensing data for the monitoring and implementation of the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In this paper, we report on a meta-analysis to evaluate the performance of ML…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Jonas Klingwort , Nina M. Leach , Joep Burger

Dimension-reduction techniques can greatly improve statistical inference in astronomy. A standard approach is to use Principal Components Analysis (PCA). In this work we apply a recently-developed technique, diffusion maps, to astronomical…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 Joseph W. Richards , Peter E. Freeman , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

The development of the state-of-the-art telescopic systems capable of performing expansive sky surveys such as the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, Euclid, and the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) has significantly…

Neural simulation-based inference is a powerful class of machine-learning-based methods for statistical inference that naturally handles high-dimensional parameter estimation without the need to bin data into low-dimensional summary…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-16 ATLAS Collaboration

Improving the accuracy of photometric redshifts (photo-$z$) is essential for reliable statistical studies of cosmology and galaxy evolution. However, missing photometric bands are a common observational challenge that can significantly…

The rapid advancement of observational capabilities in astronomy has led to an exponential growth in the volume of light curve (LC) data, creating both opportunities and challenges for time-domain astronomy. Traditional analytical methods…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-16 Almat Akhmetali , Alisher Zhunuskanov , Aknur Sakan , Marat Zaidyn , Timur Namazbayev , Dana Turlykozhayeva , Nurzhan Ussipov
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