Related papers: Evaluating Parameter Uncertainty in the Poisson Lo…
Predicting pedestrian behavior is challenging yet crucial for applications such as autonomous driving and smart city. Recent deep learning models have achieved remarkable performance in making accurate predictions, but they fail to provide…
In this paper, we investigate right-truncated count data models incorporating cavariates into the parameters. A regression method is proposed to model right-truncated count data exibiting high heterogeneity. The study encompasses the…
Propensity score (PS) methods are widely used to estimate treatment effects in non-randomized studies. Variance is typically estimated using sandwich or bootstrap methods, which can either treat the PS as estimated or fixed. The latter is…
For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…
Many real-life dynamical systems change abruptly followed by almost stationary periods. In this paper, we consider streams of data with such abrupt behavior and investigate the problem of tracking their statistical properties in an online…
The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions enjoys multiple practical applications in signal processing, finance, biology and other areas because it allows to describe interesting and complex data patterns, such as asymmetry or heavy tails,…
We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…
The analysis of panel count data has garnered considerable attention in the literature, leading to the development of multiple statistical techniques. In inferential analysis, most works focus on leveraging estimating equation-based…
The Shannon entropy is a fundamental measure for quantifying diversity and model complexity in fields such as information theory, ecology, and genetics. However, many existing studies assume that the number of species is known, an…
This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…
Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…
We develop a new class of dynamic multivariate Poisson count models that allow for fast online updating and we refer to these models as multivariate Poisson-scaled beta (MPSB). The MPSB model allows for serial dependence in the counts as…
Finding relevant and high-quality datasets to train machine learning models is a major bottleneck for practitioners. Furthermore, to address ambitious real-world use-cases there is usually the requirement that the data come labelled with…
The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…
Difference in proportions is frequently used to measure treatment effect for binary outcomes in randomized clinical trials. The estimation of difference in proportions can be assisted by adjusting for prognostic baseline covariates to…
We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…
Probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) is a key component in the extended tool-chain required for efficient management of smart energy grids. Neural networks are widely considered to achieve improved prediction performances, supporting highly…
For consistency (even oracle properties) of estimation and model prediction, almost all existing methods of variable/feature selection critically depend on sparsity of models. However, for ``large $p$ and small $n$" models sparsity…
Many scientific fields collect longitudinal count compositional data. Each observation is a multivariate count vector, where the total counts are arbitrary, and the information lies in the relative frequency of the counts. Multiple authors…
Shannon Entropy is the preeminent tool for measuring the level of uncertainty (and conversely, information content) in a random variable. In the field of communications, entropy can be used to express the information content of given…