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This paper introduces the Difference-in-Differences Bayesian Causal Forest (DiD-BCF), a novel non-parametric model addressing key challenges in DiD estimation, such as staggered adoption and heterogeneous treatment effects. DiD-BCF provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Hugo Gobato Souto , Francisco Louzada Neto

Growing use of machine learning in policy and social impact settings have raised concerns for fairness implications, especially for racial minorities. These concerns have generated considerable interest among machine learning and artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Kit T. Rodolfa , Hemank Lamba , Rayid Ghani

The difference-in-differences (DID) research design is a key identification strategy which allows researchers to estimate causal effects under the parallel trends assumption. While the parallel trends assumption is counterfactual and cannot…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Jonas M. Mikhaeil , Christopher Harshaw

In this study, Disentanglement in Difference(DiD) is proposed to address the inherent inconsistency between the statistical independence of latent variables and the goal of semantic disentanglement in disentanglement representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Xingshen Zhang , Lin Wang , Shuangrong Liu , Xintao Lu , Chaoran Pang , Bo Yang

We provide a simple distribution regression estimator for treatment effects in the difference-in-differences (DiD) design. Our procedure is particularly useful when the treatment effect differs across the distribution of the outcome…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Iván Fernández-Val , Jonas Meier , Aico van Vuuren , Francis Vella

We consider the problem of inference in Difference-in-Differences (DID) when there are few treated units and errors are spatially correlated. We first show that, when there is a single treated unit, some existing inference methods designed…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-26 Luis Alvarez , Bruno Ferman

Large-scale black-box models have become ubiquitous across numerous applications. Understanding the influence of individual training data sources on predictions made by these models is crucial for improving their trustworthiness. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Myeongseob Ko , Feiyang Kang , Weiyan Shi , Ming Jin , Zhou Yu , Ruoxi Jia

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

With the fast-growing number of classification models being produced every day, numerous model interpretation and comparison solutions have also been introduced. For example, LIME and SHAP can interpret what input features contribute more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Junpeng Wang , Liang Wang , Yan Zheng , Chin-Chia Michael Yeh , Shubham Jain , Wei Zhang

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is a cornerstone of causal inference, yet extending it to functional outcomes is not a routine scalar generalization; rather, it entails three fundamental challenges in identification, inference, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Junzhu Nie , Chengxiu Ling , Mengfei Ran

Deep Learning of neural networks has progressively become more prominent in healthcare with models reaching, or even surpassing, expert accuracy levels. However, these success stories are tainted by concerning reports on the lack of model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Matthew Watson , Bashar Awwad Shiekh Hasan , Noura Al Moubayed

Learning causal structure from observational data is a fundamental challenge in machine learning. However, the majority of commonly used differentiable causal discovery methods are non-identifiable, turning this problem into a continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Yu Wang , An Zhang , Xiang Wang , Yancheng Yuan , Xiangnan He , Tat-Seng Chua

We combine two recently proposed nonparametric difference-in-differences methods, extending them to enable the examination of treatment effect heterogeneity in the staggered adoption setting using machine learning. The proposed method,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-19 Julia Hatamyar , Noemi Kreif , Rudi Rocha , Martin Huber

In statistical modeling, prediction and explanation are two fundamental objectives. When the primary goal is forecasting, it is important to account for the inherent uncertainty associated with estimating unknown outcomes. Traditionally,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-23 Mahdi Goldani

Under what circumstances is it a threat to the parallel trends assumption required for Difference in Differences (DiD) studies if treatment decisions are based on past values of the outcome? We explore via simulation studies whether…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 Zach Shahn

This paper discusses difference-in-differences (DID) estimation when there exist many control variables, potentially more than the sample size. In this case, traditional estimation methods, which require a limited number of variables, do…

General Economics · Economics 2019-01-09 Neng-Chieh Chang

The ability to learn reward functions plays an important role in enabling the deployment of intelligent agents in the real world. However, comparing reward functions, for example as a means of evaluating reward learning methods, presents a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Blake Wulfe , Ashwin Balakrishna , Logan Ellis , Jean Mercat , Rowan McAllister , Adrien Gaidon

LLMs are widely used in knowledge-intensive tasks where the same fact may be revised multiple times within context. Unlike prior work focusing on one-shot updates or single conflicts, multi-update scenarios contain multiple historically…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Boyu Qiao , Sean Guo , Xian Yang , Kun Li , Wei Zhou , Songlin Hu , Yunya Song

Triple Differences (DDD) designs are widely used in empirical work to relax parallel trends assumptions in Difference-in-Differences (DiD) settings. This paper highlights that common DDD implementations -- such as taking the difference…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-21 Marcelo Ortiz-Villavicencio , Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna

We consider fits to two or more datasets for which results from the sa me experiment share a common systematic uncertainty in addition to their individ ual statistical errors. This is important in extracting the maximum information from a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-29 Roger John Barlow
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