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Event detection has been an important task in transportation, whose task is to detect points in time when large events disrupts a large portion of the urban traffic network. Travel information {Origin-Destination} (OD) matrix data by map…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Yue Hu , Ao Qu , Dan Work

Extreme rainfall over the Indian monsoon region poses severe societal and infrastructural risks but remains difficult to predict at daily time scales due to stochastic convective triggering and multiscale atmospheric interactions. While…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Arun Govind Neelan

This paper looks into the problem of detecting network anomalies by analyzing NetFlow records. While many previous works have used statistical models and machine learning techniques in a supervised way, such solutions have the limitations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Quoc Phong Nguyen , Kar Wai Lim , Dinil Mon Divakaran , Kian Hsiang Low , Mun Choon Chan

Precipitation is a large-scale, spatio-temporally heterogeneous phenomenon, with frequent anomalies exhibiting unusually high or low values. We use Markov Random Fields (MRFs) to detect spatio-temporally coherent anomalies in gridded annual…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-01 Adway Mitra , Ashwin K. Seshadri

Accurate rainfall forecasting, particularly for extreme events, remains a significant challenge in climatology and the Earth system. This paper presents novel physics-informed Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) combined with extreme-value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Kiattikun Chobtham , Kanoksri Sarinnapakorn , Kritanai Torsri , Prattana Deeprasertkul , Jirawan Kamma

Climate anomalies significantly impact terrestrial carbon cycle dynamics, necessitating robust methods for detecting and analyzing anomalous behavior in plant productivity. This study presents a novel application of variational autoencoders…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Bharat Sharma , Jitendra Kumar

Mobile network operators must monitor thousands of heterogeneous network elements across the radio access network and the packet core, each exposing high-dimensional KPI time series. The scale and cost of incident labelling make supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Sara Malacarne , Eirik Hoel-Høiseth , Erlend Aune , David Zsolt Biró , Massimiliano Ruocco

Many physical processes involve spatio-temporal observations, which can be studied at different spatial and temporal scales. For example, rainfall data measured daily by rain gauges can be considered at daily, monthly or annual temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-02 Adway Mitra

This paper introduces a hybrid attention and autoencoder (AE) model for unsupervised online anomaly detection in time series. The autoencoder captures local structural patterns in short embeddings, while the attention model learns long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Seyed Amirhossein Najafi , Mohammad Hassan Asemani , Peyman Setoodeh

Semi-supervised graph anomaly detection (GAD) has recently received increasing attention, which aims to distinguish anomalous patterns from graphs under the guidance of a moderate amount of labeled data and a large volume of unlabeled data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Jiazhen Chen , Sichao Fu , Zheng Ma , Mingbin Feng , Tony S. Wirjanto , Qinmu Peng

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Event analysis from news and social networks is very useful for a wide range of social studies and real-world applications. Recently, event graphs have been explored to model event datasets and their complex relationships, where events are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Joao Pedro Rodrigues Mattos , Ricardo M. Marcacini

Accurate flood forecasting remains a challenge for water-resource management, as it demands modeling of local, time-varying runoff drivers (e.g., rainfall-induced peaks, baseflow trends) and complex spatial interactions across a river…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Aishwarya Sarkar , Autrin Hakimi , Xiaoqiong Chen , Hai Huang , Chaoqun Lu , Ibrahim Demir , Ali Jannesari

Although unsupervised generative modeling of an image dataset using a Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) has been used to detect anomalous images, or anomalous regions in images, recent works have shown that this method often identifies images…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-13 David Dehaene , Pierre Eline

Gridded estimated rainfall intensity values at very high spatial and temporal resolution levels are needed as main inputs for weather prediction models to obtain accurate precipitation forecasts, and to verify the performance of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-23 Montserrat Fuentes , Brian Reich , Gyuwon Lee

Motivated by the EVA 2025 Data Challenge, we address the problem of predicting extreme rainfall in the eastern United States using data from a large ensemble of climate model runs. The challenge focuses on three quantities of interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Ryan Campbell , Kristina Grolmusova , Lydia Kakampakou , Jeongjin Lee

Machine learning models that can exploit the inherent structure in data have gained prominence. In particular, there is a surge in deep learning solutions for graph-structured data, due to its wide-spread applicability in several fields.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Uday Shankar Shanthamallu , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Andreas Spanias

Forecasts of monsoon rainfall for India are made at national scale. But there is spatial coherence and heterogeneity that is relevant to forecasting. This paper considers year-to-year rainfall change and annual extremes at sub-national…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-27 Adway Mitra , Ashwin K. Seshadri

In autonomous driving, detection of abnormal driving behaviors is essential to ensure the safety of vehicle controllers. Prior works in vehicle anomaly detection have shown that modeling interactions between agents improves detection…

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