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The utility-based shortfall risk (SR) measure introduced by Folmer and Schied [15] has been recently extended by Mao and Cai [29] to cumulative prospect theory (CPT) based SR in order to better capture a decision maker's utility/risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Sainan Zhang , Huifu Xu

This paper proposes a novel class of generalized Expected-Shortfall (ES) norms constructed via distortion risk measures, establishing a unified analytical framework for risk quantification. The proposed norms extend conventional ES…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Shuyu Gong , Taizhong Hu , Zhenfeng Zou

We introduce and study the main properties of a class of convex risk measures that refine Expected Shortfall by simultaneously controlling the expected losses associated with different portions of the tail distribution. The corresponding…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-19 Matteo Burzoni , Cosimo Munari , Ruodu Wang

We address the problem that classical risk measures may not detect the tail risk adequately. This can occur for instance due to averaging when calculating the Expected Shortfall. The current literature proposes the so-called adjusted…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-24 Jascha Alexander , Christian Laudagé , Jörn Sass

We derive the joint asymptotic distribution of empirical quantiles and expected shortfalls under general conditions on the distribution of the underlying observations. In particular, we do not assume that the distribution function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Tobias Zwingmann , Hajo Holzmann

Due to their heterogeneity, insurance risks can be properly described as a mixture of different fixed models, where the weights assigned to each model may be estimated empirically from a sample of available data. If a risk measure is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Valeria Bignozzi , Claudio Macci , Lea Petrella

We introduce new forecast encompassing tests for the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES). The ES currently receives much attention through its introduction into the Basel III Accords, which stipulate its use as the primary market risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-31 Timo Dimitriadis , Julie Schnaitmann

A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-02 Tolulope Fadina , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

The expectile can be considered as a generalization of quantile. While expected shortfall is a quantile based risk measure, we study its counterpart -- the expectile based expected shortfall -- where expectile takes the place of quantile.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-11 Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

We investigate to which extent the relevant features of (static) Systemic Risk Measures can be extended to a conditional setting. After providing a general dual representation result, we analyze in greater detail Conditional Shortfall…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-12 Alessandro Doldi , Marco Frittelli

Expectile bears some interesting properties in comparison to the industry wide expected shortfall in terms of assessment of tail risk. We study the relationship between expectile and expected shortfall using duality results and the link to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

Risk measures like Marginal Expected Shortfall and Marginal Mean Excess quantify conditional risk and in particular, aid in the understanding of systemic risk. In many such scenarios, models exhibiting heavy tails in the margins and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

It is well known that Expected Shortfall (also called Average Value-at-Risk) is a convex risk measure, i. e. Expected Shortfall of a convex linear combination of arbitrary risk positions is not greater than a convex linear combination with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-03 Mikhail Tselishchev

We present a general framework for a comparative theory of variability measures, with a particular focus on the recently introduced one-parameter families of inter-Expected Shortfall differences and inter-expectile differences, that are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Fabio Bellini , Tolulope Fadina , Ruodu Wang , Yunran Wei

As a counterpart to the (static) risk measures of generalized quantiles and motivated by Bellini et al. (2018), we propose a new kind of conditional risk measure called conditional generalized quantiles. We first show their well-definedness…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-31 Qinyu Wu , Fan Yang , Ping Zhang

We introduce the formalism of generalized Fourier transforms in the context of risk management. We develop a general framework to efficiently compute the most popular risk measures, Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall (also known as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-08 G. Bormetti , V. Cazzola , G. Livan , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

Quantiles, expectiles and extremiles can be seen as concepts defined via an optimization problem, where this optimization problem is driven by two important ingredients: the loss function as well as a distributional weight function. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-21 Dieter Debrauwer , Irène Gijbels , Klaus Herrmann

This paper investigates the second order asymptotic expansion for tail probabilities of discounted aggregate claims in continuous-time renewal risk models with constant interest force. Concretely, two types of continuous-time renewal risk…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-07 Bingzhen Genga , Shijie Wanga , Yang Yang

Continual learning is motivated by the need to adapt to real-world dynamics in tasks and data distribution while mitigating catastrophic forgetting. Despite significant advances in continual learning techniques, the theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Yihan Zhao , Wenqing Su , Ying Yang
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