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The need to reason about uncertainty in large, complex, and multi-modal datasets has become increasingly common across modern scientific environments. The ability to transform samples from one distribution $P$ to another distribution $Q$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-30 Diego A. Mesa , Justin Tantiongloc , Marcela Mendoza , Todd P. Coleman

In this paper, we propose a sampling algorithm based on state-of-the-art statistical machine learning techniques to obtain conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations (CNOPs), which is different from traditional (deterministic) optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Bin Shi , Guodong Sun

This work proposes new estimators for discrete optimal transport plans that enjoy Gaussian limits centered at the true solution. This behavior stands in stark contrast with the performance of existing estimators, including those based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 Shuyu Liu , Florentina Bunea , Jonathan Niles-Weed

Testing conditional independence between two random vectors given a third is a fundamental and challenging problem in statistics, particularly in multivariate nonparametric settings due to the complexity of conditional structures. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-28 Chenxuan He , Yuan Gao , Liping Zhu , Jian Huang

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. This problem is magnified in high-dimensional settings where the number of variables $p$ diverges with the sample size $n$, as well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Many causal and structural parameters in economics can be identified and estimated by computing the value of an optimization program over all distributions consistent with the model and the data. Existing tools apply when the data is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Andrei Voronin

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Guo Yan

We present a new approach for statistical inference on noise properties of CMB anisotropy data. We consider a Maximum Likelihood parametric estimator to recover the full dependence structure of the noise process. We also consider a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 P. Natoli , D. Marinucci , P. Cabella , G. de Gasperis , N. Vittorio

We present a framework for performing regression when both covariate and response are probability distributions on a compact interval $\Omega\subset\mathbb{R}$. Our regression model is based on the theory of optimal transportation and links…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Optimal transport maps define a one-to-one correspondence between probability distributions, and as such have grown popular for machine learning applications. However, these maps are generally defined on empirical observations and cannot be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Lucas de Lara , Alberto González-Sanz , Jean-Michel Loubes

A novel algorithm is proposed to solve the sample-based optimal transport problem. An adversarial formulation of the push-forward condition uses a test function built as a convolution between an adaptive kernel and an evolving probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Daeyoung Kim , Esteban G. Tabak

In this paper we address the numerical solution of the quadratic optimal transport problem in its dynamical form, the so-called Benamou-Brenier formulation. When solved using interior point methods, the main computational bottleneck is the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-22 Enrico Facca , Gabriele Todeschi , Andrea Natale , Michele Benzi

We derive distributional limits for empirical transport distances between probability measures supported on countable sets. Our approach is based on sensitivity analysis of optimal values of infinite dimensional mathematical programs and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Carla Tameling , Max Sommerfeld , Axel Munk

We present a class of models that, via a simple construction, enables exact, incremental, non-parametric, polynomial-time, Bayesian inference of conditional measures. The approach relies upon creating a sequence of covers on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-05-31 Christos Dimitrakakis

In this paper we study the computation of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) in multivariate mixture models. Our first approach discretizes this infinite dimensional convex optimization problem by fixing the support…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Yangjing Zhang , Ying Cui , Bodhisattva Sen , Kim-Chuan Toh

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Conditional estimation given specific covariate values (i.e., local conditional estimation or functional estimation) is ubiquitously useful with applications in engineering, social and natural sciences. Existing data-driven non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Fan Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Erick Delage , Yinyu Ye

We present a novel framework for conditional sampling of probability measures, using block triangular transport maps. We develop the theoretical foundations of block triangular transport in a Banach space setting, establishing general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-07 Ricardo Baptista , Bamdad Hosseini , Nikola B. Kovachki , Youssef Marzouk

We consider an empirical likelihood framework for inference for a statistical model based on an informative sampling design. Covariate information is incorporated both through the weights and the estimating equations. The estimator is based…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-03 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mark S. Handcock

We introduce a two-stage probabilistic framework for statistical downscaling using unpaired data. Statistical downscaling seeks a probabilistic map to transform low-resolution data from a biased coarse-grained numerical scheme to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Zhong Yi Wan , Ricardo Baptista , Yi-fan Chen , John Anderson , Anudhyan Boral , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez
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