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We discuss nonparametric estimation of linear multiplier in a trend coefficient in models governed by an $\alpha$-stable small noise.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-22 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We consider non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the drift coefficient of a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation from discrete-time observations on the solution of this equation. Under suitable regularity conditions that are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We investigate the problem of nonparametric estimation of the trend for stochastic differential equations with delay and driven by a fractional Brownian motion through the method of kernel-type estimation for the estimation of a probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-09 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility function of a stochastic differential equation driven by a gamma process. The volatility function is modelled a priori as piecewise constant, and we specify a gamma…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Denis Belomestny , Shota Gugushvili , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We consider the problem of estimating stochastic volatility for a class of second-order parabolic stochastic PDEs. Assuming that the solution is observed at a high temporal frequency, we use limit theorems for multipower variations and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Carsten Chong

A scheme is developed for estimating state-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients in a stochastic differential equation from time-series data. The scheme does not require to specify parametric forms for the drift and diffusion…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-09-28 Jun Ohkubo

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the linear multiplier function $\theta(t)$ for processes satisfying stochastic differential equations of the type $$dX_t= \theta(t)X_t dt+ \epsilon\; \sigma_1(t,X_t)\sigma_2(t,Y_t)dW_t,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-03 B. L. S Prakasa Rao

We present a method for the nonparametric estimation of the drift function of certain types of stochastic differential equations from the empirical density. It is based on a variational formulation of the Fokker-Planck equation. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-16 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We investigate the asymptotic properties of a kernel-type nonparametric estimator of the linear multiplier in models governed by a stochastic differential equation driven by a general Gaussian process.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-25 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

We consider a continuous-time stochastic volatility model. The model contains a stationary volatility process, the multivariate density of the finite dimensional distributions of which we aim to estimate. We assume that we observe the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic processes driven by additive small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 0<H<1/2 and 1/2<H<1. Under some assumptions on the drift coefficient, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Shohei Nakajima , Yasutaka Shimizu

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

The information detection of complex systems from data is currently undergoing a revolution, driven by the emergence of big data and machine learning methodology. Discovering governing equations and quantifying dynamical properties of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan , Jianyu Hu , Xiangjun Wang

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

Stochastic volatility modelling of financial processes has become increasingly popular. The proposed models usually contain a stationary volatility process. We will motivate and review several nonparametric methods for estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

We study the nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function for ergodic stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter H > 1/2. The estimator is based on the discretely observed stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen
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