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Accurately quantifying air-sea fluxes is important for understanding air-sea interactions and improving coupled weather and climate systems. This study introduces a probabilistic framework to represent the highly variable nature of air-sea…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-30 Jiarong Wu , Pavel Perezhogin , David John Gagne , Brandon Reichl , Aneesh C. Subramanian , Elizabeth Thompson , Laure Zanna

Mesoscale eddies remain poorly represented in most climate models, motivating the use of parameterizations to account for their dynamical effects on the coupled system. In this study, we implement a data-driven eddy parameterization based…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-30 Jia-Rui Shi , Pavel Perezhogin , Laure Zanna , Alistair Adcroft

Boundary layer turbulence, particularly the vertical fluxes of momentum, shapes the evolution of winds and currents and plays a critical role in weather, climate, and biogeochemical processes. In this work, a unified, data-driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Renaud Falga , Sara Shamekh , Laure Zanna

Global climate models parameterize a range of atmospheric-oceanic processes like gravity waves, clouds, moist convection, and turbulence that cannot be sufficiently resolved. These subgrid-scale closures for unresolved processes are a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-05 Aman Gupta , Aditi Sheshadri , Sujit Roy , Johannes Schmude , Vishal Gaur , Wei Ji Leong , Manil Maskey , Rahul Ramachandran

Neural networks are a promising technique for parameterizing sub-grid-scale physics (e.g. moist atmospheric convection) in coarse-resolution climate models, but their lack of interpretability and reliability prevents widespread adoption.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-30 Noah D. Brenowitz , Tom Beucler , Michael Pritchard , Christopher S. Bretherton

Numerical models of the ocean and ice sheets are crucial for understanding and simulating the impact of greenhouse gases on the global climate. Oceanic processes affect phenomena such as hurricanes, extreme precipitation, and droughts.…

When simulating multiscale systems, where some fields cannot be fully prescribed despite their effects on the simulation's accuracy, closure models are needed. This phenomenon is observed in turbulent fluid dynamics, where Large Eddy…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-12-01 Eduardo Vital , Jean-Marc Gratien , Yassine Ayoun , Thibault Faney , Julien Bohbot

With the success of machine learning (ML) applied to climate reaching further every day, emulators have begun to show promise not only for weather but for multi-year time scales in the atmosphere. Similar work for the ocean remains nascent,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-05 Surya Dheeshjith , Adam Subel , Shubham Gupta , Alistair Adcroft , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Julius Busecke , Laure Zanna

We present a method for parametrizing sub-grid processes in the Shallow Water equations. We define coarse variables and local spatial averages and use a feed-forward neural network to learn sub-grid fluxes. Our method results in a local…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-06 Md Amran Hossan Mojamder , Zhihang Xu , Min Wang , Ilya Timofeyev

Modeling is crucial to understanding the effect of greenhouse gases, warming, and ice sheet melting on the ocean. At the same time, ocean processes affect phenomena such as hurricanes and droughts. Parameters in the models that cannot be…

Ocean mesoscale eddies are often poorly represented in climate models, and therefore, their effects on the large scale circulation must be parameterized. Traditional parameterizations, which represent the bulk effect of the unresolved…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-23 Pavel Perezhogin , Cheng Zhang , Alistair Adcroft , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Laure Zanna

A central challenge in climate science and applied mathematics is developing data-driven models of multiscale systems that capture both stationary statistics and responses to external perturbations. Current neural climate emulators aim to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-27 Fabrizio Falasca

Climate projections continue to be marred by large uncertainties, which originate in processes that need to be parameterized, such as clouds, convection, and ecosystems. But rapid progress is now within reach. New computational tools and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Tapio Schneider , Shiwei Lan , Andrew Stuart , João Teixeira

For reasons of computational constraint, most global ocean circulation models used for Earth System Modeling still rely on parameterizations of sub-grid processes, and limitations in these parameterizations affect the modeled ocean…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Fei Er Yan , Hugo Frezat , Julien Le Sommer , Julian Mak , Karl Otness

Whenever oceanic currents flow over rough topography, there is an associated stress that acts to modify the flow. In the deep ocean, this stress is predominantly a form drag due to pressure differentials across topography, caused by the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-13 Daniel R. Johnston , Callum J. Shakespeare , Navid C. Constantinou

Parameterizations of O(1-10)km submesoscale flows in General Circulation Models (GCMs) represent the effects of unresolved vertical buoyancy fluxes in the ocean mixed layer. These submesoscale flows interact non-linearly with mesoscale and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-04 Abigail Bodner , Dhruv Balwada , Laure Zanna

Simulations of complex physical systems are typically realized by discretizing partial differential equations (PDEs) on unstructured meshes. While neural networks have recently been explored for surrogate and reduced order modeling of PDE…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Jiayang Xu , Aniruddhe Pradhan , Karthik Duraisamy

Submesoscale processes, with spatio-temporal scales of O(0.01-10) km and hours to 1 day which are hardly resolved by current ocean models, are important sub-grid processes in ocean models. Due to the strong vertical currents, submesoscale…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-11 Shuyi Zhou , Jihai Dong , Fanghua Xu , Zhiyou Jing , Changming Dong

Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence. Machine learning (ML) parameterizations trained on short…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-18 Helge Heuer , Tom Beucler , Mierk Schwabe , Julien Savre , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

The parameterization of moist convection contributes to uncertainty in climate modeling and numerical weather prediction. Machine learning (ML) can be used to learn new parameterizations directly from high-resolution model output, but it…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Paul A. O'Gorman , John G. Dwyer