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In geostatistics, traditional spatial models often rely on the Gaussian Process (GP) to fit stationary covariances to data. It is well known that this approach becomes computationally infeasible when dealing with large data volumes,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-17 Antony Sikorski , Daniel McKenzie , Douglas Nychka

Training and inference in Gaussian processes (GPs) require solving linear systems with $n\times n$ kernel matrices. To address the prohibitive $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ time complexity, recent work has employed fast iterative methods, like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Kaiwen Wu , Jonathan Wenger , Haydn Jones , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

The use of Gaussian processes (GPs) is supported by efficient sampling algorithms, a rich methodological literature, and strong theoretical grounding. However, due to their prohibitive computation and storage demands, the use of exact GPs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Kelly R. Moran , Matthew W. Wheeler

The Gaussian process (GP) regression model is a widely employed surrogate modeling technique for computer experiments, offering precise predictions and statistical inference for the computer simulators that generate experimental data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Lulu Kang , Yuanxing Cheng , Yiwei Wang , Chun Liu

Gaussian process (GP) surrogates are the default tool for emulating expensive computer experiments, but cubic cost, stationarity assumptions, and Gaussian predictive distributions limit their reach. We propose Generative Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a well-known nonparametric Bayesian inference technique, but they suffer from scalability problems for large sample sizes, and their performance can degrade for non-stationary or spatially heterogeneous data. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-28 Michael E. Kepler , Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Daniel J. Stilwell

In this paper we introduce a novel online time series forecasting model we refer to as the pM-GP filter. We show that our model is equivalent to Gaussian process regression, with the advantage that both online forecasting and online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen J. Roberts

Covariance tapering is a popular approach for reducing the computational cost of spatial prediction and parameter estimation for Gaussian process models. However, tapering can have poor performance when the process is sampled at spatially…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-22 David Bolin , Jonas Wallin

We present Blitzkriging, a new approach to fast inference for Gaussian processes, applicable to regression, optimisation and classification. State-of-the-art (stochastic) inference for Gaussian processes on very large datasets scales…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-03 Thomas Nickson , Tom Gunter , Chris Lloyd , Michael A Osborne , Stephen Roberts

This paper presents a new approach for Gaussian process (GP) regression for large datasets. The approach involves partitioning the regression input domain into multiple local regions with a different local GP model fitted in each region.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Chiwoo Park , Daniel Apley

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful kernelized methods for non-parameteric regression used in many applications. However, their use is limited to a few thousand of training samples due to their cubic time complexity. In order to scale GPs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-20 Manuel Schürch , Dario Azzimonti , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

We introduce a scalable Gaussian process (GP) framework with deep product kernels for data-driven learning of parametrized spatio-temporal fields over fixed or parameter-dependent domains. The proposed framework learns a continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Srinath Dama , Prasanth B. Nair

Scientists often express their understanding of the world through a computationally demanding simulation program. Analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters given observations (the inverse problem) can be extremely challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-14 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

Maximizing the likelihood has been widely used for estimating the unknown covariance parameters of spatial Gaussian processes. However, evaluating and optimizing the likelihood function can be computationally intractable, particularly for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Hossein Keshavarz , XuanLong Nguyen , Clayton Scott

Covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes is analyzed in an asymptotic framework. The spatial sampling is a randomly perturbed regular grid and its deviation from the perfect regular grid is controlled by a single scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-09 François Bachoc

This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

Variable selection in Gaussian processes (GPs) is typically undertaken by thresholding the inverse lengthscales of automatic relevance determination kernels, but in high-dimensional datasets this approach can be unreliable. A more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hugh Dance , Brooks Paige

Cokriging is the common method of spatial interpolation (best linear unbiased prediction) in multivariate geostatistics. While best linear prediction has been well understood in univariate spatial statistics, the literature for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 François Bachoc , Emilio Porcu , Moreno Bevilacqua , Reinhard Furrer , Tarik Faouzi

The determination of the physical parameters of gravitational wave events is a fundamental pillar in the analysis of the signals observed by the current ground-based interferometers. Typically, this is done using Bayesian inference…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-11-07 M. Andrés-Carcasona , M. Martinez , Ll. M. Mir

Kriging is the predominant method used for spatial prediction, but relies on the assumption that predictions are linear combinations of the observations. Kriging often also relies on additional assumptions such as normality and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-29 Haoyu Wang , Yawen Guan , Brian J Reich