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We develop a numerical method to reconstruct systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from time series data without {\it a priori} knowledge of the underlying ODEs using sparse basis learning and sparse function reconstruction. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-19 Manuel Mai , Mark D. Shattuck , Corey S. O'Hern

The purpose of this paper is to study the time average behavior of Markov chains with transition probabilities being kernels of completely continuous operators, and therefore to provide a sufficient condition for a class of Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Shizhou Xu

Given a heterogeneous time-series sample, the objective is to find points in time (called change points) where the probability distribution generating the data has changed. The data are assumed to have been generated by arbitrary unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-13 Azadeh Khaleghi , Daniil Ryabko

Many real-world systems, such as moving planets, can be considered as multi-agent dynamic systems, where objects interact with each other and co-evolve along with the time. Such dynamics is usually difficult to capture, and understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Zijie Huang , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) use a neural network to model the instantaneous rate of change in the state of a system. However, despite their apparent suitability for dynamics-governed time-series, NODEs present a few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Alexander Norcliffe , Cristian Bodnar , Ben Day , Jacob Moss , Pietro Liò

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

Forecasting system behaviour near and across bifurcations is crucial for identifying potential shifts in dynamical systems. While machine learning has recently been used to learn critical transitions and bifurcation structures from data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Eva van Tegelen , George van Voorn , Ioannis Athanasiadis , Peter van Heijster

Understanding the training dynamics of deep neural networks (DNNs) is important as it can lead to improved training efficiency and task performance. Recent works have demonstrated that representing the wirings of static graph cannot capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Fatemeh Vahedian , Ruiyu Li , Puja Trivedi , Di Jin , Danai Koutra

In this paper, we introduce ergodic sets, subsets of nodes of the networks that are dynamically disjoint from the rest of the network (i.e. that can never be reached or left following to the network dynamics). We connect their definition to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Erik Hormann , Renaud Lambiotte

Given two distinct subsets $A,B$ in the state space of some dynamical system, Transition Path Theory (TPT) was successfully used to describe the statistical behavior of transitions from $A$ to $B$ in the ergodic limit of the stationary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Luzie Helfmann , Enric Ribera Borrell , Christof Schütte , Péter Koltai

Training neural ODEs on large datasets has not been tractable due to the necessity of allowing the adaptive numerical ODE solver to refine its step size to very small values. In practice this leads to dynamics equivalent to many hundreds or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Chris Finlay , Jörn-Henrik Jacobsen , Levon Nurbekyan , Adam M Oberman

In this work a method for statistical analysis of time series is proposed, which is used to obtain solutions to some classical problems of mathematical statistics under the only assumption that the process generating the data is stationary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-05 Daniil Ryabko , Boris Ryabko

Identifying dynamical systems from experimental data is a notably difficult task. Prior knowledge generally helps, but the extent of this knowledge varies with the application, and customized models are often needed. Neural ordinary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-13 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Valery Morgenthaler , Sebastian Trimpe , Florent Di Meglio

This paper deals with a general class of observation-driven time series models with a special focus on time series of counts. We provide conditions under which there exist strict-sense stationary and ergodic versions of such processes. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Randal Douc , Paul Doukhan , Eric Moulines

Neural ODE Processes approach the problem of meta-learning for dynamics using a latent variable model, which permits a flexible aggregation of contextual information. This flexibility is inherited from the Neural Process framework and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Ben Day , Alexander Norcliffe , Jacob Moss , Pietro Liò

Adaptive dynamical systems arise in a multitude of contexts, e.g., optimization, control, communications, signal processing, and machine learning. A precise characterization of their fundamental limitations is therefore of paramount…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-10-13 Maxim Raginsky

In this work, we study the problem of learning partially observed linear dynamical systems from a single sample trajectory. A major practical challenge in the existing system identification methods is the undesirable dependency of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-09 Salar Fattahi

Modeling dynamical systems plays a crucial role in capturing and understanding complex physical phenomena. When physical models are not sufficiently accurate or hardly describable by analytical formulas, one can use generic function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Armand Jordana , Justin Carpentier , Ludovic Righetti

Markedly increased computational power and data acquisition have led to growing interest in data-driven inverse dynamics problems. These seek to answer a fundamental question: What can we learn from time series measurements of a complex…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-29 Jinghao Lyu , Kyle J. Ray , James P. Crutchfield