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This paper investigates the use of risk measures and theories of choice for modeling risk-averse route choice and traffic network equilibrium with random travel times. We interpret the postulates of these theories in the context of routing,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Roberto Cominetti , Alfredo Torrico

In the paradigm of decentralized learning, a group of agents collaborate to learn a global model using a distributed dataset without a central server; nevertheless, it is severely challenged by the heterogeneity of the data distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Lina Wang , Yunsheng Yuan , Feng Li , Lingjie Duan

Classical reinforcement learning (RL) techniques are generally concerned with the design of decision-making policies driven by the maximisation of the expected outcome. Nevertheless, this approach does not take into consideration the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Thibaut Théate , Damien Ernst

We consider fair allocations of indivisible goods to agents with general monotone valuations. We observe that it is useful to introduce a new share-based fairness notion, the {\em residual maximin share} (RMMS). This share is {\em feasible}…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Uriel Feige

We develop a new classification framework based on the theory of coherent risk measures and systemic risk. The proposed approach is suitable for multi-class problems when the data is noisy, scarce (relative to the dimension of the problem),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Darinka Dentcheva , Xiangyu Tian

Feature attribution analysis is critical for interpreting machine learning models and supporting reliable data-driven decisions. However, feature attribution measures often exhibit stochastic variation: different train--test splits, random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Lanxin Xiang , Liang Shi , Youhui Ye , Boyu Jiang , Dawei Zhou , Feng Guo

In the new field of financial systemic risk, the network of interbank counterparty relationships can be described as a directed random graph. In "cascade models" of systemic risk, this "skeleton" acts as the medium through which financial…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-11 T. R. Hurd

We provide an axiomatic approach to general premium principles in a probability-free setting that allows for Knightian uncertainty. Every premium principle is the sum of a risk measure, as a generalization of the expected value, and a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 Max Nendel , Frank Riedel , Maren Diane Schmeck

We investigate robust linear regression where data may be contaminated by an oblivious adversary, i.e., an adversary than may know the data distribution but is otherwise oblivious to the realizations of the data samples. This model has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Tom Norman , Nir Weinberger , Kfir Y. Levy

This work studies the learning ability of consensus and diffusion distributed learners from continuous streams of data arising from different but related statistical distributions. Four distinctive features for diffusion learners are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Zaid J. Towfic , Jianshu Chen , Ali H. Sayed

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the entrance probability of discounted aggregate claims of a certain family of rare sets is studied, considering the finite and infinite time horizons. This multivariate risk model, driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis , Hui Xu

This paper studies decentralized risk-sharing on networks. In particular, we consider a model where agents are nodes in a given network structure. Agents directly connected by edges in the network are referred to as friends. We study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Heather N. Fogarty , Sooie-Hoe Loke , Nicholas F. Marshall , Enrique A. Thomann

This paper motivates and develops a novel and focused approach to variable selection in linear regression models. For estimating the regression mean $\mu=\E\,(Y\midd x_0)$, for the covariate vector of a given individual, there is a list of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Nils Lid Hjort

Ensuring equitable treatment (fairness) across protected attributes (such as gender or ethnicity) is a critical issue in machine learning. Most existing literature focuses on binary classification, but achieving fairness in regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Ho Ming Lee , Katrien Antonio , Benjamin Avanzi , Lorenzo Marchi , Rui Zhou

We present a new uncertainty principle for risk-aware statistical estimation, effectively quantifying the inherent trade-off between mean squared error ($\mse$) and risk, the latter measured by the associated average predictive squared…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Nikolas P. Koumpis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

By building on a recently introduced genetic-inspired attribute-based conceptual framework for safety risk analysis, we propose a novel methodology to compute construction univariate and bivariate construction safety risk at a situational…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Antoine J. -P. Tixier , Matthew R. Hallowell , Balaji Rajagopalan

A fundamental assumption of most machine learning algorithms is that the training and test data are drawn from the same underlying distribution. However, this assumption is violated in almost all practical applications: machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Marvin Zhang , Henrik Marklund , Nikita Dhawan , Abhishek Gupta , Sergey Levine , Chelsea Finn

We generalize Quasi-Linear Means by restricting to the tail of the risk distribution and show that this can be a useful quantity in risk management since it comprises in its general form the Value at Risk, the Tail Value at Risk and the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-22 Nicole Bäuerle , Tomer Shushi

We take an axiomatic approach to the allocation of riparian water rights. We formalize ethical or structural properties as axioms of allocation rules. We show that several combinations of these axioms characterize focal rules implementing…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-01 Ricardo Martinez , Juan D. Moreno-Ternero

In this paper we develop a novel methodology for estimation of risk capital allocation. The methodology is rooted in the theory of risk measures. We work within a general, but tractable class of law-invariant coherent risk measures, with a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt