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Tackling climate change is at the top of many agendas. In this context, emission trading schemes are considered as promising tools. The regulatory framework for an emission trading scheme introduces a market for emission allowances and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Juri Hinz , Alex Novikov

We provide a theoretical framework to examine how carbon pricing policies influence inflation and to estimate the policy-driven impact on goods prices from achieving net-zero emissions. Firms control emissions by adjusting production,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-29 René Aïd , Maria Arduca , Sara Biagini , Luca Taschini

The aim of this paper is to address the effect of the carbon emission allowance market on the production policy of a large polluter production firm. We investigate this effect in two cases; when the large polluter cannot affect the risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Arash Fahim , Nizar Touzi

We consider the problem of reducing the carbon emissions of a set of firms over a finite horizon. A regulator dynamically allocates emission allowances to each firm. Firms face idiosyncratic as well as common economic shocks on emissions,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-25 René Aïd , Sara Biagini

We develop a financial market model in which a large population of firms chooses dynamic emission strategies under climate transition risk, interacting with both environmentally concerned and neutral investors. Firms face a trade-off…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Pierre Lavigne , Peter Tankov

We present a novel approach to the pricing of financial instruments in emission markets, for example, the EU ETS. The proposed structural model is positioned between existing complex full equilibrium models and pure reduced form models.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Sam Howison , Daniel Schwarz

Carbon pricing has become a central pillar of modern climate policy, with carbon taxes and emissions trading systems (ETS) serving as the two dominant approaches. Although economic theory suggests these instruments are equivalent under…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-21 Stéphane Crépey , Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

The European Union Emission Trading Scheme is a carbon emission allowance trading system designed by Europe to achieve emission reduction targets. The amount of carbon emission caused by production activities is closely related to the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-19 Peng-Fei Dai , Xiong Xiong , Toan Luu Duc Huynh , Jiqiang Wang

There is much disagreement concerning how best to control global carbon emissions. We explore quantitatively how different control schemes affect the collective emission dynamics of a population of emitting entities. We uncover a complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-12 Zhenyuan Zhao , Dan Fenn , Pak Ming Hui , Neil F. Johnson

In two-stage electricity markets, renewable power producers enter the day-ahead market with a forecast of future power generation and then reconcile any forecast deviation in the real-time market at a penalty. The choice of the forecast…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-15 Vladimir Dvorkin

We introduce a model for the evolution of emissions and the price of emissions allowances in a carbon market such as the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). The model accounts for multiple trading periods, or phases, with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-21 Chassagneux Jean-Francois , Chotai Hinesh , Crisan Dan

We develop a continuous-time model of incentives for carbon emissive firms to exit the market based on a compensation payment identical to all firms. In our model, firms enjoy profits from production modeled as a simple geometric Brownian…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-08 René Aïd , Xiangying Pang , Xiaolu Tan

As carbon pricing mechanisms like the EU Emissions Trading System are set to increase prices of energy consumption, software architects face growing pressure to design applications that operate within financially predictable emission…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Leo Wilhelm Lierse , Mahyar Tourchi Moghaddam , Sebastian Werner

Secondary markets and resale are integral components of all emission trading systems. Despite the justification for these secondary trades, such as unpredictable demand, they may encourage speculation and result in the misallocation of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-11 Peyman Khezr

In this paper, I consider a simple heterogeneous agents model of a production economy with uncertain climate change and examine constrained efficient carbon taxation. If there are frictionless, complete financial markets, the simple model…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-18 Felix Kübler

Existing emissions trading system (ETS) designs inhibit emissions but do not constrain warming to any fxed level, preventing certainty of the global path of warming. Instead, they have the indirect objective of reducing emissions. They…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-01 John F. Raffensperger

In this paper we investigate the causal impact of the European Union Emissions Trading System, a cap-and-trade scheme limiting greenhouse gas emissions of firms, on their environmental performance. Although previous studies have focused…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-18 Andrea Ciaccio , Francesco Moscone , Elisa Tosetti

The decarbonization of the power sector plays a pivotal role in economy-wide decarbonization to set the world on track to limit warming to 1.5{\deg}C by 2050. Carbon emission markets can play a significant role in this transition by putting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-19 Yijie Yang , Jian Shi , Dan Wang , Chenye Wu , Zhu Han

The growing urgency of the climate crisis has driven the implementation of diverse policy instruments to mitigate greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Among them, carbon pricing mechanisms such as carbon taxes and emissions trading systems…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-09 Ricardo Alonzo Fernández Salguero

The European Union Emission Trading System is a prominent market-based mechanism to reduce emissions. While the theory is well understood, we are the first to study the whole cap-and-trade mechanism as a financial market. Analyzing the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-16 Nicola Borri , Yukun Liu , Aleh Tsyvinski , Xi Wu
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