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Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

A comprehensive artificial intelligence system needs to not only perceive the environment with different `senses' (e.g., seeing and hearing) but also infer the world's conditional (or even causal) relations and corresponding uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-07 Hao Wang , Dit-Yan Yeung

We study the problem of allocating $T$ sequentially arriving items among $n$ homogeneous agents under the constraint that each agent must receive a pre-specified fraction of all items, with the objective of maximizing the agents' total…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Steven Yin , Shipra Agrawal , Assaf Zeevi

We investigate the mechanism design problem faced by a principal who hires \emph{multiple} agents to gather and report costly information. Then, the principal exploits the information to make an informed decision. We model this problem as a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Federico Cacciamani , Matteo Castiglioni , Nicola Gatti

We examine information structure design, also called "persuasion" or "signaling", in the presence of a constraint on the amount of communication. We focus on the fundamental setting of bilateral trade, which in its simplest form involves a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Shaddin Dughmi , David Kempe , Ruixin Qiang

In this paper we investigate the potential for persuasion arising from the quantum indeterminacy of a decision-maker's beliefs, a feature that has been proposed as a formal expression of well-known cognitive limitations. We focus on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-25 Vladimir I. Danilov , Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky

We study the problem of non-Bayesian social learning with uncertain models, in which a network of agents seek to cooperatively identify the state of the world based on a sequence of observed signals. In contrast with the existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-11 César A. Uribe , James Z. Hare , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

We consider the multi-sender persuasion problem: multiple players with informational advantage signal to convince a single self-interested actor to take certain actions. This problem generalizes the seminal Bayesian Persuasion framework and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Safwan Hossain , Tonghan Wang , Tao Lin , Yiling Chen , David C. Parkes , Haifeng Xu

Offline Reinforcement learning is commonly used for sequential decision-making in domains such as healthcare and education, where the rewards are known and the transition dynamics $T$ must be estimated on the basis of batch data. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Leo Benac , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

This paper develops a theory of learning under ambiguity induced by the decision maker's beliefs about the collection of data correlated with the true state of the world. Within our framework, two classical results on Bayesian learning…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-10 Cheaheon Lim

We present a method for learning the parameters of a Bayesian network with prior knowledge about the signs of influences between variables. Our method accommodates not just the standard signs, but provides for context-specific signs as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Ad Feelders , Linda C. van der Gaag

We consider an adversarial Bayesian signal processing problem involving "us" and an "adversary". The adversary observes our state in noise; updates its posterior distribution of the state and then chooses an action based on this posterior.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-19 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Muralidhar Rangaswamy

User preference learning is generally a hard problem. Individual preferences are typically unknown even to users themselves, while the space of choices is infinite. Here we study user preference learning from information-theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Tanya Ignatenko , Kirill Kondrashov , Marco Cox , Bert de Vries

Information design is typically studied through the lens of Bayesian signaling, where signals shape beliefs purely based on their correlation with the true state of the world. However, behavioral economics and psychology emphasize that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Paul Duetting , Safwan Hossain , Tao Lin , Renato Paes Leme , Sai Srivatsa Ravindranath , Haifeng Xu , Song Zuo

A Bayesian optimization algorithm for the nurse scheduling problem is presented, which involves choosing a suitable scheduling rule from a set for each nurses assignment. Unlike our previous work that used Gas to implement implicit…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-07-05 Jingpeng Li , Uwe Aickelin

In the classical Bayesian persuasion model an informed player and an uninformed one engage in a static interaction. The informed player, the sender, knows the state of nature, while the uninformed one, the receiver, does not. The informed…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 Ehud Lehrer , Dimitry Shaiderman

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

As one of the classic models that describe the belief dynamics over social networks, a non-Bayesian social learning model assumes that members in the network possess accurate signal knowledge through the process of Bayesian inference. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Sannyuya Liu , Zhonghua Yan , Xiufeng Cheng , Liang Zhao

In order to interact intelligently with objects in the world, animals must first transform neural population responses into estimates of the dynamic, unknown stimuli which caused them. The Bayesian solution to this problem is known as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Sacha Sokoloski

Surprise-based learning allows agents to rapidly adapt to non-stationary stochastic environments characterized by sudden changes. We show that exact Bayesian inference in a hierarchical model gives rise to a surprise-modulated trade-off…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-25 Vasiliki Liakoni , Alireza Modirshanechi , Wulfram Gerstner , Johanni Brea
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