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Bitcoin and its decentralized computing paradigm for digital currency trading are one of the most disruptive technology in the 21st century. This paper presents a novel approach to developing a Bitcoin transaction forecast model,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Wenqi Wei , Qi Zhang , Ling Liu

The growth potential of a crypto(currency) project can be measured by the use cases spurred by the underlying technology. However, these projects are usually distributed, with a weak feedback schemes. Hence, a metric that is widely used as…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Maurantonio Caprolu , Roberto Di Pietro , Flavio Lombardi , Elia Onofri

Non-fungible tokens (NFT) have recently emerged as a novel blockchain hosted financial asset class that has attracted major transaction volumes. Investment decisions rely on data and adequate preprocessing and application of analytics to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-23 Jason B. Cho , Sven Serneels , David S. Matteson

Multifractal analysis studies signals, functions, images or fields via the fluctuations of their local regularity along time or space, which capture crucial features of their temporal/spatial dynamics. It has become a standard signal and…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Roberto Leonarduzzi , Herwig Wendt , Patrice Abry , Stéphane Jaffard , Clothilde Melot , Stéphane G. Roux , Maria E. Torres

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

USDT, a stablecoin pegged to dollar, has become a preferred choice for money laundering due to its stability, anonymity, and ease of use. Notably, a new form of money laundering on stablecoins -- we refer to as crowdsourcing laundering --…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Guang Li , Litong Sun , Jieying Zhou , Weigang Wu

Social, technological and economic time series are divided by events which are usually assumed to be random albeit with some hierarchical structure. It is well known that the interevent statistics observed in these contexts differs from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 J. Perello , J. Masoliver , A. Kasprzak , R. Kutner

Multiresolution analysis has applications across many disciplines in the study of complex systems and their dynamics. Financial markets are among the most complex entities in our environment, yet mainstream quantitative models operate at…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-21 Ioana Boier

We introduce an event based framework of directional changes and overshoots to map continuous financial data into the so-called Intrinsic Network - a state based discretisation of intrinsically dissected time series. Defining a method for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-11 Anton Golub , Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard

This work explores the formation and propagation of systemic risks across traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi), offering a comparative framework that bridges these two increasingly interconnected ecosystems. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Sabrina Aufiero , Silvia Bartolucci , Fabio Caccioli , Pierpaolo Vivo

We present a comparative analysis of multifractal properties of financial time series built on stock indices from developing (WIG) and developed (S&P500) financial markets. It is shown how the multifractal image of the market is altered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-19 Dariusz Grech , Lukasz Czarnecki

Stablecoins are one of the most widely capitalized type of cryptocurrency. However, their risks vary significantly according to their design and are often poorly understood. We seek to provide a sound foundation for stablecoin theory, with…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-30 Ariah Klages-Mundt , Dominik Harz , Lewis Gudgeon , Jun-You Liu , Andreea Minca

As cryptocurrency evolved, new financial instruments, such as lending and borrowing protocols, currency exchanges, fungible and non-fungible tokens (NFT), staking and mining protocols have emerged. A financial ecosystem built on top of a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-12 Priyanka Bose , Dipanjan Das , Fabio Gritti , Nicola Ruaro , Christopher Kruegel , Giovanni Vigna

The brain criticality hypothesis has largely only characterized brain dynamics in terms of their self-similarity, although experimental evidence suggests that the brain exhibits significant multifractality. To understand how multifractality…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-02-03 Merlin Dumeur , Sheng H. Wang , J. Matias Palva , Philippe Ciuciu

We extend and test empirically the multifractal model of asset returns based on a multiplicative cascade of volatilities from large to small time scales. The multifractal description of asset fluctuations is generalized into a multivariate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 J. -F. Muzy , D. Sornette , J. Delour , A. Arneodo

Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs) are one of the most important infrastructures in the world of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and are generally considered more reliable than centralized exchanges (CEXs). However, some well-known decentralized…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Rundong Gan , Le Wang , Xiaodong Lin

Heterogeneity is a key aspect of complex networks, often emerging by looking at the distribution of node properties, from the milestone observations on the degree to the recent developments in mixing pattern estimation. Mixing patterns, in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-01 Salvatore Citraro , Letizia Milli , Rémy Cazabet , Giulio Rossetti

Decentralized finance (DeFi) has become one of the most successful applications of blockchain and smart contracts. The DeFi ecosystem enables a wide range of crypto-financial activities, while the underlying smart contracts often contain…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Palina Tolmach , Yi Li , Shang-Wei Lin , Yang Liu

Employing a recent technique which allows the representation of nonstationary data by means of a juxtaposition of locally stationary patches of different length, we introduce a comprehensive analysis of the key observables in a financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-03 Sabrina Camargo , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros , Celia Anteneodo

Many classical blockchains are known to have an embarrassingly low transaction throughput, down to Bitcoin's notorious seven transactions per second limit.Various proposals and implementations for increasing throughput emerged in the first…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Lioba Heimbach , Quentin Kniep , Yann Vonlanthen , Roger Wattenhofer