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We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Jack Jewson , Jim Q. Smith , Chris Holmes

Bayesian neural Networks (BNNs) are a promising method of obtaining statistical uncertainties for neural network predictions but with a higher computational overhead which can limit their practical usage. This work explores the use of high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Himanshu Sharma , Elise Jennings

Deep learning models are being used for the analysis of parametric statistical models based on simulation-only frameworks. Bayesian models using normalizing flows simulate data from a prior distribution and are composed of two deep neural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Stefan Böhringer

Extremely large antenna arrays and high-frequency operation are two key technologies that advance performance metrics such as higher data rates, lower latency, and wider coverage in sixth-generation communications. However, the adoption of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-26 Van-Chung Luu , Toan-Van Nguyen , Nuria González-Prelcic , Duy H. N. Nguyen

We consider stochastic optimization under distributional uncertainty, where the unknown distributional parameter is estimated from streaming data that arrive sequentially over time. Moreover, data may depend on the decision of the time when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Tianyi Liu , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

Stability selection is a versatile framework for structure estimation and variable selection in high-dimensional setting, primarily grounded in frequentist principles. In this paper, we propose an enhanced methodology that integrates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Connor Smith , Samuel Muller

The performance of sensor arrays in sensing and wireless communications improves with more elements, but this comes at the cost of increased energy consumption and hardware expense. This work addresses the challenge of selecting $k$ sensor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Spilios Evmorfos , Zhaoyi Xu , Athina Petropulu

Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-06 Ritabrata Dutta , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

We present FlowSN, a statistical framework using simulation-based inference (SBI) with normalising flows to account for selection effects in observational astronomy. Failure to account for selection effects can lead to biased inference on…

Bayesian neural network models (BNN) have re-surged in recent years due to the advancement of scalable computations and its utility in solving complex prediction problems in a wide variety of applications. Despite the popularity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-20 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Zihuan Liu , Tapabrata Maiti

Bayesian neural networks (BNN) can estimate the uncertainty in predictions, as opposed to non-Bayesian neural networks (NNs). However, BNNs have been far less widely used than non-Bayesian NNs in practice since they need iterative NN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Namuk Park , Taekyu Lee , Songkuk Kim

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

Traffic flow count data in networks arise in many applications, such as automobile or aviation transportation, certain directed social network contexts, and Internet studies. Using an example of Internet browser traffic flow through…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Xi Chen , Kaoru Irie , David Banks , Robert Haslinger , Jewell Thomas , Mike West

Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets) are amortized samplers that learn stochastic policies to sequentially generate compositional objects from a given unnormalized reward distribution. They can generate diverse sets of high-reward objects,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Ling Pan , Moksh Jain , Kanika Madan , Yoshua Bengio

This paper describes a new algorithm for exact Bayesian inference that is based on a recently proposed compositional semantics of Bayesian networks in terms of channels. The paper concentrates on the ideas behind this algorithm, involving a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Bart Jacobs

Reconstructing fluid flows from sparse sensor measurements is a fundamental challenge in science and engineering. Widely separated measurements and complex, multiscale dynamics make accurate recovery of fine-scale structures difficult. In…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-02 Maksym Veremchuk , K. Andrea Scott , Zhao Pan

Inverse medium scattering solvers generally reconstruct a single solution without an associated measure of uncertainty. This is true both for the classical iterative solvers and for the emerging deep learning methods. But ill-posedness and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 AmirEhsan Khorashadizadeh , Ali Aghababaei , Tin Vlašić , Hieu Nguyen , Ivan Dokmanić

Despite the popularism of Bayesian neural networks in recent years, its use is somewhat limited in complex and big data situations due to the computational cost associated with full posterior evaluations. Variational Bayes (VB) provides a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

We propose a novel class of dynamic shrinkage processes for Bayesian time series and regression analysis. Building upon a global-local framework of prior construction, in which continuous scale mixtures of Gaussian distributions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Daniel R. Kowal , David S. Matteson , David Ruppert

Sum-product networks (SPNs) are probabilistic models characterized by exact and fast evaluation of fundamental probabilistic operations. Its superior computational tractability has led to applications in many fields, such as machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Soma Yokoi , Issei Sato