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In the field of machine learning and artificial intelligence, time series forecasting plays a pivotal role across various domains such as finance, healthcare, and weather. However, the task of selecting the most suitable forecasting method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Anvitha Thirthapura Sreedhara , Joaquin Vanschoren

The ability to know in advance the trend of running process instances, with respect to different features, such as the expected completion time, would allow business managers to timely counteract to undesired situations, in order to prevent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Mirko Polato , Alessandro Sperduti , Andrea Burattin , Massimiliano de Leoni

Despite the tremendous advances achieved over the past years by deep learning techniques, the latest risk prediction models for industrial applications still rely on highly handtuned stage-wised statistical learning tools, such as gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Yancheng Liang , Jiajie Zhang , Hui Li , Xiaochen Liu , Yi Hu , Yong Wu , Jinyao Zhang , Yongyan Liu , Yi Wu

We build a 167-indicator comprehensive credit risk indicator set, integrating macro, corporate financial, bond-specific indicators, and for the first time, 30 large-scale corporate non-financial indicators. We use seven machine learning…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-24 Yanran Wu , Xinlei Zhang , Quanyi Xu , Qianxin Yang , Chao Zhang

The importance of patents is well recognised across many regions of the world. Many patent mining systems have been proposed, but with limited predictive capabilities. In this demo, we showcase how predictive algorithms leveraging the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Nebula Alam , Khoi-Nguyen Tran , Sue Ann Chen , John Wagner , Josh Andres , Mukesh Mohania

This paper presents a time series forecasting framework which combines standard forecasting methods and a machine learning model. The inputs to the machine learning model are not lagged values or regular time series features, but instead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Shi Zhao , Ying Feng

Stock price prediction has been an important research theme both academically and practically. Various methods to predict stock prices have been studied until now. The feature that explains the stock price by a cross-section analysis is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-21 Masaya Abe , Kei Nakagawa

Federated prognostics enable clients (e.g., companies, factories, and production lines) to collaboratively develop a failure time prediction model while keeping each client's data local and confidential. However, traditional federated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Yuhan Hu , Xiaolei Fang

This article introduces the groundbreaking concept of the financial differential machine learning algorithm through a rigorous mathematical framework. Diverging from existing literature on financial machine learning, the work highlights the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-03 Pedro Duarte Gomes

Factor analysis is a statistical technique employed to evaluate how observed variables correlate through common factors and unique variables. While it is often used to analyze price movement in the unstable stock market, it does not always…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-13 Angela Gu , Patrick Zeng

A classification of companies into sectors of the economy is important for macroeconomic analysis and for investments into the sector-specific financial indices and exchange traded funds (ETFs). Major industrial classification systems and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-19 Lorien X. Hayden , Ricky Chachra , Alexander A. Alemi , Paul H. Ginsparg , James P. Sethna

This paper introduces a novel methodology for index return forecasting, blending highly correlated stock prices, advanced deep learning techniques, and intricate factor integration. Departing from conventional cap-weighted approaches, our…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-06 Tian Tian , Ricky Cooper , Jiahao Deng , Qingquan Zhang

Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have the potential to transform financial analytics by integrating numerical and textual data. However, challenges such as insufficient context when fusing multimodal information and the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-14 Hoyoung Lee , Youngsoo Choi , Yuhee Kwon

We introduce an innovative framework that leverages advanced big data techniques to analyze dynamic co-movement between stocks and their underlying fundamentals using high-frequency stock market data. Our method identifies leading…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-07 Lyuhong Wang , Jiawei Jiang , Yang Zhao

Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Accurately predicting industrial aging processes makes it possible to schedule maintenance events further in advance, ensuring a cost-efficient and reliable operation of the plant. So far, these degradation processes were usually described…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Mihail Bogojeski , Simeon Sauer , Franziska Horn , Klaus-Robert Müller

Generative AI, particularly large language models (LLMs), is beginning to transform the financial industry by automating tasks and helping to make sense of complex financial information. One especially promising use case is the automatic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Zonghan Wu , Congyuan Zou , Junlin Wang , Chenhan Wang , Hangjing Yang , Yilei Shao

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

Investors are interested in predicting future success of startup companies, preferably using publicly available data which can be gathered using free online sources. Using public-only data has been shown to work, but there is still much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Emily Gavrilenko , Foaad Khosmood , Mahdi Rastad , Sadra Amiri Moghaddam

The unpredictability and volatility of the stock market render it challenging to make a substantial profit using any generalised scheme. Many previous studies tried different techniques to build a machine learning model, which can make a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-14 A. K. M. Amanat Ullah , Fahim Imtiaz , Miftah Uddin Md Ihsan , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam , Mahbub Majumdar