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Related papers: Model-free portfolio allocation in continuous-time

200 papers

We build a state-of-the-art dynamic model of private asset allocation that considers five key features of private asset markets: (1) the illiquid nature of private assets, (2) timing lags between capital commitments, capital calls, and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-04 Hui Chen , Giovanni Gambarotta , Simon Scheidegger , Yu Xu

We propose a portfolio allocation method based on risk factor budgeting using convex Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF). Unlike classical factor analysis, PCA, or ICA, NMF ensures positive factor loadings to obtain interpretable…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-13 Bruno Spilak , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

We develop a novel five-component decomposition of optimal dynamic portfolio choice, which reveals the simultaneous impacts from market incompleteness and wealth-dependent utilities. Under the HARA utility and a nonrandom interest rate, we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-27 Chenxu Li , Olivier Scaillet , Yiwen Shen

We consider the problem of maximizing the asymptotic growth rate of an investor under drift uncertainty in the setting of stochastic portfolio theory (SPT). As in the work of Kardaras and Robertson we take as inputs (i) a Markovian…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 David Itkin , Martin Larsson

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

In this manuscript, we present a novel approach for sampling from a continuous multivariate probability distribution, which may either be explicitly known (up to a normalization factor) or represented via empirical samples. Our method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-14 Hamidreza Behjoo , Michael Chertkov

A graphical model provides a compact and efficient representation of the association structure of a multivariate distribution by means of a graph. Relevant features of the distribution are represented by vertices, edges and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Alberto Roverato , Robert Castelo

Portfolio optimization has been a central problem in finance, often approached with two steps: calibrating the parameters and then solving an optimization problem. Yet, the two-step procedure sometimes encounter the "error maximization"…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-13 Ayse Sinem Uysal , Xiaoyue Li , John M. Mulvey

We study the problem of estimating the value function of discrete-time switched systems under arbitrary switching. Unlike the switched LQR problem, where both inputs and mode sequences are optimized, we consider the case where switching is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Léa Ninite , Adrien Banse , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

We develop from basic economic principles a continuous-time model for a large investor who trades with a finite number of market makers at their utility indifference prices. In this model, the market makers compete with their quotes for the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-10 Peter Bank , Dmitry Kramkov

We introduce a novel approach to portfolio optimization that leverages hierarchical graph structures and the Schur complement method to systematically reduce computational complexity while preserving full covariance information. Inspired by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-18 Gamal Mograby

This paper demonstrates the usefulness and importance of the concept of honest times to financial modeling. It studies a financial market with asset prices that follow jump-diffusions with negative jumps. The central building block of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Eckhard Platen

Probabilistic forecasting is crucial in multivariate financial time-series for constructing efficient portfolios that account for complex cross-sectional dependencies. In this paper, we propose Diffolio, a diffusion model designed for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-31 So-Yoon Cho , Jin-Young Kim , Kayoung Ban , Hyeng Keun Koo , Hyun-Gyoon Kim

We study the transport properties of nonautonomous chaotic dynamical systems over a finite time duration. We are particularly interested in those regions that remain coherent and relatively non-dispersive over finite periods of time,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Gary Froyland , Naratip Santitissadeekorn , Adam Monahan

We study the problem of fairly allocating a set of $m$ goods among $n$ agents in the asymptotic setting, where each item's value for each agent is drawn from an underlying joint distribution. Prior works have shown that if this distribution…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Jugal Garg , Vishnu V. Narayan , Yuang Eric Shen

We apply the concept of free random variables to doubly correlated (Gaussian) Wishart random matrix models, appearing for example in a multivariate analysis of financial time series, and displaying both inter-asset cross-covariances and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-01-18 Z. Burda , A. Jarosz , J. Jurkiewicz , M. A. Nowak , G. Papp , I. Zahed

This paper gives yet another definition of game-theoretic probability in the context of continuous-time idealized financial markets. Without making any probabilistic assumptions (but assuming positive and continuous price paths), we obtain…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-05 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando

We study investment and insurance demand decisions for an agent in a theoretical continuous-time expected utility maximization model that combines risky assets with an (exogenous) insurable background risk. This risk takes the form of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-09 Hugo E. Ramirez , Rafael Serrano