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Severe convective storms are among the most dangerous weather phenomena and accurate forecasts mitigate their impacts. The recently released suite of AI-based weather models produces medium-range forecasts within seconds, with a skill…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-11 Monika Feldmann , Tom Beucler , Milton Gomez , Olivia Martius

Accurate and robust weather forecasting remains a fundamental challenge due to the inherent spatio-temporal complexity of atmospheric systems. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework that leverages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yao Liu

Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction skills are increasing with advances in numerical weather…

Operational weather forecasting models have advanced for decades on both the explicit numerical solvers and the empirical physical parameterization schemes. However, the involved high computational costs and uncertainties in these existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-13 Mengxuan Chen , Ziqi Yuan , Jinxiao Zhang , Runmin Dong , Haohuan Fu

Data-driven machine learning models for weather forecasting have made transformational progress in the last 1-2 years, with state-of-the-art ones now outperforming the best physics-based models for a wide range of skill scores. Given the…

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

Weather forecasting is a long-standing computational challenge with direct societal and economic impacts. This task involves a large amount of continuous data collection and exhibits rich spatiotemporal dependencies over long periods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Xin Man , Chenghong Zhang , Jin Feng , Changyu Li , Jie Shao

Predicting unseen weather phenomena is an important issue for disaster management. In this paper, we suggest a model for a convolutional sequence-to-sequence autoencoder for predicting undiscovered weather situations from previous satellite…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Seungkyun Hong , Seongchan Kim , Minsu Joh , Sa-kwang Song

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather models are improving rapidly, and their forecasts are already competitive with long-established traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). To build confidence in this new methodology, it is critical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-23 Kirsten I. Tempest , Matthias Beylich , George C. Craig

Numerical weather forecasting using high-resolution physical models often requires extensive computational resources on supercomputers, which diminishes their wide usage in most real-life applications. As a remedy, applying deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Selim Furkan Tekin , Arda Fazla , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Recently, AI-based weather forecast models have achieved impressive advances. These models have reached accuracy levels comparable to traditional NWP systems, marking a significant milestone in data-driven weather prediction. However, they…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Minjong Cheon , Eunhan Goo , Su-Hyeon Shin , Muhammad Ahmed , Hyungjun Kim

Applying machine learning models to meteorological data brings many opportunities to the Geosciences field, such as predicting future weather conditions more accurately. In recent years, modeling meteorological data with deep neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Rafaela Castro , Yania M. Souto , Eduardo Ogasawara , Fabio Porto , Eduardo Bezerra

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…

Accurate renewable energy production forecasting has become a priority as the share of intermittent energy sources on the grid increases. Recent work has shown that convolutional deep learning models can successfully be applied to forecast…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-24 Sebastian Bosma , Negar Nazari

In recent years, AI-based weather forecasting models have matched or even outperformed numerical weather prediction systems. However, most of these models have been trained and evaluated on reanalysis datasets like ERA5. These datasets,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-17 Weixin Jin , Jonathan Weyn , Pengcheng Zhao , Siqi Xiang , Jiang Bian , Zuliang Fang , Haiyu Dong , Hongyu Sun , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang

Recently, data-driven weather forecasting methods have received significant attention for surpassing the RMSE performance of traditional NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction)-based methods. However, data-driven models are tuned to minimize the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Doyi Kim , Minseok Seo , Yeji Choi

Machine learning and deep learning methods have been widely explored in understanding the chaotic behavior of the atmosphere and furthering weather forecasting. There has been increasing interest from technology companies, government…

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

Accurate precipitation forecasting is indispensable in agriculture, disaster management, and sustainable strategies. However, predicting rainfall has been challenging due to the complexity of climate systems and the heterogeneous nature of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Chen Jiang , Kofi Osei , Sai Deepthi Yeddula , Dongji Feng , Wei-Shinn Ku

Scientific and technological advances in numerical modelling have improved the quality of climate predictions over recent decades, but predictive skill remains limited in many aspects. Extreme events such as heat and cold waves, droughts,…

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