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The integrity of democratic political discourse is at the core to guarantee free and fair elections. With social media often dictating the tones and trends of politics-related discussion, it is of paramount important to be able to study…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Emily Chen , Ashok Deb , Emilio Ferrara

The wide spread of unfounded election fraud claims surrounding the U.S. 2020 election had resulted in undermining of trust in the election, culminating in violence inside the U.S. capitol. Under these circumstances, it is critical to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Anton Abilov , Yiqing Hua , Hana Matatov , Ofra Amir , Mor Naaman

Voter fraud in the United States is rare and the vote-counting system is robust against tampering, but there remains widespread distrust in the security of election infrastructure among the public. We consider statistical means of detecting…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-11 Christian Johnson

This study demonstrates the persistent dominance of identity based voting across democratic systems, using the United States as a primary case and comparative analyses of 19 other democracies as counterfactuals. Drawing solely on election…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-27 Venkat Ram Reddy Ganuthula , Krishna Kumar Balaraman

In studies on election result prediction based on Twitter data, estimates were made using one of the factors such as the number of positive, negative, and neutral tweets posted about parties, the effect size of these tweets (the number of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Ibrahim Sabuncu , Mehmet Ali Balci , Omer Akguller

While voters from opposing parties have traditionally exhibited symmetric levels of hostility toward out-party candidates, our analysis of the 2016 and 2020 Nationscape data reveals a notable departure from this pattern. In 2016, negative…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-24 Bang Quan Zheng

Social media platforms allow users to create polls to gather public opinion on diverse topics. However, we know little about what such polls are used for and how reliable they are, especially in significant contexts like elections. Focusing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Stephen Scarano , Vijayalakshmi Vasudevan , Mattia Samory , Kai-Cheng Yang , JungHwan Yang , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

Private donors contributed more than $350 million to local election officials to support the administration of the 2020 election. Supporters argue these grants were neutral and necessary to maintain normal election operations during the…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-10 Apoorva Lal , Daniel M Thompson

What are the opinions of American registered voters about election fraud and types of election fraud as we head into the final stages of the 2024 Presidential election? In this paper we use data from an online national survey of 2,211 U.S.…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-30 Mitchell Linegar , R. Michael Alvarez

Election data represent a precious source of information to study human behavior at a large scale. In proportional elections with open lists, the number of votes received by a candidate, rescaled by the average performance of all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-25 Arnab Chatterjee , Marija Mitrović , Santo Fortunato

We examine how six search engines filter and rank information in relation to the queries on the U.S. 2020 presidential primary elections under the default - that is nonpersonalized - conditions. For that, we utilize an algorithmic auditing…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Aleksandra Urman , Mykola Makhortykh , Roberto Ulloa

Polls posted on social media have emerged in recent years as an important tool for estimating public opinion, e.g., to gauge public support for business decisions and political candidates in national elections. Here, we examine nearly two…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Stephen Scarano , Vijayalakshmi Vasudevan , Chhandak Bagchi , Mattia Samory , JungHwan Yang , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

The 2020 US Elections have been, more than ever before, characterized by social media campaigns and mutual accusations. We investigate in this paper if this manifests also in online communication of the supporters of the candidates Biden…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Lara Grimminger , Roman Klinger

Election speeches play an integral role in communicating the vision and mission of the candidates. From lofty promises to mud-slinging, the electoral candidate accounts for all. However, there remains an open question about what exactly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Sovesh Mohapatra , Somesh Mohapatra

We compare federal election results for each state versus the USA in every second year from 1992 to 2018, to model partisan lean of each state and its dependence on the nationwide popular vote. For each state, we model both its current…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-09 Andrey Sarantsev

Congressional district lines in many U.S. states are drawn by partisan actors, raising concerns about gerrymandering. To separate the partisan effects of redistricting from the effects of other factors including geography and redistricting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-15 Christopher T. Kenny , Cory McCartan , Tyler Simko , Shiro Kuriwaki , Kosuke Imai

This paper documents our release of a large-scale data collection of TikTok posts related to the upcoming 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Our current data comprises 1.8 million videos published between November 1, 2023, and May 26, 2024.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Gabriela Pinto , Charles Bickham , Tanishq Salkar , Luca Luceri , Emilio Ferrara

Representative democracy in the United States relies on election systems that transmit votes into representatives in three key bodies: the two chambers of the federal legislature (House of Representatives and Senate) and the Electoral…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-25 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

Electronic voting systems have significant advantages in comparison with physical voting systems. One of the main challenges in e-voting systems is to secure the voting process: namely, to certify that the computed results are consistent…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Tamir Tassa , Lihi Dery , Arthur Zamarin

COVID-19 related policies were extensively politicized during the 2020 election year of the United States, resulting in polarizing viewpoints. Twitter users were particularly engaged during the 2020 election year. Here we investigated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Megan Doman , Jacob Motley , Hong Qin , Mengjun Xie , Li Yang
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