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Related papers: Metastable Distributions of Semi-Markov Processes

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We provide a probabilistic analysis of the banker algorithm when transition probabilities may depend on time and space. The transition probabilities evolve, as time goes by, along the trajectory of an ergodic Markovian environment, whereas…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Francis Comets , Francois Delarue , Rene Schott

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We obtain the posterior distribution of a random process conditioned on observing the empirical frequencies of a finite sample path. We find under a rather broad assumption on the "dependence structure" of the process, {\em c.f.}…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Wenqing Hu , Hong Qian

We study a system of $N$ interacting particles on $\bf{Z}$. The stochastic dynamics consists of two components: a free motion of each particle (independent random walks) and a pair-wise interaction between particles. The interaction belongs…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-25 A. Manita , V. Shcherbakov

Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

We propose an analytic approach for the steady-state dynamics of Markov processes on locally tree-like graphs. It is based on time-translation invariant probability distributions for edge trajectories, which we encode in terms of infinite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Stefano Crotti , Thomas Barthel , Alfredo Braunstein

In the paper we consider some piecewise deterministic Markov process whose continuous component evolves according to semiflows, which are switched at the jump times of a Poisson process. The associated Markov chain describes the states of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

Suppose we observe a geometrically ergodic semi-Markov process and have a parametric model for the transition distribution of the embedded Markov chain, for the conditional distribution of the inter-arrival times, or for both. The first two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-21 Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We establish metastability in the sense of Lebowitz and Penrose under practical and simple hypothesis for (families of) Markov chains on finite configuration space in some asymptotic regime, including the case of configuration space size…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Alexandre Gaudillière

We introduce a modification of Perron's method, where semi-solutions are considered in a carefully defined asymptotic sense. With this definition, we can show, in a rather elementary way, that in a zero-sum game or a control problem (with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Mihai Sîrbu

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

Regular and singular parts of asymptotic expansions of semi-Markov random evolutions are given. Regularity of boundary conditions is shown. An algorithm for calculation of initial conditions is proposed.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-03 S. Albeverio , V. S. Koroliuk , I. V. Samoilenko

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process, specified by random jumps and switching semi-flows, as well as the associated Markov chain given by its post-jump locations, are investigated in this paper. The existence of an exponentially…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

The paper presents a generalization of the local limit theorem on the convergence of inhomogeneous Markov chains to the diffusion limit for the case where the corresponding process coefficients satisfy weak regularity conditions and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-02 I. Bitter , V. Konakov

In this paper, we employ Markov process theory to prove asymptotic results for a class of stochastic processes which arise as solutions of a stochastic evolution inclusion and are given by the representation formula \begin{align*}…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Alexander Nerlich

This paper investigates tail asymptotics of stationary distributions and quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) of continuous-time Markov chains on subsets of the non-negative integers. Based on the so-called flux-balance equation, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Chuang Xu , Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

It has been established under very general conditions that the ergodic properties of Markov processes are inherited by their conditional distributions given partial information. While the existing theory provides a rather complete picture…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

We study the asymptotics of large, moderate and normal deviations for the connected components of the sparse random graph by the method of stochastic processes. We obtain the logarithmic asymptotics of large deviations of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii