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Dimension reduction techniques for multivariate time series decompose the observed series into a few useful independent/orthogonal univariate components. We develop a spectral domain method for multivariate second-order stationary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Raanju R. Sundararajan

Data is essential to performing time series analysis utilizing machine learning approaches, whether for classic models or today's large language models. A good time-series dataset is advantageous for the model's accuracy, robustness, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Chenxi Sun , Hongyan Li , Yaliang Li , Shenda Hong

Shapelet-based algorithms are widely used for time series classification because of their ease of interpretation, but they are currently outperformed by recent state-of-the-art approaches. We present a new formulation of time series…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Antoine Guillaume , Christel Vrain , Elloumi Wael

Time series forecasting is an important yet challenging task. Though deep learning methods have recently been developed to give superior forecasting results, it is crucial to improve the interpretability of time series models. Previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Qingyi Pan , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

We present a conformal prediction method for time series using the Transformer architecture to capture long-memory and long-range dependencies. Specifically, we use the Transformer decoder as a conditional quantile estimator to predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Modeling matrix-valued time series is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we extend the method of Chang et al. (2017) to matrix-valued time series. For any given $p\times q$ matrix-valued time series, we look for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 Zhaoxing Gao

The integration of Fourier transform and deep learning opens new avenues for time series forecasting. We reconsider the Fourier transform from a basis functions perspective. Specifically, the real and imaginary parts of the frequency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Runze Yang , Longbing Cao , Xin You , Kun Fang , Jianxun Li , Jie Yang

We present a novel technique to identify calendar-based (annual, monthly and daily) periodicities of an interval-based temporal pattern. An interval-based temporal pattern is a pattern that occurs across a time-interval, then disappears for…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-02-15 Anjana K. Mahanta , Mala Dutta

This paper introduces a new tool for time-series analysis: the Sliding Window Discrete Fourier Transform (SWDFT). The SWDFT is especially useful for time-series with local- in-time periodic components. We define a 5-parameter model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-23 Lee F. Richardson , William F. Eddy

Time series forecasting requires architectures that simultaneously achieve three competing objectives: (1) strict temporal causality for reliable predictions, (2) sub-quadratic complexity for practical scalability, and (3) multi-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Qianru Zhang , Honggang Wen , Ming Li , Dong Huang , Siu-Ming Yiu , Christian S. Jensen , Pietro Liò

Detecting anomalies in multivariate time-series data is essential in many real-world applications. Recently, various deep learning-based approaches have shown considerable improvements in time-series anomaly detection. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Kyeong-Joong Jeong , Yong-Min Shin

A reliable and efficient representation of multivariate time series is crucial in various downstream machine learning tasks. In multivariate time series forecasting, each variable depends on its historical values and there are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 William T. Ng , K. Siu , Albert C. Cheung , Michael K. Ng

Multivariate time series classification is a crucial task in data mining, attracting growing research interest due to its broad applications. While many existing methods focus on discovering discriminative patterns in time series,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Wenjie Xi , Rundong Zuo , Alejandro Alvarez , Jie Zhang , Byron Choi , Jessica Lin

Long-term time series forecasting plays an important role in various real-world scenarios. Recent deep learning methods for long-term series forecasting tend to capture the intricate patterns of time series by decomposition-based or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Xing Wang , Zhendong Wang , Kexin Yang , Junlan Feng , Zhiyan Song , Chao Deng , Lin zhu

Although the Transformer has been the dominant architecture for time series forecasting tasks in recent years, a fundamental challenge remains: the permutation-invariant self-attention mechanism within Transformers leads to a loss of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Zeying Gong , Yujin Tang , Junwei Liang

We present here two promising techniques for the application of the complex network approach to continuous spatio-temporal systems that have been developed in the last decade and show large potential for future application and development…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-19 Norbert Marwan , Jürgen Kurths

A highly comparative, feature-based approach to time series classification is introduced that uses an extensive database of algorithms to extract thousands of interpretable features from time series. These features are derived from across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Ben D. Fulcher , Nick S. Jones

Among the existing Transformer-based multivariate time series forecasting methods, iTransformer, which treats each variable sequence as a token and only explicitly extracts cross-variable dependencies, and PatchTST, which adopts a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Liyang Qin , Xiaoli Wang , Chunhua Yang , Huaiwen Zou , Haochuan Zhang

This paper proposes Fourier-based and wavelet-based techniques for analyzing periodic financial time series. Conventional models such as the periodic autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (PGARCH) and periodic autoregressive…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Rhea Davis , N. Balakrishna

Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, economics, environmental science, and biomedical engineering, aiding in forecasting, pattern identification, and understanding underlying mechanisms. While traditional time-domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Jonathan de Souza Matias , Valderio Anselmo Reisen