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Time series analysis and prediction methods currently excel in quantitative analysis, offering accurate future predictions and diverse statistical indicators, but generally falling short in elucidating the underlying evolution patterns of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Yi Xie , Tianyu Qiu , Yun Xiong , Xiuqi Huang , Xiaofeng Gao , Chao Chen

We present Doubly Robust Monte Carlo Tree Search (DR-MCTS), a novel algorithm that integrates Doubly Robust (DR) off-policy estimation into Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) to enhance sample efficiency and decision quality in complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-05 Manqing Liu , Andrew L. Beam

Monte-Carlo tree search (MCTS) has driven many recent breakthroughs in deep reinforcement learning (RL). However, scaling MCTS to parallel compute has proven challenging in practice which has motivated alternative planners like sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Joery A. de Vries , Jinke He , Yaniv Oren , Matthijs T. J. Spaan

Online planning is crucial for high performance in many complex sequential decision-making tasks. Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) employs a principled mechanism for trading off exploration for exploitation for efficient online planning, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Kalle Kujanpää , Amin Babadi , Yi Zhao , Juho Kannala , Alexander Ilin , Joni Pajarinen

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is a widely used approach for policy improvement through search with increasing popularity for real world applications. Due to the sequential and deterministic nature of its search, runtime-scaling of MCTS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Yaniv Oren , Viliam Vadocz , Joery A. de Vries , Wendelin Böhmer , Matthijs T. J. Spaan , Hendrik Baier

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is an effective test-time compute scaling (TTCS) method for improving the reasoning performance of large language models, but its highly variable execution time leads to severe long-tail latency in practice.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Hongbeen Kim , Juhyun Lee , Sanghyeon Lee , Kwanghoon Choi , Jaehyuk Huh

The discovery of patterns that accurately discriminate one class label from another remains a challenging data mining task. Subgroup discovery (SD) is one of the frameworks that enables to elicit such interesting hypotheses from labeled…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-12-07 Guillaume Bosc , Jean-François Boulicaut , Chedy Raïssi , Mehdi Kaytoue

We propose SC-MCTS*: a novel Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) reasoning algorithm for Large Language Models (LLMs), significantly improves both reasoning accuracy and speed. Our motivation comes from: 1. Previous MCTS LLM reasoning works…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Zitian Gao , Boye Niu , Xuzheng He , Haotian Xu , Hongzhang Liu , Aiwei Liu , Xuming Hu , Lijie Wen

Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) is one of the most capable online search algorithms for sequential planning tasks, with significant applications in areas such as resource allocation and transit planning. Despite its strong performance in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Ziyan An , Hendrik Baier , Abhishek Dubey , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Meiyi Ma

Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) is a popular choice for solving sequential anytime problems. However, it depends on a numeric feedback signal, which can be difficult to define. Real-time MCTS is a variant which may only rarely encounter…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Tobias Joppen , Christian Wirth , Johannes Fürnkranz

Monte-Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is one of the most-widely used methods for planning, and has powered many recent advances in artificial intelligence. In MCTS, one typically performs computations (i.e., simulations) to collect statistics…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Eren Sezener , Peter Dayan

The expansion of digital payment systems has heightened both the scale and intricacy of online financial transactions, thereby increasing vulnerability to fraudulent activities. Detecting fraud effectively is complicated by the changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Ranya Batsyas , Ritesh Yaduwanshi

Despite their outstanding capabilities, large language models (LLMs) are prone to hallucination and producing factually incorrect information. This challenge has spurred efforts in attributed text generation, which prompts LLMs to generate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Junyi Li , Hwee Tou Ng

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), most famously used in game-play artificial intelligence (e.g., the game of Go), is a well-known strategy for constructing approximate solutions to sequential decision problems. Its primary innovation is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-21 Daniel R. Jiang , Lina Al-Kanj , Warren B. Powell

We propose a provably correct Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithm for solving risk-aware Markov decision processes (MDPs) with entropic risk measure (ERM) objectives. We provide a non-asymptotic analysis of our proposed algorithm,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Pedro P. Santos , Jacopo Silvestrin , Alberto Sardinha , Francisco S. Melo

The formulaic alphas are mathematical formulas that transform raw stock data into indicated signals. In the industry, a collection of formulaic alphas is combined to enhance modeling accuracy. Existing alpha mining only employs the neural…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-01 Tao Ren , Ruihan Zhou , Jinyang Jiang , Jiafeng Liang , Qinghao Wang , Yijie Peng

Fraud detection is to identify, monitor, and prevent potentially fraudulent activities from complex data. The recent development and success in AI, especially machine learning, provides a new data-driven way to deal with fraud. From a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-19 Biao Xu , Yao Wang , Xiuwu Liao , Kaidong Wang

Sequential decision-making under cost-sensitive tasks is prohibitively daunting, especially for the problem that has a significant impact on people's daily lives, such as malaria control, treatment recommendation. The main challenge faced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Lixin Zou , Long Xia , Linfang Hou , Xiangyu Zhao , Dawei Yin

Automated agent workflows can enhance the problem-solving ability of large language models (LLMs), but common search strategies rely on stochastic exploration and often traverse implausible branches. This occurs because current pipelines…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Qitong Fang , Haotian Li , Xu Wang

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) methods have achieved great success in many Artificial Intelligence (AI) benchmarks. The in-tree operations become a critical performance bottleneck in realizing parallel MCTS on CPUs. In this work, we develop…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Yuan Meng , Rajgopal Kannan , Viktor Prasanna