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Recently, we notice that a pressure-based lattice Boltzmann (LB) method was established to recover the volume-averaged Navier-Stokes equations (VANSE), which serve as the cornerstone of various fluid-solid multiphase models. It decouples…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-11 Yang Liu , Xuan Zhang , Jingchun Min , Xiaomin Wu

We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-17 Petteri Piiroinen , Lassi Roininen , Tobias Schoden , Martin Simon

We consider estimation of the spot volatility in a stochastic boundary model with one-sided microstructure noise for high-frequency limit order prices. Based on discrete, noisy observations of an It\^o semimartingale with jumps and general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Markus Bibinger

Variational Bayes (VB) provides a computationally efficient alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo, especially for high-dimensional and large-scale inference. However, existing theory on VB primarily focuses on fixed-dimensional settings…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Jiawei Yan , Peirong Xu , Tao Wang

Several studies explore inferences based on stochastic volatility (SV) models, taking into account the stylized facts of return data. The common problem is that the latent parameters of many volatility models are high-dimensional and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-06 T. R. Santos

We study solutions to the stochastic fixed point equation $X\stackrel{d}{=}AX+B$ where the coefficients $A$ and $B$ are nonnegative random variables. We introduce the ``local dependence measure'' (LDM) and its Legendre-type transform to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Krzysztof Burdzy , Bartosz Kołodziejek , Tvrtko Tadić

It is well-known that kernel regression estimators do not produce a constant estimator variance over a domain. To correct this problem, Nishida and Kanazawa (2015) proposed a variance-stabilizing (VS) local variable bandwidth for Local…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-17 Kiheiji Nishida

We consider the problem of estimating complex statistical latent variable models using variational Bayes methods. These methods are used when exact posterior inference is either infeasible or computationally expensive, and they approximate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 David Gunawan , David Nott , Robert Kohn

We propose a new stability analysis of the Vectorial Lattice-Boltzmann Method (VLBM). The VLBM is a variant of the LBM with extended stability features: it allows to handle compressible flows with shock waves, while the LBM is limited to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-16 Kévin Guillon , Romane Hélie , Philippe Helluy

``Localization'' has proven to be a valuable tool in the Statistical Learning literature as it allows sharp risk bounds in terms of the problem geometry. Localized bounds seem to be much less exploited in the Stochastic Optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

We apply convex regularization techniques to the problem of calibrating the local volatility surface model of Dupire taking into account the practical requirement of discrete grids and noisy data. Such requirements are the consequence of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-08-13 Vinicius V. L. Albani , Adriano De Cezaro , Jorge Passamani Zubelli

For quantitative trading risk management purposes, we present a novel idea: the realized local volatility surface. Concisely, it stands for the conditional expected volatility when sudden market behaviors of the underlying occur. One is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-01 Yuming Ma , Shintaro Sengoku , Kazuhide Nakata

A new robust stochastic volatility (SV) model having Student-t marginals is proposed. Our process is defined through a linear normal regression model driven by a latent gamma process that controls temporal dependence. This gamma process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Raanju R. Sundararajan , Wagner Barreto-Souza

Local detailed balance (LDB) is a central guiding principle for modeling nonequilibrium stochastic dynamics, yet it only constrains the ratio of forward and backward transition rates and does not fix the steady state. Although the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-26 Takahiro Kanazawa , Kyogo Kawaguchi , Kyosuke Adachi

The maximum likelihood estimation for a time-dependent nonstationary (NS) extreme value model is often too sensitive to influential observations, such as large values toward the end of a sample. Thus, alternative methods using L-moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yire Shin , Yonggwan Shin , Jeong-Soo Park

This paper addresses the problem of real-time monitoring of long-term voltage instability (LTVI) by using local field measurements. Existing local measurement-based methods use Thevenin equivalent parameter estimation that is sensitive to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-25 Kishan Prudhvi Guddanti , Amarsagar Matavalam , Yang Weng

The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

In distributed, or privacy-preserving learning, we are often given a set of probabilistic models estimated from different local repositories, and asked to combine them into a single model that gives efficient statistical estimation. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-01 Jun Han , Qiang Liu

This paper deals with asset price bubbles modeled by strict local martingales. With any strict local martingale, one can associate a new measure, which is studied in detail in the first part of the paper. In the second part, we determine…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Constantinos Kardaras , Dörte Kreher , Ashkan Nikeghbali
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