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Probabilistic hierarchical time-series forecasting is an important variant of time-series forecasting, where the goal is to model and forecast multivariate time-series that have underlying hierarchical relations. Most methods focus on point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Alexander Rodríguez , Chao Zhang , B. Aditya Prakash

We study the problem of scheduling $m$ tasks to $n$ selfish, unrelated machines in order to minimize the makespan, where the execution times are independent random variables, identical across machines. We show that the VCG mechanism, which…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-30 Yiannis Giannakopoulos , Maria Kyropoulou

A nonparametric family of conditional distributions is introduced, which generalizes conditional exponential families using functional parameters in a suitable RKHS. An algorithm is provided for learning the generalized natural parameter,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-10 Michael Arbel , Arthur Gretton

We prove the existence and uniqueness of a quasi-stationary distribution for three stochastic processes derived from the model of Muller's ratchet. This model was invented with the aim of evaluating the limitations of an asexual…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Mauro Mariani , Etienne Pardoux , Aurélien Velleret

This paper revisits and extends the 2013 development by Rockafellar and Uryasev of the Risk Quadrangle (RQ) as a unified scheme for integrating risk management, optimization, and statistical estimation. The RQ features four…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Bogdan Grechuk , Anton Malandii , Terry Rockafellar , Stan Uryasev

This paper studies the hazard-free formula complexity of Boolean functions. Our first result shows that unate functions are the only Boolean functions for which the monotone formula complexity of the hazard-derivative equals the hazard-free…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Leah London Arazi , Amir Shpilka

In this paper, we present various sufficient conditions for a family of meromorphic mappings on a domain $D\subset \mathbb{C}^m$ into $\mathbb{P}^n$ to be meromorphically normal. Meromorphic normality is a notion of sequential compactness…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Gopal Datt

This brief note aims to introduce the recent paradigm of distributional robustness in the field of shape and topology optimization. Acknowledging that the probability law of uncertain physical data is rarely known beyond a rough…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-13 Charles Dapogny , Franck Iutzeler , Andrea Meda , Boris Thibert

We study a class of dynamically consistent risk measures that robustify a time-homogeneous Markovian reference model by allowing for distributional uncertainty in its transition laws. We start from one-step convex risk evaluations in which…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-22 Sven Fuhrmann , Michael Kupper , Max Nendel

A statistical model M is a family of probability distributions, characterised by a set of continuous parameters known as the parameter space. This possesses natural geometrical properties induced by the embedding of the family of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-10-30 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston

The problem of scheduling unrelated machines has been studied since the inception of algorithmic mechanism design \cite{NR99}. It is a resource allocation problem that entails assigning $m$ tasks to $n$ machines for execution. Machines are…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Yansong Gao , Jie Zhang

We review the development of random-matrix theory (RMT) during the last decade. We emphasize both the theoretical aspects, and the application of the theory to a number of fields. These comprise chaotic and disordered systems, the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Thomas Guhr , Axel Mueller-Groeling , Hans A. Weidenmueller

The solution to empirical risk minimization with $f$-divergence regularization (ERM-$f$DR) is presented under mild conditions on $f$. Under such conditions, the optimal measure is shown to be unique. Examples of the solution for particular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-25 Francisco Daunas , Iñaki Esnaola , Samir M. Perlaza , H. Vincent Poor

Generic master equations governing the highly-damped quasi-normal frequencies [QNFs] of one-horizon, two-horizon, and even three-horizon spacetimes can be obtained through either semi-analytic or monodromy techniques. While many technical…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2010-11-26 Jozef Skakala , Matt Visser

Given $X \subset R^n$, $\varepsilon \in (0,1)$, a parametrized family of probability distributions $(\mu\_{a})\_{a\in A}$ on $\Omega\subset R^p$, we consider the feasible set $X^*\_\varepsilon\subset X$ associated with the {\em…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Jean Lasserre , Tillmann Weisser

We present a model for random simple graphs with a degree distribution that obeys a power law (i.e., is heavy-tailed). To attain this behavior, the edge probabilities in the graph are constructed from Bertoin-Fujita-Roynette-Yor (BFRY)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-20 Juho Lee , Creighton Heaukulani , Zoubin Ghahramani , Lancelot F. James , Seungjin Choi

A new family of distribution is proposed by using Kumaraswamy-G (Cordeiro and de Castro, 2011) distribution as the base line distribution in the Generalized Marshal-Olkin (Jayakumar and Mathew, 2008) Construction. A number of special cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-23 Laba Handique , Subrata Chakraborty

This paper deals with a parametrized family of partially observed bivariate Markov chains. We establish that, under very mild assumptions, the limit of the normalized log-likelihood function is maximized when the parameters belong to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Randal Douc , Francois Roueff , Tepmony Sim

We study shrinkage estimation of the mean parameters of a class of multivariate distributions for which the diagonal entries of the corresponding covariance matrix are certain quadratic functions of the mean parameter. This class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Nikolas Siapoutis , Donald Richards , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

The study of exact quasi-normal modes [QNMs], and their associated quasi-normal frequencies [QNFs], has had a long and convoluted history - replete with many rediscoveries of previously known results. In this article we shall collect and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-03-21 Petarpa Boonserm , Matt Visser
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