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Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Lior Hirschfeld , Kyle Swanson , Kevin Yang , Regina Barzilay , Connor W. Coley

Quantification of the impact of uncertainty in material properties as well as the input ground motion on structural responses is an important step in implementing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework. Among various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Siamak Sattar

We define the entropy S and uncertainty function of a squeezed system interacting with a thermal bath, and study how they change in time by following the evolution of the reduced density matrix in the influence functional formalism. As…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-11-18 D. Koks , A. Matacz , B. L. Hu

Equilibrium molecular dynamics (EMD) simulations along with the Green-Kubo formula have been widely used to calculate lattice thermal conductivities. Previous studies, however, focused primarily on the calculated thermal conductivities,…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-12-21 Zuyuan Wang , Salar Safarkhani , Guang Lin , Xiulin Ruan

Climate models are generally calibrated manually by comparing selected climate statistics, such as the global top-of-atmosphere energy balance, to observations. The manual tuning only targets a limited subset of observational data and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-04-06 Michael F. Howland , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider

Machine learning models have emerged as a very effective strategy to sidestep time-consuming electronic-structure calculations, enabling accurate simulations of greater size, time scale and complexity. Given the interpolative nature of…

We present a framework for quantifying the uncertainty that results from the choice of exchange-correlation (XC) functional in predictions of phonon properties and thermal conductivity that use density functional theory (DFT) to calculate…

A variety of methods is available to quantify uncertainties arising with\-in the modeling of flow and transport in carbon dioxide storage, but there is a lack of thorough comparisons. Usually, raw data from such storage sites can hardly be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Markus Köppel , Fabian Franzelin , Ilja Kröker , Sergey Oladyshkin , Gabriele Santin , Dominik Wittwar , Andrea Barth , Bernard Haasdonk , Wolfgang Nowak , Dirk Pflüger , Christian Rohde

Universal machine learning interatomic potentials (uMLIPs) are reshaping atomistic simulation as foundation models, delivering near \textit{ab initio} accuracy at a fraction of the cost. Yet the lack of reliable, general uncertainty…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-07-30 Kai Liu , Zixiong Wei , Wei Gao , Poulumi Dey , Marcel H. F. Sluiter , Fei Shuang

A cost-precision trade-off relationship, the so-called thermodynamic uncertainty relation (TUR), has been recently discovered in stochastic thermodynamics. It bounds certain thermodynamic observables in terms of the associated entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-27 Soham Pal , Sushant Saryal , Dvira Segal , T. S. Mahesh , Bijay Kumar Agarwalla

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

This paper considers a class of uncertain linear quantum systems subject to uncertain perturbations in the system Hamiltonian. We present a method to design a coherent robust H-infinity controller so that the closed loop system is robustly…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-10 Chengdi Xiang , Ian R. Petersen , Daoyi Dong

Uncertainty quantification of complex technical systems is often based on a computer model of the system. As all models such a computer model is always wrong in the sense that it does not describe the reality perfectly. The purpose of this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-18 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

Predictive simulations of mixed plasma discharges, like deuterium-tritium plasmas, rely on self-consistent models for particle transport. These models have to be validated with interpretive analysis of existing experiments. Accounting for…

This article examines the effect of individual and combined uncertainties in thermodynamic models on the performance of simulated, steady-state Pareto-optimized Dividing Wall Columns. It is a follow-up of the previous work analogously…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-05-22 Lea Trescher , David Mogalle , Patrick Otto Ludl , Tobias Seidel , Michael Bortz , Thomas Gruetzner

It is necessary to estimate the expected energy usage of a building to determine how to reduce energy usage. The expected energy usage of a building can be reliably simulated using a Building Energy Model (BEM). Many of the numerous input…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Arpan Mukherjee , Anna Kuechle Szweda , Andrew Alegria , Rahul Rai , Tarunraj Singh

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

For all of the interest in dynamical phase transitions (DPT), it is still not clear the meaning or prevalence of these features in higher dimensional models. In this paper, we consider DPTs for stabilizer code models and quantum quenches…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-14 Albert T. Schmitz

The trade-off between large power output, high efficiency and small fluctuations in the operation of heat engines has recently received interest in the context of thermodynamic uncertainty relations (TURs). Here we provide a concrete…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2021-08-04 Sara Kheradsoud , Nastaran Dashti , Maciej Misiorny , Patrick P. Potts , Janine Splettstoesser , Peter Samuelsson

Thermodynamic Uncertainty Relations express a trade-off between precision, defined as the noise-to-signal ratio of a generic current, and the amount of associated entropy production. These results have deep consequences for autonomous heat…

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