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Large language models (LLMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their reliable deployment requires effective uncertainty quantification (UQ). Existing UQ methods are often heuristic and lack a probabilistic interpretation.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Haoyi Song , Ruihan Ji , Naichen Shi , Fan Lai , Raed Al Kontar

Simulations using machine learning (ML) models and mechanistic models are often run to inform decision-making processes. Uncertainty estimates of simulation results are critical to the decision-making process because simulation results of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Babajide Kolade

The temperature developed in bondwires of integrated circuits (ICs) is a possible source of malfunction, and has to be taken into account during the design phase of an IC. Due to manufacturing tolerances, a bondwire's geometrical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-06-26 D. Loukrezis , U. Römer , T. Casper , S. Schöps , H. De Gersem

We present a novel Bayesian framework for quantifying uncertainty in portfolio temperature alignment models, leveraging the X-Degree Compatibility (XDC) approach with the scientifically validated Finite Amplitude Impulse Response (FaIR)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-20 Hendrik Weichel , Aleksandr Zinovev , Heikki Haario , Martin Simon

The Best Estimate plus Uncertainty (BEPU) approach for nuclear systems modeling and simulation requires that the prediction uncertainty must be quantified in order to prove that the investigated design stays within acceptance criteria. A…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-24 Ziyu Xie , Farah Alsafadi , Xu Wu

The design of next-generation alloys through the Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) approach relies on multi-scale computer simulations to provide thermodynamic properties when experiments are difficult to conduct.…

We introduce a new multi-objective optimization approach to determine uncertainty-quantified nuclear reaction parameters in the Hauser-Feshbach framework. By simultaneously accounting for all available data across multiple reaction channels…

Inverse Uncertainty Quantification (IUQ) method has been widely used to quantify the uncertainty of Physical Model Parameters (PMPs) in nuclear Thermal Hydraulics (TH) systems. This paper introduces a novel hierarchical Bayesian model which…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-27 Chen Wang , Xu Wu , Tomasz Kozlowski

High-throughput methods enable accelerated discovery of novel materials in complex systems such as high-entropy alloys, which exhibit intricate phase stability across vast compositional spaces. Computational approaches, including Density…

We develop an enthalpy-based modeling and computational framework to quantify uncertainty in Stefan problems with an injection boundary. Inspired by airfoil icing studies, we consider a system featuring an injection boundary inducing domain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Zhenyi Zhang , Shengbo Ma , Zhennan Zhou

Fiber orientation is decisive for the mechanical performance of composite materials. During manufacturing, variations in material and process parameters can influence fiber orientation. We employ multilevel polynomial surrogates to model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Stjepan Salatovic , Sebastian Krumscheid , Florian Wittemann , Luise Kärger

Critical decisions frequently rely on high-dimensional output from complex computer simulation models that show intricate cross-variable, spatial and temporal dependence structures, with weather and climate predictions being key examples.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Roman Schefzik , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

Quantifying uncertainties for machine learning models is a critical step to reduce human verification effort by detecting predictions with low confidence. This paper proposes a method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of table structure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Kehinde Ajayi , Leizhen Zhang , Yi He , Jian Wu

We use functional, Fr\'echet, derivatives to quantify how thermodynamic outputs of a molecular dynamics (MD) simulation depend on the potential used to compute atomic interactions. Our approach quantifies the sensitivity of the quantities…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-08 Samuel Temple Reeve , Alejandro Strachan

Rapid compression machines (RCMs) have been widely used in the combustion literature to study the low-to-intermediate temperature ignition of many fuels. In a typical RCM, the pressure during and after the compression stroke is measured.…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2017-06-15 Bryan W. Weber , Chih-Jen Sung , Michael W. Renfro

Biochemical reaction models describing subcellular processes generally come with a large uncertainty. To be able to account for this during the modeling process, we have developed the R-package UQSA, performing uncertainty quantification…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-08 Andrei Kramer , Federica Milinanni , Jeanette Hellgren Kotaleski , Pierre Nyquist , Alexandra Jauhiainen , Olivia Eriksson

The European Lead-Cooled Training Reactor (ELECTRA) has been proposed as a training reactor for fast systems within the Swedish nuclear program. It is a low-power fast reactor cooled by pure liquid lead. In this work, we propagate the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2013-04-09 H. Sjöstrand , E. Alhassan , J. Duan , C. Gustavsson , A. Koning , S. Pomp , D. Rochman , M. Österlund

Computational molecular modeling and visualization has seen significant progress in recent years with sev- eral molecular modeling and visualization software systems in use today. Nevertheless the molecular biology community lacks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Muhibur Rasheed , Nathan Clement , Abhishek Bhowmick , Chandrajit Bajaj

In computational materials science, coarse-graining approaches often lack a priori uncertainty quantification (UQ) tools that estimate the accuracy of a reduced-order model before it is calibrated or deployed. This is especially the case in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-12-11 Paul N. Patrone , Andrew M. Dienstfrey , Geoffrey B. McFadden

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) workloads are becoming increasingly common in science and engineering. They involve the submission of thousands or even millions of similar tasks with potentially unpredictable runtimes, where the total…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Chung Ming Loi , Anne Reinarz , Mikkel Lykkegaard , William Hornsby , James Buchanan , Linus Seelinger