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The integration of various power sources, including renewables and electric vehicles, into smart grids is expanding, introducing uncertainties that can result in issues like voltage imbalances, load fluctuations, and power losses. These…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Qi Li , Ye Shi , Yuning Jiang , Yuanming Shi , Haoyu Wang , H. Vincent Poor

Higher shares of electricity generation from renewable energy sources and market liberalization is increasing uncertainty in power systems operation. At the same time, operation is becoming more flexible with improved control systems and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-09 Line Roald , Sidhant Misra , Thilo Krause , Goran Andersson

Obtaining reliable and accurate quantification of uncertainty estimates from deep neural networks is important in safety-critical applications. A well-calibrated model should be accurate when it is certain about its prediction and indicate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Ranganath Krishnan , Omesh Tickoo

Motion planning is a fundamental problem and focuses on finding control inputs that enable a robot to reach a goal region while safely avoiding obstacles. However, in many situations, the state of the system may not be known but only…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Lars Lindemann , Matthew Cleaveland , Yiannis Kantaros , George J. Pappas

This paper presents a novel approach to handle the computational complexity in security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC) with corrective network reconfiguration (CNR) to harness the flexibility in transmission networks. This is achieved…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Arun Venkatesh Ramesh , Xingpeng Li , Kory W. Hedman

We propose a new Robust Optimization method for the energy offering problem of a price-taker generating company that wants to build offering curves for its generation units, in order to maximize its profit while taking into account the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-15 Fabio D'Andreagiovanni , Giovanni Felici , Fabrizio Lacalandra

This study investigates the integration of forecasting and optimization in energy management systems, with a focus on the role of switching costs -- penalties incurred from frequent operational adjustments. We develop a theoretical and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-16 Evgenii Genov , Julian Ruddick , Christoph Bergmeir , Majid Vafaeipour , Thierry Coosemans , Salvador Garcia , Maarten Messagie

The predictive advantage of combining several different predictive models is widely accepted. Particularly in time series forecasting problems, this combination is often dynamic to cope with potential non-stationary sources of variation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-06 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares , Albert Bifet

Uncertainty quantification in prediction presents a compelling challenge with vast applications across various domains, including biomedical science, economics, and weather forecasting. There exists a wide array of methods for constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-16 Jianqing Fan , Jiawei Ge , Debarghya Mukherjee

For multiple Unmanned-Aerial-Vehicles (UAVs) assisted Mobile Edge Computing (MEC) networks, we study the problem of combined computation and communication for user equipments deployed with multi-type tasks. Specifically, we consider that…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-25 Bin Li , Rongrong Yang , Lei Liu , Junyi Wang , Ning Zhang , Mianxiong Dong

We propose a novel approach to design a robust Model Predictive Controller (MPC) for constrained uncertain linear systems. The uncertain system is modeled as linear parameter varying with additive disturbance. Set bounds for the system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-11 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Ugo Rosolia , Yvonne R Stürz , Xiaojing Zhang , Francesco Borrelli

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We propose a data-driven method to establish probabilistic performance guarantees for parametric optimization problems solved via iterative algorithms. Our approach addresses two key challenges: providing convergence guarantees to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Jingyi Huang , Paul Goulart , Kostas Margellos

Autonomous microgrid planning is a Mixed-Integer Non Convex decision problem that requires to consider investments in both distribution and generation capacity and represents significant computation challenges. We proposed in a previous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Benoît Martin , François Glineur , Emmanuel De Jaeger

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby the worst-case operating cost is accounted for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Cristina Roldán , Roberto Mínguez , Raquel García-Bertrand , José Manuel Arroyo

Load forecasting has long been recognized as an important building block for all utility operational planning efforts. Over the recent years, it has become ever more challenging to make accurate forecasts due to the proliferation of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Guangrui Xie , Xi Chen , Yang Weng

A robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) algorithm is presented for linear, time invariant systems with unknown dynamics and subject to bounded measurement noise. The system is characterized by an impulse response model, which is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-21 Anilkumar Parsi , Andrea Iannelli , Mingzhou Yin , Mohammad Khosravi , Roy S. Smith

Traditional end-to-end contextual robust optimization models are trained for specific contextual data, requiring complete retraining whenever new contextual information arrives. This limitation hampers their use in online decision-making…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Carlos Gamboa , Alexandre Street , Davi Valladão , Bernardo Pagnocelli