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The uncertainties in future Bitcoin price make it difficult to accurately predict the price of Bitcoin. Accurately predicting the price for Bitcoin is therefore important for decision-making process of investors and market players in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-04 Samuel Asante Gyamerah

In today's era of big data, deep learning and artificial intelligence have formed the backbone for cryptocurrency portfolio optimization. Researchers have investigated various state of the art machine learning models to predict Bitcoin…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Aniruddha Dutta , Saket Kumar , Meheli Basu

Accurate forecasting of Bitcoin (BTC) has always been a challenge because decentralized markets are non-linear, highly volatile, and have temporal irregularities. Existing deep learning models often struggle with interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Raiz Ud Din , Saddam Hussain Khan

The volatility and complex dynamics of cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges for accurate price forecasting. This research proposes a hybrid deep learning and machine learning model that integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Mehul Gautam

The fusion of public sentiment data in the form of text with stock price prediction is a topic of increasing interest within the financial community. However, the research literature seldom explores the application of investor sentiment in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-14 Mufhumudzi Muthivhi , Terence L. van Zyl

We propose and study the integration of sentiment analysis and deep reinforcement learning ensemble algorithms for stock trading by evaluating strategies capable of dynamically altering their active agent given the concurrent market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-21 Andrew Ye , James Xu , Vidyut Veedgav , Yi Wang , Yifan Yu , Daniel Yan , Ryan Chen , Vipin Chaudhary , Shuai Xu

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

This paper presents performance analysis of hybrid model comprise of concordance and Genetic Programming (GP) to forecast financial market with some existing models. This scheme can be used for in depth analysis of stock market. Different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-16 Mahesh S. Khadka , K. M. George , N. Park , J. B. Kim

Modeling financial time series is challenging due to their high volatility and unexpected happenings on the market. Most financial models and algorithms trying to fill the lack of historical financial time series struggle to perform and are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-14 Rikli Samuel , Bigler Daniel Nico , Pfenninger Moritz , Osterrieder Joerg

Ensemble learning is a powerful paradigm that has been usedin the top state-of-the-art machine learning methods like Random Forestsand XGBoost. Inspired by the success of such methods, we have devel-oped a new Genetic Programming method…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Nuno M. Rodrigues , João E. Batista , Sara Silva

One of the most significant current discussions in the field of data mining is classifying imbalanced data. In recent years, several ways are proposed such as algorithm level (internal) approaches, data level (external) techniques, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Maliheh Roknizadeh , Hossein Monshizadeh Naeen

The objective of this paper is to define an effective strategy for building an ensemble of Genetic Programming (GP) models. Ensemble methods are widely used in machine learning due to their features: they average out biases, they reduce the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Mauro Castelli , Ivo Gonçalves , Luca Manzoni , Leonardo Vanneschi

Sentiment analysis, a vital component in natural language processing, plays a crucial role in understanding the underlying emotions and opinions expressed in textual data. In this paper, we propose an innovative ensemble approach for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Mathivanan Periasamy , Rohith Mahadevan , Bagiya Lakshmi S , Raja CSP Raman , Hasan Kumar S , Jasper Jessiman

Graph Neural Networks deliver strong classification results but often suffer from poor calibration performance, leading to overconfidence or underconfidence. This is particularly problematic in high stakes applications where accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Dingyi Zhuang , Chonghe Jiang , Yunhan Zheng , Shenhao Wang , Jinhua Zhao

This study presents an innovative approach for predicting cryptocurrency time series, specifically focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. The methodology integrates the use of technical indicators, a Performer neural network, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-07 Mohammad Ali Labbaf Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

This study investigates the application of the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) model for both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting of Bitcoin realized volatility. Utilizing a comprehensive set of 69 predictors -- encompassing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Grzegorz Dudek , Mateusz Kasprzyk , Paweł Pełka

Ensembles of networks arise in many scientific fields, but there are few statistical tools for inferring their generative processes, particularly in the presence of both dyadic dependence and cross-graph heterogeneity. To fill in this gap,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-23 Fan Yin , Weining Shen , Carter T. Butts

Gas is the transaction-fee metering system of the Ethereum network. Users of the network are required to select a gas price for submission with their transaction, creating a risk of overpaying or delayed/unprocessed transactions in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Conall Butler , Martin Crane

Forecasting speculative stock prices is essential for effective investment risk management that drives the need for the development of innovative algorithms. However, the speculative nature, volatility, and complex sequential dependencies…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-23 Riaz Ud Din , Salman Ahmed , Saddam Hussain Khan

Learning ensembles by bagging can substantially improve the generalization performance of low-bias, high-variance estimators, including those evolved by Genetic Programming (GP). To be efficient, modern GP algorithms for evolving (bagging)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Marco Virgolin