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Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting (PTSF) plays a crucial role in decision-making across various fields, including economics, energy, and transportation. Most existing methods excell at short-term forecasting, while overlooking the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Xingjian Wu , Xiangfei Qiu , Hongfan Gao , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

In the financial services industry, forecasting the risk factor distribution conditional on the history and the current market environment is the key to market risk modeling in general and value at risk (VaR) model in particular. As one of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-22 Lars Ericson , Xuejun Zhu , Xusi Han , Rao Fu , Shuang Li , Steve Guo , Ping Hu

Variation Autoencoder (VAE) has become a powerful tool in modeling the non-linear generative process of data from a low-dimensional latent space. Recently, several studies have proposed to use VAE for unsupervised clustering by using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Qingyu Zhao , Nicolas Honnorat , Ehsan Adeli , Kilian M. Pohl

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a generative model with continuous latent variables where a pair of probabilistic encoder (bottom-up) and decoder (top-down) is jointly learned by stochastic gradient variational Bayes. We first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Suwon Suh , Seungjin Choi

Much research has been devoted to the problem of learning fair representations; however, they do not explicitly the relationship between latent representations. In many real-world applications, there may be causal relationships between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Ziqi Xu , Jixue Liu , Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Ke Wang

Multivariate time series with missing values are common in areas such as healthcare and finance, and have grown in number and complexity over the years. This raises the question whether deep learning methodologies can outperform classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-21 Vincent Fortuin , Dmitry Baranchuk , Gunnar Rätsch , Stephan Mandt

Forecasting short-term motion of nearby vehicles presents an inherently challenging issue as the space of their possible future movements is not strictly limited to a set of single trajectories. Recently proposed techniques that demonstrate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Albert Dulian , John C. Murray

Disentangled representation learning aims to learn low-dimensional representations where each dimension corresponds to an underlying generative factor. While the Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) is widely used for this purpose, most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Di Fan , Yannian Kou , Chuanhou Gao

Latent variables often mask cause-effect relationships in observational data which provokes spurious links that may be misinterpreted as causal. This problem sparks great interest in the fields such as climate science and economics. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Violeta Teodora Trifunov , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

We propose a new class of physics-informed neural networks, called physics-informed Variational Autoencoder (PI-VAE), to solve stochastic differential equations (SDEs) or inverse problems involving SDEs. In these problems the governing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-09 Weiheng Zhong , Hadi Meidani

Probabilistic forecasting in power systems often involves multi-entity datasets like households, feeders, and wind turbines, where generating reliable entity-specific forecasts presents significant challenges. Traditional approaches require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Kutay Bölat , Simon Tindemans

Variational autoencoders (VAE) represent a popular, flexible form of deep generative model that can be stochastically fit to samples from a given random process using an information-theoretic variational bound on the true underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Bin Dai , Yu Wang , John Aston , Gang Hua , David Wipf

We propose a novel probabilistic generative model for action sequences. The model is termed the Action Point Process VAE (APP-VAE), a variational auto-encoder that can capture the distribution over the times and categories of action…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Nazanin Mehrasa , Akash Abdu Jyothi , Thibaut Durand , Jiawei He , Leonid Sigal , Greg Mori

Variational autoencoders (VAEs), as an important aspect of generative models, have received a lot of research interests and reached many successful applications. However, it is always a challenge to achieve the consistency between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Xiaoyu Chen , Chen Gong , Qiang He , Xinwen Hou , Yu Liu

We present a new supervised learning technique for the Variational AutoEncoder (VAE) that allows it to learn a causally disentangled representation and generate causally disentangled outcomes simultaneously. We call this approach Causally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-10 Seunghwan An , Kyungwoo Song , Jong-June Jeon

Time series generation (TSG) studies have mainly focused on the use of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) combined with recurrent neural network (RNN) variants. However, the fundamental limitations and challenges of training GANs still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Daesoo Lee , Sara Malacarne , Erlend Aune

Variational autoencoders (VAE) are a powerful and widely-used class of models to learn complex data distributions in an unsupervised fashion. One important limitation of VAEs is the prior assumption that latent sample representations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Francesco Paolo Casale , Adrian V Dalca , Luca Saglietti , Jennifer Listgarten , Nicolo Fusi

Generating time series data is a promising approach to address data deficiency problems. However, it is also challenging due to the complex temporal properties of time series data, including local correlations as well as global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Ang Li , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

People can easily imagine the potential sound while seeing an event. This natural synchronization between audio and visual signals reveals their intrinsic correlations. To this end, we propose to learn the audio-visual correlations from the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Ye Zhu , Yu Wu , Hugo Latapie , Yi Yang , Yan Yan

We propose a topic-guided variational autoencoder (TGVAE) model for text generation. Distinct from existing variational autoencoder (VAE) based approaches, which assume a simple Gaussian prior for the latent code, our model specifies the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Wenlin Wang , Zhe Gan , Hongteng Xu , Ruiyi Zhang , Guoyin Wang , Dinghan Shen , Changyou Chen , Lawrence Carin