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Accurate acquisition of surface meteorological conditions at arbitrary locations holds significant importance for weather forecasting and climate simulation. Due to the fact that meteorological states derived from satellite observations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Siwei Tu , Ben Fei , Weidong Yang , Fenghua Ling , Hao Chen , Zili Liu , Kun Chen , Hang Fan , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Quantifying long-term historical climate is fundamental to understanding recent climate change. Most instrumentally recorded climate data are only available for the past 200 years, so proxy observations from natural archives are often…

A new model is presented for multisite statistical downscaling of temperature and precipitation using convolutional conditional neural processes (convCNPs). ConvCNPs are a recently developed class of models that allow deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Anna Vaughan , Will Tebbutt , J. Scott Hosking , Richard E. Turner

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

General Circulation Models (GCMs) are widely used for future climate projections, but their coarse spatial resolution and systematic biases limit their direct use for impact studies. This limitation is particularly critical for wind-related…

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…

Macro-energy system modelling is used by decision-makers to steer the global energy transition toward an affordable, sustainable and reliable future. Closed-source models are the current standard for most policy and industry decisions.…

A combined high-resolution atmospheric downscaling and wave hindcast based on the ERA-40 reanalysis covering the Norwegian Sea, the North Sea and the Barents Sea is presented. The period covered is from September 1957 to August 2002. The…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-11-04 Magnar Reistad , Øyvind Breivik , Hilde Haakenstad , Ole Johan Aarnes , Birgitte R. Furevik , Jean-Raymond Bidlot

Modeling environmental ecosystems is essential for effective resource management, sustainable development, and understanding complex ecological processes. However, traditional methods frequently struggle with the inherent complexity,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Runlong Yu , Shengyu Chen , Yiqun Xie , Xiaowei Jia

Machine learning (ML) methods have shown great potential for weather downscaling. These data-driven approaches provide a more efficient alternative for producing high-resolution weather datasets and forecasts compared to physics-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Saumya Sinha , Brandon Benton , Patrick Emami

We present the collaborative model of ESiWACE2 Services, where Research Software Engineers (RSEs) from the Netherlands eScience Center (NLeSC) and Atos offer their expertise to climate and earth system modeling groups across Europe. Within…

This study proposes a method for aggregating/synthesizing global and local sub-models for fast and flexible spatial regression modeling. Eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF) was used to model spatially varying coefficients and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Daisuke Murakami , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hajime Seya , Daniel A. Griffith

The state of the art for physical hazard prediction from weather and climate requires expensive km-scale numerical simulations driven by coarser resolution global inputs. Here, a generative diffusion architecture is explored for downscaling…

Global and regional climate model projections are useful for gauging future patterns of climate variables, including solar radiation, but data from these models is often too coarse to assess local impacts. Within the context of solar…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-21 Maggie Bailey , Doug Nychka , Manajit Sengupta , Jaemo Yang , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

A new method is proposed for modelling the yearly maxima of sub-daily precipitation, with the aim of producing spatial maps of return level estimates. Yearly precipitation maxima are modelled using a Bayesian hierarchical model with a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-23 Silius M. Vandeskog , Sara Martino , Daniela Castro-Camilo , Håvard Rue

Advances in climate science have rendered obsolete gridded observation data sets commonly used in macroecological analyses. Novel climate reanalysis products outperform legacy data products in accuracy, temporal resolution, and provision of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Erik Kusch , Richard Davy

There is substantial empirical and climatological evidence that precipitation extremes have become more extreme during the twentieth century, and that this trend is likely to continue as global warming becomes more intense. However,…

Climate downscaling, the process of generating high-resolution climate data from low-resolution simulations, is essential for understanding and adapting to climate change at regional and local scales. Deep learning approaches have proven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Ayush Prasad , Paula Harder , Qidong Yang , Prasanna Sattegeri , Daniela Szwarcman , Campbell Watson , David Rolnick

Modern deep learning techniques, which mimic traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and are derived from global atmospheric reanalysis data, have caused a significant revolution within a few years. In this new paradigm, our…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Minjong Cheon , Daehyun Kang , Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang

Foundation Models (FMs) are large-scale, pre-trained artificial intelligence (AI) systems that have revolutionized natural language processing and computer vision, and are now advancing geospatial analysis and Earth Observation (EO). They…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Pedram Ghamisi , Weikang Yu , Xiaokang Zhang , Aldino Rizaldy , Jian Wang , Chufeng Zhou , Richard Gloaguen , Gustau Camps-Valls
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