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This paper proposes to use probabilistic model checking to synthesize optimal robot policies in multi-tasking autonomous systems that are subject to human-robot interaction. Given the convincing empirical evidence that human behavior can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Sebastian Junges , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

The rapid development of technology has introduced new formats of human-computer interaction, which have in turn produced many new forms of media and a whole new field of interactive multimedia. One of the major mediums that has grown in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Sara Knežević , Mlađan Jovanović

As humans perceive and actively engage with the world, we adjust our decisions in response to shifting group dynamics and are influenced by social interactions. This study aims to identify which aspects of interaction affect…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-23 Lucila G. Alvarez-Zuzek , Laura Ferrarotti , Bruno Lepri , Riccardo Gallotti

A probabilistic model describes a system in its observational state. In many situations, however, we are interested in the system's response under interventions. The class of structural causal models provides a language that allows us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Jonas Peters , Stefan Bauer , Niklas Pfister

Dynamical systems see widespread use in natural sciences like physics, biology, chemistry, as well as engineering disciplines such as circuit analysis, computational fluid dynamics, and control. For simple systems, the differential…

The notion of preferences plays an important role in many disciplines including service robotics which is concerned with scenarios in which robots interact with humans. These interactions can be favored by robots taking human preferences…

When a prediction algorithm serves a collection of users, disparities in prediction quality are likely to emerge. If users respond to accurate predictions by increasing engagement, inviting friends, or adopting trends, repeated learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Eden Saig , Nir Rosenfeld

Visually exploring the world around us is not a passive process. Instead, we actively explore the world and acquire visual information over time. Here, we present a new model for simulating human eye-movement behavior in dynamic real-world…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Nicolas Roth , Pia Bideau , Olaf Hellwich , Martin Rolfs , Klaus Obermayer

Mathematical models of complex social systems can enrich social scientific theory, inform interventions, and shape policy. From voting behavior to economic inequality and urban development, such models influence decisions that affect…

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Many studies have shown that there are regularities in the way human beings make decisions. However, our ability to obtain models that capture such regularities and can accurately predict unobserved decisions is still limited. We tackle…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-11 Gael Poux-Medard , Sergio Cobo-Lopez , Jordi Duch , Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo

Socio-environmental planning under deep uncertainty requires researchers to identify and conceptualize problems before exploring policies and deploying plans. In practice and model-based planning approaches, this problem conceptualization…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Zhihao Pei , Nir Lipovetzky , Angela M. Rojas-Arevalo , Fjalar J. de Haan , Enayat A. Moallemi

As predictive models -- e.g., from machine learning -- give likely outcomes, they may be used to reason on the effect of an intervention, a causal-inference task. The increasing complexity of health data has opened the door to a plethora of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-17 Matthieu Doutreligne , Gaël Varoquaux

Designing effective model-based reinforcement learning algorithms is difficult because the ease of data generation must be weighed against the bias of model-generated data. In this paper, we study the role of model usage in policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Michael Janner , Justin Fu , Marvin Zhang , Sergey Levine

We explore using latent natural language instructions as an expressive and compositional representation of complex actions for hierarchical decision making. Rather than directly selecting micro-actions, our agent first generates a latent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Hengyuan Hu , Denis Yarats , Qucheng Gong , Yuandong Tian , Mike Lewis

In this paper, a synergistic combination of deep reinforcement learning and hierarchical game theory is proposed as a modeling framework for behavioral predictions of drivers in highway driving scenarios. The need for a modeling framework…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-03-26 Berat Mert Albaba , Yildiray Yildiz

To make decisions organisms often accumulate information across multiple timescales. However, most experimental and modeling studies of decision-making focus on sequences of independent trials. On the other hand, natural environments are…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-12 Khanh P Nguyen , Kresimir Josic , Zachary P Kilpatrick

Decision-making is a key software engineering skill. Developers constantly make choices throughout the software development process, from requirements to implementation. While prior work has studied developer decision-making, the choices…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Jenny T. Liang , Maryam Arab , Minhyuk Ko , Amy J. Ko , Thomas D. LaToza

Decision circuits have been developed to perform efficient evaluation of influence diagrams [Bhattacharjya and Shachter, 2007], building on the advances in arithmetic circuits for belief network inference [Darwiche,2003]. In the process of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Debarun Bhattacharjya , Ross D. Shachter
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