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Crime prediction plays an impactful role in enhancing public security and sustainable development of urban. With recent advances in data collection and integration technologies, a large amount of urban data with rich crime-related…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-23 Xiangyu Zhao , Jiliang Tang

Self-exciting point processes are widely used to model the contagious effects of crime events living within continuous geographic space, using their occurrence time and locations. However, in urban environments, most events are naturally…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-01 Zheng Dong , Jorge Mateu , Yao Xie

Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-07-12 Bao Wang , Duo Zhang , Duanhao Zhang , P. Jeffery Brantingham , Andrea L. Bertozzi

Much effort is being made to ensure the safety of people. One of the main requirements of travellers and city administrators is to have knowledge of places that are more prone to criminal activities. To rate a place as a potential crime…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Shailendra Kumar Gupta , Shreyanshu Shekhar , Neeraj Goel , Mukesh Saini

This paper focuses on finding spatial and temporal criminal hotspots. It analyses two different real-world crimes datasets for Denver, CO and Los Angeles, CA and provides a comparison between the two datasets through a statistical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Tahani Almanie , Rsha Mirza , Elizabeth Lor

Predictive hotspot mapping is an important problem in crime prediction and control. An accurate hotspot mapping helps in appropriately targeting the available resources to manage crime in cities. With an aim to make data-driven decisions…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-02 Karthik Sriram , Ankur Sinha , Suvashis Choudhary

Predicting crimes in urban environments is crucial for public safety, yet existing prediction methods often struggle to align the knowledge across diverse cities that vary dramatically in data availability of specific crime types. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Fidan Karimova , Tong Chen , Yu Yang , Shazia Sadiq

A crime is a punishable offence that is harmful for an individual and his society. It is obvious to comprehend the patterns of criminal activity to prevent them. Research can help society to prevent and solve crime activates. Study shows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Sohrab Hossain , Ahmed Abtahee , Imran Kashem , Mohammed Moshiul Hoque , Iqbal H. Sarker

Crime hotspot prediction is critical for ensuring urban safety and effective law enforcement, it remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies that are inherent in criminal activities. The traditional approaches use classical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Tehreem Zubair , Syeda Kisaa Fatima , Noman Ahmed , Asifullah Khan

This study uses deep-learning models to predict city partition crime counts on specific days. It helps police enhance surveillance, gather intelligence, and proactively prevent crimes. We formulate crime count prediction as a spatiotemporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Li Mao , Wei Du , Shuo Wen , Qi Li , Tong Zhang , Wei Zhong

Exposure to crime and violence can harm individuals' quality of life and the economic growth of communities. In light of the rapid development in machine learning, there is a rise in the need to explore automated solutions to prevent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Yuting Sun , Tong Chen , Hongzhi Yin

Crime prevention measures, aiming for the effective and efficient spending of public resources, rely on the empirical analysis of spatial and temporal data for public safety outcomes. We perform a variable-density cluster analysis on crime…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-09 Ben Moews

Objectives: To develop a deep learning framework to evaluate if and how incorporating micro-level mobility features, alongside historical crime and sociodemographic data, enhances predictive performance in crime forecasting at fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Ariadna Albors Zumel , Michele Tizzoni , Gian Maria Campedelli

This paper focuses on Crime zone Identification. Then, it clarifies how we conducted the Belief Rule Base algorithm to produce interesting frequent patterns for crime hotspots. The paper also shows how we used an expert system to forecast…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Abhijit Pathak , Abrar Hossain Tasin

Crime events are known to reveal spatio-temporal patterns, which can be used for predictive modeling and subsequent decision support. While the focus has hitherto been placed on areas with high population density, we address the challenging…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Cristina Kadar , Rudolf Maculan , Stefan Feuerriegel

Accuracy and interpretability are two essential properties for a crime prediction model. Because of the adverse effects that the crimes can have on human life, economy and safety, we need a model that can predict future occurrence of crime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Yeasir Rayhan , Tanzima Hashem

Researchers regard crime as a social phenomenon that is influenced by several physical, social, and economic factors. Different types of crimes are said to have different motivations. Theft, for instance, is a crime that is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Deborah Djon , Jitesh Jhawar , Kieron Drumm , Vincent Tran

With the acceleration of urbanization, the spatiotemporal characteristics of criminal activities have become increasingly complex. Accurate prediction of crime distribution is crucial for optimizing the allocation of police resources and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Zhenkai Qin , BaoZhong Wei , Caifeng Gao

Analyzing crime events is crucial to understand crime dynamics and it is largely helpful for constructing prevention policies. Point processes specified on linear networks can provide a more accurate description of crime incidents by…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-21 Sujeong Lee , Won Chang , Jorge Mateu , Heejin Lee , Jaewoo Park

There is significant interest in being able to predict where crimes will happen, for example to aid in the efficient tasking of police and other protective measures. We aim to model both the temporal and spatial dependencies often exhibited…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-23 Sivan Aldor-Noiman , Lawrence D. Brown , Emily B. Fox , Robert A. Stine
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