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We study identification and estimation of endogenous linear and nonlinear regression models without excluded instrumental variables, based on the standard mean independence condition and a nonlinear relevance condition. Based on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-01 Wayne Yuan Gao , Rui Wang

Recently, there has been great interest in estimating the conditional average treatment effect using flexible machine learning methods. However, in practice, investigators often have working hypotheses about effect heterogeneity across…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

In auction and matching markets, estimating the welfare effects of demand-side treatments is challenging because of spillovers through the mechanism. We develop a quasi-experimental approach that avoids parametric assumptions typically…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Evan Munro

Can stated preferences inform counterfactual analyses of actual choice? This research proposes a novel approach to researchers who have access to both stated choices in hypothetical scenarios and actual choices, matched or unmatched. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Romuald Meango , Marc Henry , Ismael Mourifie

The ability to uncover preferences from choices is fundamental for both positive economics and welfare analysis. Overwhelming evidence shows that choice is stochastic, which has given rise to random utility models as the dominant paradigm…

General Economics · Economics 2018-11-07 Carlos Alos-Ferrer , Ernst Fehr , Nick Netzer

Firms increasingly rely on dynamic pricing to respond to evolving customer demand, yet in many applications they observe only the revenue generated by a single posted price in each period. At the same time, market conditions may shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Xiangyu Yang , Feng Xu , Jian-Qiang Hu , Jiaqiao Hu

Classical latent-score ranking models often fail to distinguish objects' intrinsic scores from contextual effects, which are typically nonlinear and can dominate the observed outcomes. To address this, we introduce a semiparametric ranking…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Yuanhang Luo , Shuxing Fang , Ruijian Han , Yiming Xu

In this paper, we explore optimal treatment allocation policies that target distributional welfare. Most literature on treatment choice has considered utilitarian welfare based on the conditional average treatment effect (ATE). While…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-30 Yifan Cui , Sukjin Han

Street-level bureaucrats, such as caseworkers and border guards routinely face the dilemma of whether to follow rigid policy or exercise discretion based on professional judgement. However, frequent overrides threaten consistency and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Gaurab Pokharel , Sanmay Das , Patrick J. Fowler

This paper proposes a Vector Autoregression augmented with nonlinear factors that are modeled nonparametrically using regression trees. There are four main advantages of our model. First, modeling potential nonlinearities nonparametrically…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-20 Todd Clark , Florian Huber , Gary Koop

We explore solutions for fairly allocating indivisible items among agents assigned weights representing their entitlements. Our fairness goal is weighted-envy-freeness (WEF), where each agent deems their allocated portion relative to their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Noga Klein Elmalem , Rica Gonen , Erel Segal-Halevi

This paper develops a class of potential outcomes models characterized by three main features: (i) Unobserved heterogeneity can be represented by a vector of potential outcomes and a type describing the manner in which an instrument…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-10 Manu Navjeevan , Rodrigo Pinto , Andres Santos

Average partial effects (APEs) are often not point identified in panel models with unrestricted unobserved individual heterogeneity, such as a binary response panel model with fixed effects and logistic errors as a special case. This lack…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-01 Laura Liu , Alexandre Poirier , Ji-Liang Shiu

This paper revisits the classic instrument choice problem in a setting with consumption externalities, through the lens of robust mechanism design. A regulator can implement any incentive-compatible policy but is uncertain about how…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-18 Zi Yang Kang

This paper studies policy learning for continuous treatments from observational data. Continuous treatments present more significant challenges than discrete ones because population welfare may need nonparametric estimation, and policy…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-02 Chunrong Ai , Yue Fang , Haitian Xie

This paper considers the practically important case of nonparametrically estimating heterogeneous average treatment effects that vary with a limited number of discrete and continuous covariates in a selection-on-observables framework where…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-26 Michael Zimmert , Michael Lechner

We investigate a model of sequential decision-making where a single alternative is chosen at each round. We focus on two objectives -- utilitarian welfare (Util) and egalitarian welfare (Egal) -- and consider the computational complexity of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Edith Elkind , Tzeh Yuan Neoh , Nicholas Teh

We offer a parsimonious model to investigate how strategic wind producers sell energy under stochastic production constraints, where the extent of heterogeneity of wind energy availability varies according to wind farm locations. The main…

General Economics · Economics 2019-01-01 Ali Kakhbod , Asuman Ozdaglar , Ian Schneider

We study individual rational, Pareto optimal, and incentive compatible mechanisms for auctions with heterogeneous items and budget limits. For multi-dimensional valuations we show that there can be no deterministic mechanism with these…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-10-01 Paul Duetting , Monika Henzinger , Martin Starnberger

A key observation underlying this paper is the fact that the range invariance condition for convergence of regularization methods for nonlinear ill-posed operator equations -- such as coefficient identification in partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Barbara Kaltenbacher