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Economists often estimate models using data from a particular domain, e.g. estimating risk preferences in a particular subject pool or for a specific class of lotteries. Whether a model's predictions extrapolate well across domains depends…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-03-05 Isaiah Andrews , Drew Fudenberg , Lihua Lei , Annie Liang , Chaofeng Wu

Conformal prediction is an assumption-lean approach to generating distribution-free prediction intervals or sets, for nearly arbitrary predictive models, with guaranteed finite-sample coverage. Conformal methods are an active research topic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jerzy Wieczorek

A general class of models is proposed that is able to estimate the whole predictive distribution of a dependent variable $Y$ given a vector of explanatory variables $\xb$. The models exploit that the strength of explanatory variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Gerhard Tutz

With growing applications of Machine Learning (ML) techniques in the real world, it is highly important to ensure that these models work in an equitable manner. One main step in ensuring fairness is to effectively measure fairness, and to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Abdalwahab Almajed , Maryam Tabar , Peyman Najafirad

Regression analysis is a standard supervised machine learning method used to model an outcome variable in terms of a set of predictor variables. In most real-world applications we do not know the true value of the outcome variable being…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Henri Tiittanen , Emilia Oikarinen , Andreas Henelius , Kai Puolamäki

For the last two decades, high-dimensional data and methods have proliferated throughout the literature. Yet, the classical technique of linear regression has not lost its usefulness in applications. In fact, many high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja , Edward I. George , Linda Zhao

Learning domain-invariant representations has become a popular approach to unsupervised domain adaptation and is often justified by invoking a particular suite of theoretical results. We argue that there are two significant flaws in such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-05 Fredrik D. Johansson , David Sontag , Rajesh Ranganath

The hypothesis that computational models can be reliable enough to be adopted in prognosis and patient care is revolutionizing healthcare. Deep learning, in particular, has been a game changer in building predictive models, thus leading to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-17 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Deepta Rajan , Prasanna Sattigeri

Through extensive experience developing and explaining machine learning (ML) applications for real-world domains, we have learned that ML models are only as interpretable as their features. Even simple, highly interpretable model types such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Alexandra Zytek , Ignacio Arnaldo , Dongyu Liu , Laure Berti-Equille , Kalyan Veeramachaneni

Interpreting data with mathematical models is an important aspect of real-world industrial and applied mathematical modeling. Often we are interested to understand the extent to which a particular set of data informs and constrains model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Matthew J Simpson , Ruth E Baker

Reachability analysis, in general, is a fundamental method that supports formally-correct synthesis, robust model predictive control, set-based observers, fault detection, invariant computation, and conformance checking, to name but a few.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-17 Niklas Kochdumper , Bastian Schürmann , Matthias Althoff

Over the last few decades, various methods have been proposed for estimating prediction intervals in regression settings, including Bayesian methods, ensemble methods, direct interval estimation methods and conformal prediction methods. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Nicolas Dewolf , Bernard De Baets , Willem Waegeman

Machine learning models are often trained to predict the outcome resulting from a human decision. For example, if a doctor decides to test a patient for disease, will the patient test positive? A challenge is that historical decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Sidhika Balachandar , Nikhil Garg , Emma Pierson

We construct confidence sets for the regression function in nonparametric binary regression with an unknown design density. These confidence sets are adaptive in $L^2$ loss over a continuous class of Sobolev type spaces. Adaptation holds in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-04 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

Domain generalization is a technique aimed at enabling models to maintain high accuracy when applied to new environments or datasets (unseen domains) that differ from the datasets used in training. Generally, the accuracy of models trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Reiji Saito , Kazuhiro Hotta

Concept-based Models are a class of inherently explainable networks that improve upon standard Deep Neural Networks by providing a rationale behind their predictions using human-understandable `concepts'. With these models being highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Sanchit Sinha , Aidong Zhang

Machine Learning explainability techniques have been proposed as a means of `explaining' or interrogating a model in order to understand why a particular decision or prediction has been made. Such an ability is especially important at a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-28 Matthew J. Vowels

Facial Expression Recognition is a commercially-important application, but one under-appreciated limitation is that such applications require making predictions on out-of-sample distributions, where target images have different properties…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Varsha Suresh , Gerard Yeo , Desmond C. Ong

Off-the-shelf models are widely used by computational social science researchers to measure properties of text, such as sentiment. However, without access to source data it is difficult to account for domain shift, which represents a threat…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Junshen K. Chen , Dallas Card , Dan Jurafsky

Machine-learning models have demonstrated great success in learning complex patterns that enable them to make predictions about unobserved data. In addition to using models for prediction, the ability to interpret what a model has learned…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-15 W. James Murdoch , Chandan Singh , Karl Kumbier , Reza Abbasi-Asl , Bin Yu