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This work demonstrates how the concept of the entropic potential of events -- a parameter quantifying the influence of discrete events on the expected future entropy of a system -- can enhance uncertainty quantification, decision-making,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Mark Zilberman

Chain-of-thought prompting has popularized step-by-step reasoning in large language models, yet model performance still degrades as problem complexity and context length grow. By decomposing difficult tasks with long contexts into shorter,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Michael Rizvi-Martel , Satwik Bhattamishra , Neil Rathi , Guillaume Rabusseau , Michael Hahn

Recent years have seen the development of methods for multiagent planning under uncertainty that scale to tens or even hundreds of agents. However, most of these methods either make restrictive assumptions on the problem domain, or provide…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-07-21 Frans A. Oliehoek , Matthijs T. J. Spaan , Stefan Witwicki

Time perception - how humans and animals perceive the passage of time - forms the basis for important cognitive skills such as decision-making, planning, and communication. In this work, we propose a framework for examining the mechanisms…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-08 Inês Lourenço , Robert Mattila , Rodrigo Ventura , Bo Wahlberg

Causality plays a central role in understanding interactions between variables in complex systems. These systems often exhibit state-dependent causal relationships, where both the strength and direction of causality vary with the value of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-08-05 Álvaro Martínez-Sánchez , Adrián Lozano-Durán

We investigate multiscale Gibbs measures from a variational and probabilistic viewpoint, focusing on the structural asymmetry among conditional entropies that characterizes their construction. We show how this asymmetry emerges both from…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-12-23 Francesco Camilli , Pierluigi Contucci , Emanuele Mingione

Motivated by the development of dynamics in probability spaces, we propose a novel multi-agent dynamic of consensus type where each agent is a probability measure. The agents move instantaneously towards a weighted barycenter of the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Giacomo Borghi , Michael Herty , Andrey Stavitskiy

Ramsey (1926) sketches a proposal for measuring the subjective probabilities of an agent by their observable preferences, assuming that the agent is an expected utility maximizer. I show how to extend the spirit of Ramsey's method to a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Sven Neth

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

This article investigates the causality structure of financial time series. We concentrate on three main approaches to measuring causality: linear Granger causality, kernel generalisations of Granger causality (based on ridge regression and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-17 Anna Zaremba , Tomaso Aste

We present a sample path dependent measure of causal influence between time series. The proposed causal measure is a random sequence, a realization of which enables identification of specific patterns that give rise to high levels of causal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Gabriel Schamberg , Todd P. Coleman

We develop an incremental tableau-based decision procedures for the Alternating-time temporal logic ATL and some of its variants. While running within the theoretically established complexity upper bound, we claim that our tableau is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2008-09-09 Valentin Goranko , Dmitry Shkatov

In most existing studies on large-scale multi-agent coordination, the control methods aim to learn discrete policies for agents with finite choices. They rarely consider selecting actions directly from continuous action spaces to provide…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Yining Chen , Ke Wang , Guanghua Song , Xiaohong Jiang

Reaching consensus in urban planning is a complex process often hindered by prolonged negotiations, trade-offs, power dynamics, and competing stakeholder interests, resulting in inefficiencies and inequities. Advances in large language…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Jin Gao , Hanyong Xu , Luc Dao

AI-related incidents are becoming increasingly frequent and severe, ranging from safety failures to misuse by malicious actors. In such complex situations, identifying which elements caused an adverse outcome, the problem of cause…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Maria Victoria Carro , David Lagnado

This work addresses the problem of analyzing cooperation in heterogeneous multi-agent systems which operate under partial observability and temporal role dependency, framed within a destructive multi-agent foraging setting. Unlike most…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Alejandro Mendoza Barrionuevo , Samuel Yanes Luis , Daniel Gutiérrez Reina , Sergio L. Toral Marín

This paper develops new methods for causal inference in observational studies on a single large network of interconnected units, addressing two key challenges: long-range dependence among units and the presence of general interference. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-24 Jizhou Liu , Dake Zhang , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Making a decision in a changeable and dynamic environment is an arduous task owing to the lack of information, their uncertainties and the unawareness of planners about the future evolution of incidents. The use of a decision support system…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-04-21 Fahem Kebair , Frederic Serin

Causal games are probabilistic graphical models that enable causal queries to be answered in multi-agent settings. They extend causal Bayesian networks by specifying decision and utility variables to represent the agents' degrees of freedom…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Manuj Mishra , James Fox , Michael Wooldridge

The advent of 6G networks is accelerating autonomy and intelligence in large-scale, decentralized multi-agent systems (MAS). While this evolution enables adaptive behavior, it also heightens vulnerability to stressors such as environmental…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Tamara Alshammari , Mehdi Bennis