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We consider graphical models based on a recursive system of linear structural equations. This implies that there is an ordering, $\sigma$, of the variables such that each observed variable $Y_v$ is a linear function of a variable specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-28 Y. Samuel Wang , Mathias Drton

We propose an extreme dimension reduction method extending the Extreme-PLS approach to the case where the covariate lies in a possibly infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. The ideas are partly borrowed from both Partial Least-Squares and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Stéphane Girard , Cambyse Pakzad

We introduce a new random matrix model called distance covariance matrix in this paper, whose normalized trace is equivalent to the distance covariance. We first derive a deterministic limit for the eigenvalue distribution of the distance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Weiming Li , Qinwen Wang , Jianfeng Yao

Concerning bivariate least squares linear regression, the classical results obtained for extreme structural models in earlier attempts are reviewed using a new formalism in terms of deviation (matrix) traces which, for homoscedastic data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-17 R. Caimmi

Regularly varying stochastic processes are able to model extremal dependence between process values at locations in random fields. We investigate the empirical extremogram as an estimator of dependence in the extremes. We provide conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

We quantify the large deviations of Gaussian extreme value statistics on closed convex sets in d-dimensional Euclidean space. The asymptotics imply that the extreme value distribution exhibits a rate function that is a simple quadratic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Harsha Honnappa , Raghu Pasupathy , Prateek Jaiswal

Normal copula with a correlation coefficient between $-1$ and $1$ is tail independent and so it severely underestimates extreme probabilities. By letting the correlation coefficient in a normal copula depend on the sample size, H\"usler and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Xin Liao , Liang Peng , Zuoxiang Peng , Yanting Zheng

The statistical modeling of space-time extremes in environmental applications is key to understanding complex dependence structures in original event data and to generating realistic scenarios for impact models. In this context of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-16 Jean-Noel Bacro , Carlo Gaetan , Thomas Opitz , Gwladys Toulemonde

We use the concept of excursions for the prediction of random variables without any moment existence assumptions. To do so, an excursion metric on the space of random variables is defined which appears to be a kind of a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Vitalii Makogin , Evgeny Spodarev

We consider the clustering of extremes for stationary regularly varying random fields over arbitrary growing index sets. We study sufficient assumptions on the index set such that the limit of the point random fields of the exceedances…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-23 Riccardo Passeggeri , Olivier Wintenberger

Let $X(t), t\in \mathcal{T}$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^2(\cdot)$ that attains its maximum at the unique point $t_0\in \mathcal{T}$, and let $M(\mathcal{T}):=\sup_{t\in \mathcal{T}} X(t)$. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-31 Krzyztof Dębicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Peng Liu

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

All varieties, extremal contractions, singularities are divided on exceptional and non-exceptional ones. Roughly speaking, there are the infinite families of non-exceptional varieties, extremal contractions or singularities and only the…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-06-26 S. A. Kudryavtsev

A methodology for high dimensional causal inference in a time series context is introduced. It is assumed that there is a monotonic transformation of the data such that the dynamics of the transformed variables are described by a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent centered random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper shows that, even when $d$ may grow with $n$, the probability $P(n^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^nX_i\in A)$ can be approximated by its Gaussian analog uniformly in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Yuta Koike

Economically responsible mitigation of multivariate extreme risks-such as extreme rainfall over large areas, large simultaneous variations in many stock prices, or widespread breakdowns in transportation systems-requires assessing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Stéphane Lhaut , Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers

Concentration inequalities form an essential toolkit in the study of high dimensional (HD) statistical methods. Most of the relevant statistics literature in this regard is based on sub-Gaussian or sub-exponential tail assumptions. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Abhishek Chakrabortty

The maximum correlation of functions of a pair of random variables is an important measure of stochastic dependence. It is known that this maximum nonlinear correlation is identical to the absolute value of the Pearson correlation for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Zijian Guo , Cun-Hui Zhang

Over the past decade, characterizing the exact asymptotic risk of regularized estimators in high-dimensional regression has emerged as a popular line of work. This literature considers the proportional asymptotics framework, where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Samriddha Lahiry , Pragya Sur