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Epidemic outcomes have a complex interplay with human behavior and beliefs. Most of the forecasting literature has focused on the task of predicting epidemic signals using simple mechanistic models or black-box models, such as deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Mulin Tian , Ajitesh Srivastava

As an emerging interpretable technique, Generalized Additive Models (GAMs) adopt neural networks to individually learn non-linear functions for each feature, which are then combined through a linear model for final predictions. Although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Viet Duong , Qiong Wu , Zhengyi Zhou , Hongjue Zhao , Chenxiang Luo , Eric Zavesky , Huaxiu Yao , Huajie Shao

Gaussian Process (GP) models are widely utilized as surrogate models in scientific and engineering fields. However, standard GP models are limited to continuous variables due to the difficulties in establishing correlation structures for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-05 Mingyu Pu , Songhao Wang , Haowei Wang , Szu Hui Ng

The lack of interpretability and transparency are preventing economists from using advanced tools like neural networks in their empirical research. In this paper, we propose a class of interpretable neural network models that can achieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-01 Yucheng Yang , Zhong Zheng , Weinan E

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

Globally interpretable models are a promising approach for trustworthy AI in safety-critical domains. Alongside global explanations, detailed local explanations are a crucial complement to effectively support human experts during inference.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Thomas Norrenbrock , Timo Kaiser , Sovan Biswas , Neslihan Kose , Ramesh Manuvinakurike , Bodo Rosenhahn

Determining the aqueous solubility of molecules is a vital step in many pharmaceutical, environmental, and energy storage applications. Despite efforts made over decades, there are still challenges associated with developing a solubility…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-09-05 Gihan Panapitiya , Michael Girard , Aaron Hollas , Vijay Murugesan , Wei Wang , Emily Saldanha

Deep learning algorithms excel at extracting patterns from raw data, and with large datasets, they have been very successful in computer vision and natural language applications. However, in other domains, large datasets on which to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Garrett B. Goh , Khushmeen Sakloth , Charles Siegel , Abhinav Vishnu , Jim Pfaendtner

For computer vision applications, prior works have shown the efficacy of reducing the numeric precision of model parameters (network weights) in deep neural networks but also that reducing the precision of activations hurts model accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-12 Asit Mishra , Jeffrey J Cook , Eriko Nurvitadhi , Debbie Marr

This paper explores uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods in the context of Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs). We apply an ensemble approach to KANs to obtain a heuristic measure of UQ, enhancing interpretability and robustness in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Amirhossein Mollaali , Christian Bolivar Moya , Amanda A. Howard , Alexander Heinlein , Panos Stinis , Guang Lin

The current catalyst discovery and development pipeline for energy-intensive applications like methane conversion remains bottlenecked by expensive trial-and-error experimentation, irreproducible chemical intuition, and a lack of frameworks…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-05-12 Oyinkansola Romiluyi

Accurate prediction of molecular properties is essential in drug discovery and related fields. However, existing graph neural networks (GNNs) often struggle to simultaneously capture both local and global molecular structures. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 XiaYu Liu , Chao Fan , Yang Liu , Hou-biao Li

Accurately predicting fluid dynamics and evolution has been a long-standing challenge in physical sciences. Conventional deep learning methods often rely on the nonlinear modeling capabilities of neural networks to establish mappings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Huaguan Chen , Yang Liu , Hao Sun

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models require ever-growing computing time/resources, but still, have difficulties with predicting weather extremes. Here we introduce a data-driven framework that is based on analog forecasting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Classical physical modelling with associated numerical simulation (model-based), and prognostic methods based on the analysis of large amounts of data (data-driven) are the two most common methods used for the mapping of complex physical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Derick Nganyu Tanyu , Isabel Michel , Andreas Rademacher , Jörg Kuhnert , Peter Maass

In this work, we present a general purpose deep neural network package for representing energies, forces, dipole moments, and polarizabilities of atomistic systems. This so-called recursively embedded atom neural network model takes both…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-04-06 Yaolong Zhang , Junfan Xia , Bin Jiang

Accurate prediction of diverse chemical properties is crucial for advancing molecular design and materials discovery. Here we present a versatile approach that uses the intermediate information of a universal neural network potential as a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-17 Tomoya Shiota , Kenji Ishihara , Wataru Mizukami

The task here is to predict the toxicological activity of chemical compounds based on the Tox21 dataset, a benchmark in computational toxicology. After a domain-specific overview of chemical toxicity, we discuss current computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Eduard Popescu , Adrian Groza , Andreea Cernat

This study presents novel predictive models using Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for simulating thermal dynamics in Laser Powder Bed Fusion (L-PBF) processes. By developing and validating Single-Laser GNN (SL-GNN) and Multi-Laser GNN (ML-GNN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Riddhiman Raut , Amit Kumar Ball , Amrita Basak

While the uptake of data-driven approaches for materials science and chemistry is at an exciting, early stage, to realise the true potential of machine learning models for successful scientific discovery, they must have qualities beyond…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-06-28 Felipe Oviedo , Juan Lavista Ferres , Tonio Buonassisi , Keith Butler