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Health insurance companies cover half of the United States population through commercial employer-sponsored health plans and pay 1.2 trillion US dollars every year to cover medical expenses for their members. The actuary and underwriter…

Risk adjustment in health care aims to redistribute payments to insurers based on costs. However, risk adjustment formulas are known to underestimate costs for some groups of patients. This undercompensation makes these groups unprofitable…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-29 Anna Zink , Sherri Rose

Life assurance companies typically possess a wealth of data covering multiple systems and databases. These data are often used for analyzing the past and for describing the present. Taking account of the past, the future is mostly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-21 Andreas Groll , Carsten Wasserfuhr , Leonid Zeldin

Recent transformative and disruptive advancements in the insurance industry have embraced various InsurTech innovations. In particular, with the rapid progress in data science and computational capabilities, InsurTech is able to integrate a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-31 Zhiyu Quan , Changyue Hu , Panyi Dong , Emiliano A. Valdez

Advanced classification algorithms are being increasingly used in safety-critical applications like health-care, engineering, etc. In such applications, miss-classifications made by ML algorithms can result in substantial financial or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Disha Ghandwani , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Lin

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has received an increasing amount of attention in multiple areas. The uncertainties and risks in AI-powered systems have created reluctance in their wild adoption. As an economic solution to compensate for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Yunfei Ge , Quanyan Zhu

When AI systems make errors in high-stakes domains like medical diagnosis or autonomous vehicles, a single algorithmic flaw across varying operational contexts can generate highly heterogeneous losses that challenge traditional insurance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Dimitris Bertsimas , Agni Orfanoudaki

Machine learning models are increasingly used in the industry to make decisions such as credit insurance approval. Some people may be tempted to manipulate specific variables, such as the age or the salary, in order to get better chances of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Xavier Renard , Thibault Laugel , Marie-Jeanne Lesot , Christophe Marsala , Marcin Detyniecki

The rapid and dynamic pace of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) is revolutionizing the insurance sector. AI offers significant, very much welcome advantages to insurance companies, and is fundamental to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Elisa Luciano , Matteo Cattaneo , Ron Kenett

We introduce a neural network approach for assessing the risk of a portfolio of assets and liabilities over a given time period. This requires a conditional valuation of the portfolio given the state of the world at a later time, a problem…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-27 Patrick Cheridito , John Ery , Mario V. Wüthrich

We give an explicit algorithm and source code for constructing risk models based on machine learning techniques. The resultant covariance matrices are not factor models. Based on empirical backtests, we compare the performance of these…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-10 Zura Kakushadze , Willie Yu

In this paper, we address the identification and estimation of insurance models where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes random damages and allows for several claims, while insurers…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-14 Gaurab Aryal , Isabelle Perrigne , Quang Vuong , Haiqing Xu

Insurance companies must manage millions of claims per year. While most of these claims are non-fraudulent, fraud detection is core for insurance companies. The ultimate goal is a predictive model to single out the fraudulent claims and pay…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Leander Löw , Martin Spindler , Eike Brechmann

Medical insurance claims are of organized crimes related to patients, physicians, diagnostic centers, and insurance providers, forming a chain reaction that must be monitored constantly. These kinds of frauds affect the financial growth of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Jayanthi Vajiram , Negha Senthil , Nean Adhith. P

In this study an exploration of insurance risk transfer is undertaken for the cyber insurance industry in the United States of America, based on the leading industry dataset of cyber events provided by Advisen. We seek to address two core…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-16 Matteo Malavasi , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Stefan Trück , Jiwook Jang , Georgy Sofronov

Machine Learning (ML) has gained popularity in actuarial research and insurance industrial applications. However, the performance of most ML tasks heavily depends on data preprocessing, model selection, and hyperparameter optimization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Panyi Dong , Zhiyu Quan

We develop an agent-based simulation of the catastrophe insurance and reinsurance industry and use it to study the problem of risk model homogeneity. The model simulates the balance sheets of insurance firms, who collect premiums from…

General Economics · Economics 2019-11-21 Torsten Heinrich , Juan Sabuco , J. Doyne Farmer

Risk prediction is central to both clinical medicine and public health. While many machine learning models have been developed to predict mortality, they are rarely applied in the clinical literature, where classification tasks typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , Marzyeh Ghassemi , David Cutler , Ziad Obermeyer

Algorithms are increasingly common components of high-impact decision-making, and a growing body of literature on adversarial examples in laboratory settings indicates that standard machine learning models are not robust. This suggests that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-28 Suproteem K. Sarkar , Kojin Oshiba , Daniel Giebisch , Yaron Singer

If a prediction model identifies vulnerable individuals or groups, the use of that model may become an ethical issue. But can we know that this is what a model does? Machine learning fairness as a field is focused on the just treatment of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Inga Strümke , Marija Slavkovik