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Satellite conjunctions involving "near misses" of space objects are becoming increasingly likely. One approach to risk analysis for them involves the computation of the collision probability, but this has been regarded as having some…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-11 Soumaya Elkantassi , Anthony Davison

Satellite conjunction analysis is the assessment of collision risk during a close encounter between a satellite and another object in orbit. A counterintuitive phenomenon has emerged in the conjunction analysis literature, namely,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Michael S. Balch , Ryan Martin , Scott Ferson

The proliferation of space debris in LEO has become a major concern for the space industry. With the growing interest in space exploration, the prediction of potential collisions between objects in orbit has become a crucial issue. It is…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-11 Ricardo Ferreira , Cláudia Soares , Marta Guimarães

Satellite conjunctions involving near misses of space objects are increasingly common, especially with the growth of satellite constellations and space debris. Accurate risk analysis for these events is essential to prevent collisions and…

Over the last quarter-century, spacecraft conjunction assessment has focused on a quantity associated by its advocates with collision probability. This quantity has a well-known dilution feature, where it is small when uncertainty is large,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-01 J. Russell Carpenter , Anthony C. Davison , Soumaya Elkantassi , Matthew D. Hejduk

The exponential increase in orbital debris and active satellites will lead to congested orbits, necessitating more frequent collision avoidance maneuvers by satellites. To minimize fuel consumption while ensuring the safety of satellites,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-24 Kanghyun Ryu , Jean-Baptiste Bouvier , Shazaib Lalani , Siegfried Eggl , Negar Mehr

The risk of collision between resident space objects has significantly increased in recent years. As a result, spacecraft collision avoidance procedures have become an essential part of satellite operations. To ensure safe and effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Marta Guimarães , Cláudia Soares , Chiara Manfletti

Over 34,000 objects bigger than 10 cm in length are known to orbit Earth. Among them, only a small percentage are active satellites, while the rest of the population is made of dead satellites, rocket bodies, and debris that pose a…

Space debris is a major problem in space exploration. International bodies continuously monitor a large database of orbiting objects and emit warnings in the form of conjunction data messages. An important question for satellite operators…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Francisco Caldas , Cláudia Soares , Cláudia Nunes , Marta Guimarães

Space debris is a major problem in space exploration. International bodies continuously monitor a large database of orbiting objects and emit warnings in the form of conjunction data messages. An important question for satellite operators…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-22 Francisco Caldas , Claudia Soares , Cláudia Nunes , Marta Guimarães , Mariana Filipe , Rodrigo Ventura

This paper presents an analytical model for collision probability assessments between de-orbiting or injecting space objects and satellite constellations. Considering the first to be subjected to a continuous tangential acceleration, its…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-15 Eduardo Maria Polli , Juan Luis Gonzalo , Camilla Colombo

After decades of space travel, low Earth orbit is a junkyard of discarded rocket bodies, dead satellites, and millions of pieces of debris from collisions and explosions. Objects in high enough altitudes do not re-enter and burn up in the…

The number of objects in orbit is rapidly increasing, primarily driven by the launch of megaconstellations, an approach to satellite constellation design that involves large numbers of satellites paired with their rapid launch and disposal.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-09 Sarah Thiele , Skye R. Heiland , Aaron C. Boley , Samantha M. Lawler

The space environment around the Earth is populated by more than 130 million objects of 1 mm in size and larger, and future predictions shows that this amount is destined to increase, even if mitigation measures are implemented at a far…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-29 Mirko Trisolini , Hugh G. Lewis , Camilla Colombo

Performance degradation due to target deviation by, for example, drift or jitter, presents a significant issue to inter-satellite laser communications. In particular, with periodic acquisition for positioning the satellite receiver,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-26 Zhanwei Yu , Yi Zhao , Di Yuan

The density of orbital space debris constitutes an increasing environmental challenge. There are three ways to alleviate the problem: debris mitigation, debris removal and collision avoidance. This paper addresses collision avoidance, by…

Space Physics · Physics 2011-03-10 Creon Levit , William Marshall

The apparent close encounters of two satellites in the plane of the sky, called mutual approximations, have been suggested as a different type of astrometric observation to refine the moons' ephemerides. The main observables are the central…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-01 M. Fayolle , D. Dirkx , P. N. A. M. Visser , V. Lainey

Space debris is a major threat to the satellite infrastructure. A collision with even small particle, e.g. 1 cm of size, can cause a catastrophic event when the parent body, spacecraft or upper stage, will break up into hundreds of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-24 Jiri Silha

Since the late 1950s, when the first artificial satellite was launched, the number of Resident Space Objects has steadily increased. It is estimated that around one million objects larger than one cm are currently orbiting the Earth, with…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-30 Francisco Caldas , Cláudia Soares

A method is developed to calculate collision probability in this paper. Based on the encounter geometric features of space objects, it is reasonable to separate the radial orbital motions from that in the cross section for most encounter…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Xiaoli Xu , Yongqing Xiong
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