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Causal graphs (CGs) are compact representations of the knowledge of the data generating processes behind the data distributions. When a CG is available, e.g., from the domain knowledge, we can infer the conditional independence (CI)…

Convolutional sparse coding (CSC) can learn representative shift-invariant patterns from multiple kinds of data. However, existing CSC methods can only model noises from Gaussian distribution, which is restrictive and unrealistic. In this…

We discuss the Gaussian graphical model (GGM; an undirected network of partial correlation coefficients) and detail its utility as an exploratory data analysis tool. The GGM shows which variables predict one-another, allows for sparse…

Non-Gaussian noise influences many complex out-of-equilibrium systems on a wide range of scales such as quantum devices, active and living matter, and financial markets. Despite the ubiquitous nature of non-Gaussian noise, its effect on…

We propose and illustrate an approach to coarse-graining the dynamics of evolving networks (networks whose connectivity changes dynamically). The approach is based on the equation-free framework: short bursts of detailed network evolution…

In Gaussian graphical models, conditional independence and partial correlations are natural inferential targets for understanding direct relationships in multivariate data. No comparable framework exists for spatial processes, where…

Probabilistic approaches for handling count-valued time sequences have attracted amounts of research attentions because their ability to infer explainable latent structures and to estimate uncertainties, and thus are especially suitable for…

The dynamic emulation of non-linear deterministic computer codes where the output is a time series, possibly multivariate, is examined. Such computer models simulate the evolution of some real-world phenomenon over time, for example models…

Spatio-temporal processes in environmental applications are often assumed to follow a Gaussian model, possibly after some transformation. However, heterogeneity in space and time might have a pattern that will not be accommodated by…

Ordinary differential equation models are used to describe dynamic processes across biology. To perform likelihood-based parameter inference on these models, it is necessary to specify a statistical process representing the contribution of…

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model for the reconstruction and prediction from observed time series data, of discretized stochastic dynamical systems, based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Our results can be used…

Neural processes are a family of probabilistic models that inherit the flexibility of neural networks to parameterize stochastic processes. Despite providing well-calibrated predictions, especially in regression problems, and quick…

An open stochastic system \`a la Jan Willems is a system affected by two qualitatively different kinds of uncertainty: one is probabilistic fluctuation, and the other one is nondeterminism caused by a fundamental lack of information. We…

In this work, a Gaussian process regression(GPR) model incorporated with given physical information in partial differential equations(PDEs) is developed: physics-assisted Gaussian processes(PAGP). The targets of this model can be divided…

The normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) and generalized asymmetric Laplace (GAL) distributions can be seen as skewed and semi-heavy-tailed extensions of the Gaussian distribution. Models driven by these more flexible noise distributions are then…

Undirected probabilistic graphical models represent the conditional dependencies, or Markov properties, of a collection of random variables. Knowing the sparsity of such a graphical model is valuable for modeling multivariate distributions…

Non-reciprocal systems can be thought of as disobeying Newtons third law - an action does not cause an equal and opposite reaction. In recent years there has been a dramatic rise in interest towards such systems. On a fundamental level,…

Incorporating atomistic and molecular information into models of cellular behaviour is challenging because of a vast separation of spatial and temporal scales between processes happening at the atomic and cellular levels. Multiscale or…

For many applications with multivariate data, random field models capturing departures from Gaussianity within realisations are appropriate. For this reason, we formulate a new class of multivariate non-Gaussian models based on systems of…

Quantitative modeling of post-transcriptional regulation process is a challenging problem in systems biology. A mechanical model of the regulatory process needs to be able to describe the available spatio-temporal protein concentration and…